Bitcoin is experiencing a significant reduction in available exchange supply as 'whales' and institutional players increase their exposure. Wallets containing between 1,000 and 10,000 BTC have reached a total balance of 3.09 million, a level not seen since November 11, 2025. This accumulation trend has been steady since December, with this specific cohort adding approximately 240,000 BTC to their balances. Simultaneously, long-term holders (LTHs) have expanded their holdings to 14.57 million BTC. Distribution activity has remained remarkably low, with only 42,100 BTC sold over the past 30 days, one of the lowest readings of 2026. Institutional demand is further tightening the market. Data indicates that institutional investors added roughly 92,900 BTC over the last month, significantly outpacing the 14,900 BTC in net selling seen in on-chain realized cap flows. This suggests that larger players are absorbing the majority of available liquidity. From a technical perspective, Bitcoin is currently trading around $77,731 and faces a potential double top near $79,400. Traders may see a rotation toward liquidity pockets between $73,700 and $74,700. However, the derivatives market shows deeply negative funding rates of -7% on a 30-day basis, which could trigger a short squeeze if the price breaks upward. Market analysts suggest that a move above $80,000 would invalidate current bearish short-term signals. With key support levels holding, upside targets between $85,000 and $88,000 remain valid for the month of May.
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