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Macro Score 32 Bullish

Uruguay Forecasts Q1 Economic Recovery as Growth Returns

Apr 17, 2026 20:07 UTC
Short term

Central Bank Chairman Guillermo Tolosa expects the Uruguayan economy to expand by 0.8% in the first quarter. This growth marks a recovery from a period of stagnation seen in the latter half of the previous year.

  • Projected Q1 growth of 0.8%
  • Annualized growth rate estimated at 3%
  • Recovery from weak growth in late last year
  • Positive outlook from Central Bank leadership

Uruguay is poised for a modest economic rebound in the first quarter of the year, according to the nation's top monetary official. Central Bank Chairman Guillermo Tolosa indicated that the economy is showing resilience and is currently performing well. This positive outlook follows a period of relative stagnation. Tolosa noted that the country experienced a 'soft patch' during the second half of last year, which hindered overall momentum. The current trajectory suggests that these headwinds are beginning to subside. In terms of specific figures, Tolosa projected a growth rate of 0.8% for the first quarter. When calculated on an annualized basis, this represents a growth rate of 3%. While the growth is modest, the return to positive territory provides a stabilizing signal for the domestic economy. For international observers and investors in South American emerging markets, the data suggests a return to a more sustainable growth path for the Uruguayan economy.

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