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Geopolitical Score 88 Bullish

Treasury Yields Hit Monthly Low as Strait of Hormuz Reopens

Apr 17, 2026 19:19 UTC
US10Y, CL=F
Short term

US Treasury yields plummeted and crude oil prices dropped following Iran's decision to reopen the Strait of Hormuz to commercial traffic. The move comes amid a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon and optimistic signals regarding the end of US-Iran hostilities.

  • 10-year yield slumped to 4.246%, a one-month low
  • Strait of Hormuz reopened for commercial traffic
  • Crude oil prices nosedived on easing supply concerns
  • US blockade of Iranian ports remains in effect
  • Optimism grows over the end of US-Iran conflict

The benchmark ten-year Treasury note yield fell to its lowest closing level in a month on Friday, as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East eased significantly. The yield dropped 6.3 basis points to settle at 4.246%, more than offsetting the 5.3 basis point increase observed over the previous two trading sessions. The rally in bond prices was triggered by news that Iran has declared the Strait of Hormuz completely open to commercial shipping. This development follows a 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, signaling a potential reduction in regional volatility and a shift in the risk landscape. President Trump confirmed the reopening of the strait via social media, stating it is 'ready for business.' However, he clarified that the United States will maintain its blockade of Iranian ports until a final peace agreement is reached. Trump further suggested that the conflict with Iran is progressing well and should be concluding shortly. The reopening of this critical maritime chokepoint led to a sharp decline in crude oil prices, which in turn reduced market concerns regarding inflationary pressures. This shift in sentiment provided a strong tailwind for Treasuries, as investors reacted to the potential for stabilized energy costs and a reduction in geopolitical risk.

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