Goldman Sachs has raised its KOSPI earnings forecast for the third time in 2026 and set a new 7,000 target, marking a 25% upside from current levels. The move signals growing confidence in South Korea’s equity market despite a flat end to a volatile week.
- Goldman Sachs upgraded KOSPI earnings forecast for the third time in 2026
- New 7,000 target for KOSPI is 25% above current levels
- Financials and technology sectors show stronger earnings momentum
- ETFs: EWY, EWH, and KORU expected to see increased investor interest
- 7,000 level acts as a critical psychological and technical benchmark
- Market sentiment may shift toward regional equities amid improved outlook
South Korea’s stock market concluded a turbulent week with minimal movement, as the KOSPI (^KS11) closed flat. However, the session's quiet finish was overshadowed by a significant upgrade from Goldman Sachs, which raised its KOSPI earnings forecast for the third time this year. The firm now targets a 7,000 level for the benchmark index—25% above current trading values—driven by stronger-than-expected corporate profitability in technology and financial sectors. The revised forecast reflects improving earnings momentum across key domestic industries. Financials, led by major banks and insurers, are benefiting from rising interest margins and loan growth, while technology firms, including semiconductor and electronics exporters, continue to show resilience in global demand. These trends are underpinning a broader reassessment of the country’s economic trajectory and corporate health. The announcement is expected to influence regional investment flows, particularly in exchange-traded funds tracking South Korea. ETFs such as EWY (iShares MSCI South Korea ETF) and EWH (iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF) are likely to see renewed inflows, with KORU (Invesco Korea ETF) also positioned for increased investor attention. The upgrade may prompt portfolio rebalancing by global asset managers, especially those with exposure to developed Asia. Market participants are closely watching whether the earnings upgrade translates into sustained momentum, especially given recent volatility in global tech supply chains and geopolitical uncertainties. The 7,000 target serves as a key psychological and technical threshold, potentially drawing both institutional and retail interest into the market.