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Markets Score 45 Bearish

BofA Strategist Warns of 'Bubbly' Valuations in Semiconductor Sector

Apr 24, 2026 15:26 UTC
SOX
Short term

Michael Hartnett of BofA Global Research suggests the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index has reached extreme overbought levels. The current technical setup mirrors conditions seen during the dot-com peak of June 2000.

  • SOX index showing extreme overbought conditions
  • Technical levels not seen since June 2000
  • Price action described as 'bubbly' relative to 200-day moving average
  • Warning issued by BofA Global Research strategist Michael Hartnett

Michael Hartnett, the chief investment strategist at BofA Global Research, has issued a warning regarding the current valuation of the semiconductor industry. According to Hartnett, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) is exhibiting signs of being severely overbought. The analysis focuses on the index's position relative to its 200-day moving average. Hartnett describes the current price action as "bubbly," indicating that the rapid ascent in chip stocks may have decoupled from historical norms. Most notably, the strategist points out that the current technical conditions are the most extreme seen since June 2000. This comparison evokes the peak of the dot-com bubble, suggesting a potential for a significant correction if the trend reverses. While the demand for semiconductors remains a primary driver of market growth, these technical indicators suggest that the sector may be overextended in the short term. Investors may face increased volatility as the index deviates further from its long-term moving average.

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