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Markets Score 32 Bullish

AI-Driven Job Growth Signals Opportunity in Slumping Software Sector

Apr 30, 2026 13:30 UTC
BSTZ, IGV, CRWD, APP, ORCL, MSFT, PLTR
Medium term

Emerging data suggests AI is fostering business creation and employment rather than triggering a sector collapse. This disconnect presents a potential entry point for investors in software-focused assets.

  • AI adoption is correlating with a rise in new business creation
  • 1.3 million new AI-enabled roles have emerged globally per LinkedIn data
  • Software sector ETF (IGV) remains depressed despite positive macro data
  • BSTZ provides a high-yield entry point with a 9.3% discount to NAV
  • Total return for BSTZ has reached 21% year-to-date

The prevailing narrative that artificial intelligence will trigger a 'software apocalypse' by eradicating jobs and cratering the economy is being challenged by emerging employment data. While software-as-a-service (SaaS) stocks have remained depressed due to fears of AI-driven disruption, recent indicators suggest the technology is actually stimulating new business creation and demand for skilled labor. Data from Apollo Global Management indicates a surge in new business formation specifically within sectors adopting AI. This trend is further supported by LinkedIn, which reports the emergence of 1.3 million new AI-enabled jobs globally over the last two years. These findings suggest that the productivity unlock provided by AI is in its early stages and is creating a net positive for the labor market. Despite these indicators, the software sector remains in a slump. The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV), which includes heavyweights such as Microsoft, Oracle, and Palantir, as well as growth names like CrowdStrike and AppLovin, continues to trade at levels reflecting bearish sentiment. The disconnect suggests that investors have overreacted to the perceived threat of AI replacing software demand. For income-oriented investors, the BlackRock Science and Technology Term Trust (BSTZ) is positioned as a strategic play on this recovery. The fund currently offers a 7.8% payout and trades at a 9.3% discount to its net asset value (NAV). This discount persists despite the fund achieving a 21% total return so far this year, offering a potential valuation advantage for those betting on a software rebound.

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