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U.S. March Retail Sales Exceed Expectations Driven by Energy Costs

Apr 21, 2026 13:54 UTC
SPY, XRT, CL=F
Short term

U.S. retail sales rose 1.7% in March, surpassing economist forecasts. Much of the growth was attributed to a spike in gasoline prices rather than broad consumer spending.

  • March retail sales grew 1.7%, exceeding the 1.4% expectation
  • Ex-auto sales rose 1.9%, beating the 1.3% forecast
  • Gas station sales saw a massive 15.5% increase
  • Department store sales increased by 4.2%
  • Core retail sales grew by 0.7%
  • February data revised upward to 0.7% from 0.6%

The U.S. Commerce Department reported a stronger-than-anticipated surge in retail sales for March, with figures climbing 1.7%. This follows an upward revision for February, which now stands at 0.7% growth, compared to the 0.6% originally reported. The headline figure beat the 1.4% growth expected by economists. When excluding motor vehicle and parts dealers, the growth was even more pronounced at 1.9%, significantly higher than the 1.3% forecast. A primary catalyst for the increase was the energy sector. Sales at gas stations skyrocketed by 15.5% in March, a massive jump from the 1.3% increase seen in February. Other gains were noted in department stores, which spiked by 4.2%, and furniture and home furnishings stores, which rose by 2.2%. Market analysts suggest the data may be misleading regarding consumer appetite. Nationwide Financial Market Economist Oren Klachkin noted that the robust rise largely reflects higher gasoline prices and inflation rather than an increase in discretionary spending, suggesting that consumers are not 'splurging' as the headline figures might imply. Core retail sales—which strip out automobiles, gasoline, building materials, and food services—showed a more modest increase of 0.7%, slightly up from February's 0.6%. While overall spending remains resilient, the inflation-driven nature of the gas price spike may complicate the broader economic outlook.

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