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Financial markets Score 72 Neutral-to-positive

Blackstone and BlackRock Show Resilience Amid Private Credit Market Turmoil

Mar 10, 2026 09:30 UTC
BX, BLACK, CL=F, ^VIX
Medium term

Despite growing stress in the private credit sector, Blackstone (BX) and BlackRock (BLACK) are better positioned to withstand downturns due to diversified portfolios and strong liquidity. The firms’ ability to absorb losses and maintain investor confidence underscores their structural advantages in volatile markets.

  • Blackstone’s private credit AUM grew to $1.3 trillion in Q4 2025, with a default rate below 2%
  • BlackRock manages $420 billion in alternative credit assets with no significant write-downs
  • Both firms maintained capital adequacy ratios above 15% in 2025
  • BX and BLACK stock declines were under 4% in March 2026 despite VIX rising to 28
  • Private credit default rates averaged 5% in 2025, compared to under 2% for Blackstone’s portfolio
  • Blackstone’s private credit segment represents 28% of its total AUM, indicating strategic diversification

Blackstone and BlackRock are demonstrating notable resilience in the current downturn of the private credit market, where several lenders have faced rising defaults and loan restructurings. While industry-wide private credit assets under management have declined by approximately 13% year-over-year, both firms have maintained stable AUM levels, with Blackstone reporting $1.3 trillion and BlackRock over $10 trillion in total assets under management as of Q4 2025. The strength of these two giants lies in their diversified revenue models and robust balance sheets. Blackstone’s private credit business, which accounts for about 28% of its total AUM, has seen less than 2% default rate on its leveraged loans—well below the 5% average observed in the broader private credit market. BlackRock’s alternative credit division, which manages over $420 billion in assets, has avoided significant write-downs, supported by rigorous underwriting standards and diversified exposure across geographies and industries. Market indicators reflect confidence in the two firms. The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) spiked to 28 in early March 2026 amid credit concerns, yet both BX and BLACK shares declined by less than 4% over the same period—outperforming peers such as Apollo Global Management and Fortress Investment Group, which saw double-digit drops. This divergence suggests investors view Blackstone and BlackRock as more stable anchors in a turbulent credit landscape. The broader financial sector is closely watching the performance of these institutions. Their ability to maintain capital adequacy ratios above 15%—well above the 12% regulatory minimum—demonstrates sound risk management. As private credit continues to face headwinds from rising interest rates and economic uncertainty, the structural advantages of the two firms may set a benchmark for long-term sustainability in alternative asset management.

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