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Commodities Score 78 Bullish

Nickel Prices Hit Two-Year Peak Amid Indonesian Supply Constraints and Geopolitical Tensions

Apr 27, 2026 02:32 UTC
NI=F
Short term

Nickel futures have surged to their highest levels in nearly two years as production quotas in Indonesia tighten. A global sulfur shortage, exacerbated by conflict in Iran, is further squeezing the supply of this critical battery metal.

  • Nickel futures reached a two-year intraday high
  • LME prices increased by roughly 10% since the Iran conflict began
  • Indonesian mining quota cuts are restricting global supply
  • Sulfur shortages are hindering MHP and copper leaching production
  • Market volatility persists as traders monitor the Strait of Hormuz status

Nickel prices reached a nearly two-year intraday high on the London Metal Exchange (LME), driven by a convergence of supply-side shocks in Indonesia and broader geopolitical instability. The rally reflects growing concerns over the availability of the metal, which is essential for high-performance battery production. The price surge is primarily fueled by reduced mining quotas in Indonesia, the world's leading nickel producer, alongside a critical global shortage of sulfur. Sulfur serves as a vital input for the production of mixed-hydroxide precipitate (MHP) in Indonesia and is equally critical for copper leaching operations across Africa. Since the onset of the conflict involving Iran, LME nickel futures have climbed approximately 10%. The war has triggered a spike in sulfur prices, raising fears of systemic disruptions to the global mining infrastructure and refining processes. While nickel sees strong gains, other base metals have shown mixed performance. Traders are currently weighing these supply constraints against reports that Iran has submitted a proposal to the United States to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, a move that could potentially ease regional tensions and stabilize commodity markets.

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