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Markets Score 45 Bearish

Inflation Slowdown in February Fuels Market Caution Amid Geopolitical and Credit Concerns

Mar 11, 2026 22:45 UTC
CL=F, ^VIX
Short term

U.S. underlying inflation eased in February, with the core CPI rising 0.2% from January, as markets reacted to broader fears over war tensions and credit risks, despite the data not triggering a strong market response.

  • Core CPI rose 0.2% month-over-month in February
  • Inflation slowdown from prior month, but within expected range
  • Oil prices surged amid war and credit worries (CL=F)
  • Volatility index ^VIX increased due to investor anxiety
  • Markets declined despite uneventful inflation data
  • Geopolitical tensions and credit risks drove market sentiment

Markets experienced a cautious shift as U.S. inflation data for February showed a slight moderation in underlying price pressures. The core consumer price index, excluding food and energy, increased by 0.2% compared to January, reflecting a slowdown from the prior month’s pace. While the figure remained in line with expectations, it contributed to a broader sense of market unease. Investors turned their focus to escalating geopolitical tensions and growing credit concerns, which overshadowed the modest inflation read. The energy sector was particularly affected, with oil prices surging amid uncertainty, as reflected in the CL=F futures. The volatility index, ^VIX, rose as a result, signaling heightened investor anxiety. These developments weighed on equities, contributing to a broad market decline despite the lack of a significant surprise in the inflation data.

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