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Geopolitical risk Score 88 Bearish

China Condemns US-Israel Strikes on Iran Amid Escalating Middle East Tensions

Mar 02, 2026 05:50 UTC
CL=F, ^VIX, XLE

China has denounced coordinated US-Israel airstrikes on Iranian military targets, warning of destabilizing regional consequences. The attack has triggered sharp market reactions, with Brent crude surging past $98 per barrel and the VIX spiking to 34.2, signaling heightened risk aversion and a flight to safety in energy and defense stocks.

  • Brent crude (CL=F) rose to $98.42 per barrel following US-Israel strikes on Iran
  • VIX index surged to 34.2, its highest since October 2024, reflecting market volatility
  • Energy ETF (XLE) gained 3.8%, driven by risk-on demand in oil and gas stocks
  • Defense stocks, including Lockheed Martin and Raytheon, saw 3.6–4.1% gains
  • China formally condemned the strikes, calling them a threat to regional and global stability
  • Iran vowed retaliation, raising fears of supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz

A coordinated military operation by the United States and Israel against Iranian defense installations on March 1, 2026, has drawn strong condemnation from Beijing, which called the strikes a violation of international law and a threat to global stability. The attacks targeted facilities near Isfahan and Bandar Abbas, according to intelligence assessments, prompting Iran to issue a formal statement vowing retaliation in due course. The escalation has significantly increased concerns over potential disruption to global energy flows, particularly through the Strait of Hormuz. As a result, Brent crude futures (CL=F) rose to $98.42 per barrel by midday on March 2, marking a 5.7% increase over the previous session. This surge reflects a growing market perception of supply risk, with traders pricing in potential disruptions to Iranian exports and retaliatory actions against shipping lanes. Financial markets responded sharply, with the CBOE Volatility Index (^VIX) climbing to 34.2—the highest level since October 2024—indicating heightened investor anxiety. The energy sector (XLE) posted a 3.8% gain, as investors favored defensive exposures in oil and gas firms with exposure to volatile regions. Defense stocks also saw momentum, with Lockheed Martin and Raytheon Technologies reporting increased trading volume and a 4.1% and 3.6% rise, respectively, on expectations of expanded military spending. The geopolitical flashpoint underscores the fragility of energy markets amid regional instability. With China, the world’s largest oil importer, emphasizing diplomatic de-escalation, the international community faces mounting pressure to prevent a broader conflict. The situation remains fluid, with oil and risk-sensitive assets likely to remain under pressure until clarity emerges on Iran’s next moves.

The information presented is derived from publicly available data and market movements observed during the reporting period. No proprietary or third-party sources were referenced.
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