Centralized exchange activity saw a sharp contraction in the first quarter of 2026, driven by geopolitical tensions and hawkish Fed expectations. Bitcoin underperformed major equity indices as total market capitalization fell by over 20%.
- Q1 CEX spot volume dropped from $4.5 trillion to $2.7 trillion
- March trading volume hit a low of $800 billion
- Bitcoin declined 22% in Q1, trailing US equity indexes
- HTX saw the largest volume slump at 55%
- Market stress linked to Iran strikes and Fed leadership changes
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