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Commodities Score 82 Bearish

Iron Ore Prices Drop to One-Month Low Amid China Policy Watch

Dec 09, 2025 03:05 UTC
IO00, VALE, BLK, RIO

Iron ore futures fell to their weakest level in over a month, driven by concerns over China’s economic stimulus measures and steel demand. Traders are closely monitoring Beijing’s policy signals as key mining stocks react to the commodity’s downturn.

  • Iron ore price fell to $108.20 per metric ton, its lowest since mid-November
  • Dalian Commodity Exchange contract down 3.4% over five trading sessions
  • Vale (VALE) shares declined 2.1%, Rio Tinto (RIO) dropped 1.8%
  • Chinese crude steel output fell 5.3% month-on-month in early December
  • BlackRock (BLK) commodity funds experienced modest outflows
  • Market awaits signals from China’s upcoming National Economic Work Conference

Iron ore prices dipped to $108.20 per metric ton on Tuesday, marking the lowest level since mid-November, according to global exchange data. The decline follows a steady pullback over the past week, with the benchmark Dalian Commodity Exchange contract down 3.4% in the last five trading sessions. Market participants attribute the drop to cautious sentiment around China’s upcoming infrastructure spending plans and weaker-than-expected steel production figures from the world’s largest consumer. The sell-off has had a pronounced impact on major mining equities. Vale S.A. (VALE) shares fell 2.1%, while Rio Tinto (RIO) dropped 1.8%, reflecting investor worries over sustained demand pressures. BlackRock Inc. (BLK), which holds significant exposure to commodity-linked assets, saw its commodity-focused funds post modest outflows as traders reposition portfolios ahead of potential policy announcements. The drop comes despite recent inventory data showing a slight build in Chinese ports, suggesting that supply remains stable. However, demand metrics from the Chinese steel industry indicate a 5.3% month-on-month decline in crude steel output in early December, underscoring weak industrial momentum. Analysts note that without robust fiscal or monetary stimulus from Beijing, iron ore prices may continue to face downward pressure in the near term. Market watchers are now turning their focus to the upcoming National Economic Work Conference, expected to outline China’s 2026 growth framework. Any hint of accelerated infrastructure investment could provide a short-term rebound, but current pricing suggests skepticism about aggressive policy support.

The information presented is derived from publicly available market data and price movements. No proprietary sources or third-party data providers are referenced.