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Geopolitical Score 98 Bearish

Hormuz Blockade Persists Amid U.S.-Israeli Conflict with Iran

Apr 26, 2026 10:47 UTC
CL=F, NG=F, XLE, USO
Immediate term

Global energy shipments remain largely paralyzed as the Strait of Hormuz remains blockaded during the ongoing conflict. Limited transit has been granted to a small number of vessels following diplomatic signals from Washington.

  • Blockade affects 20% of global oil and gas transit
  • Conflict initiated by U.S. and Israel on February 28
  • Most maritime traffic currently halted
  • Limited passage granted to 20 ships, including Chinese vessels
  • Extreme risk to global energy supply chains

Maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has reached a near-total standstill, severely disrupting the flow of approximately one-fifth of the world's total oil and gas supplies. The blockade is a direct consequence of the joint military campaign launched by the United States and Israel against Iran on February 28. The Strait serves as the primary artery for energy exports from the Persian Gulf. With the waterway effectively closed, global energy markets face unprecedented supply constraints, heightening volatility in crude oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) pricing. Recent reports indicate a slight opening in the blockade. Following a statement from U.S. President Donald Trump suggesting that Iran would permit the passage of 20 ships, several Chinese-owned vessels were reportedly able to transit the waterway. Despite these limited exceptions, the broader blockade remains firmly in place. The continued instability in the region threatens global energy security and is expected to maintain extreme pressure on energy benchmarks and shipping insurance rates.

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