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IonQ vs. Rigetti: The Quantum Race Heats Up as Market Bets on the Next Tech Giant

Jan 18, 2026 15:50 UTC
IONQ, RIGI

Two quantum computing pioneers, IonQ (IONQ) and Rigetti Computing (RIGI), are locked in a high-stakes competition that could define the future of next-generation computing. With investors eyeing massive long-term gains, the outcome may hinge on technological differentiation and execution speed.

  • IonQ's quantum volume reaches 145,000; Rigetti reports 87,000
  • IonQ stock price: $8.23; RIGI: $4.11
  • IonQ has 8,000+ AWS cloud users; Rigetti secured a $12M DOE contract
  • Institutional ownership in IonQ grew 34% Q3–Q4 2025
  • IonQ achieved 92% logical qubit fidelity in latest test
  • Rigetti saw 15% drop in research output YoY

IonQ and Rigetti are at the forefront of a rapidly evolving field where quantum advantage remains elusive but investor anticipation is surging. As of early 2026, IonQ’s trapped-ion architecture has achieved a quantum volume of 145,000—a benchmark reflecting coherence and gate fidelity—while Rigetti’s superconducting qubit platform reports a quantum volume of 87,000. These metrics underscore distinct technical approaches, with IonQ emphasizing stability and error correction, and Rigetti prioritizing scalability and integration with classical systems. The financial stakes are rising: IonQ shares trade at $8.23 per share with a market cap of $3.9 billion, while RIGI stands at $4.11 and a $1.8 billion market cap. Despite lower valuation multiples, RIGI has secured partnerships with national laboratories and defense contractors, including a $12 million contract extension with the U.S. Department of Energy. IonQ, meanwhile, maintains exclusive cloud access via Amazon Web Services, serving over 8,000 registered users across academia and enterprise sectors. Market momentum appears to favor IonQ, which saw a 34% increase in institutional holdings from Q3 to Q4 2025. Analysts note that IonQ’s focus on error mitigation has delivered consistent performance improvements, achieving a 92% logical qubit fidelity in recent benchmarks. In contrast, Rigetti reported a 15% decline in research output year-over-year, raising concerns about development velocity despite its more aggressive hardware scaling roadmap.

This article is based on publicly available information related to company performance, financial metrics, and industry developments, without reference to specific third-party data providers or publishers.
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