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Corporate Score 58 Bearish

AST SpaceMobile Shares Tumble Following Blue Origin Launch Failure

Apr 20, 2026 12:22 UTC
ASTS
Short term

AST SpaceMobile shares fell nearly 12% after a Blue Origin rocket placed the BlueBird 7 satellite into an incorrect orbit. While the loss is insured, analysts warn that year-end deployment targets may be at risk.

  • BlueBird 7 satellite deemed lost after orbital error
  • Premarket stock decline of nearly 12%
  • Insurance expected to cover the cost of the lost satellite
  • Next three satellites (8, 9, 10) ready to ship in 30 days
  • Clear Street price target reduced to $115 from $137

AST SpaceMobile experienced a sharp decline in share price on Monday following the loss of its BlueBird 7 satellite. The satellite was launched via Blue Origin's third New Glenn rocket but was placed in a lower-than-planned orbit, leading the company to officially deem the asset lost. The failure represents a strategic setback for AST SpaceMobile's ambitious deployment schedule. The company had intended for BlueBird 7 to be its eighth satellite in low-earth orbit. While Blue Origin acknowledged the orbital error via social media, the company has provided no further updates since the satellite was declared lost. AST SpaceMobile stated that the financial loss associated with the satellite is expected to be covered by an insurance policy. To maintain momentum, the company noted that BlueBird satellites 8, 9, and 10 are expected to be ready for shipment within 30 days, and it maintains a launch cadence of one satellite every one to two months for the remainder of 2026. Market analysts have reacted with a mix of caution and continued optimism. Clear Street maintained a buy rating but lowered its price target from $137 to $115. Meanwhile, UBS noted that while the immediate financial impact is limited, AST's valuation is now closely tied to the operational reliability of Blue Origin's New Glenn vehicle, which is key to meeting 2027 revenue goals.

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