A structural pivot in global manufacturing away from China has reached a critical inflection point, with Vietnam, India, and Mexico capturing significant share in U.S. import flows. Meanwhile, importers face mounting liquidity pressures due to new tariff implementations.
- Vietnam’s U.S. exports rose 28% YoY in 2025
- India’s exports to U.S. increased 19% in first 10 months of 2025
- Mexico’s share of U.S. regional imports reached 22% in 2025
- 470 product categories from China face new U.S. tariffs
- U.S. importers report 35% increase in working capital needs
- China’s share of U.S. imports dropped to 18% in 2025
The relocation of manufacturing capacity from China to alternative Asian economies has entered a decisive phase, with import volumes from Vietnam rising 28% year-on-year and India’s exports to the U.S. increasing by 19% in the first 10 months of 2025. Mexico’s share of U.S. imports from the region rose to 22%, up from 16% in 2023, driven by proximity and trade agreements. These shifts reflect a broader realignment of global supply chains, no longer centered solely on China’s dominance. The momentum is underpinned by new U.S. tariff policies enacted in late 2024 and early 2025, which imposed additional duties on 470 product categories originating from China, including semiconductors, electric vehicles, and solar panels. These measures have accelerated diversification strategies among multinational corporations, with companies like Apple, Samsung, and Foxconn reporting completed or near-completion of facility expansions in Vietnam and India. However, the transition has triggered a short-term financial strain. U.S. importers report a 35% surge in working capital requirements due to higher duties and longer lead times. Customs clearance delays at major ports—particularly in Los Angeles and Savannah—have extended inventory turnover cycles, prompting liquidity concerns. Some mid-sized importers have already drawn down credit lines, with 22% citing tariff-related cash flow issues in a recent industry survey. The shift is reshaping regional trade dynamics: ASEAN’s combined exports to the U.S. reached $580 billion in 2025, a 14% increase from 2023, while China’s share has declined to 18% from 23% in 2022. The reconfiguration is now irreversible, driven not by policy alone but by structural cost and risk diversification imperatives.