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Macro Score 45 Bullish

U.S. Durable Goods Orders Exceed Expectations in March Rebound

Apr 29, 2026 12:37 UTC
XLI, SPY
Short term

New orders for manufactured durable goods rose more than anticipated in March, signaling resilience in industrial demand. The growth was evident in both headline figures and core orders excluding transportation.

  • March headline orders: +0.8% (Expected: +0.5%)
  • March ex-transportation orders: +0.9% (Expected: +0.4%)
  • February headline orders revised to -1.2% from -1.3%
  • February ex-transportation orders: +1.2%
  • Stronger-than-expected demand across both headline and core metrics

The U.S. Commerce Department reported a stronger-than-expected rebound in durable goods orders for March, indicating a recovery in manufacturing demand following a slump in February. The data suggests that business investment in long-lasting goods remains robust, providing a positive signal for the broader industrial sector. Headline orders climbed 0.8% in March, surpassing economist projections of a 0.5% increase. This recovery follows a revised February decline of 1.2%, which was previously reported as a 1.3% drop, showing a slight improvement in the prior month's performance. The underlying strength of the manufacturing sector was further highlighted by ex-transportation orders. This core metric, which removes the volatility associated with aircraft and automotive orders, grew by 0.9% in March. This figure significantly outperformed the 0.4% growth forecast provided by analysts, following a 1.2% jump recorded in February. From a market perspective, stronger durable goods data typically supports a bullish outlook for industrial equities and capital goods manufacturers. While the data is a positive indicator of economic activity, its impact on immediate monetary policy is likely to be secondary to inflation and employment data.

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