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ALVO vs SEPN

ALVO
Alvotech
BEARISH
Price
$3.82
Market Cap
$1.19B
Sector
Healthcare
AI Confidence
85%
SEPN
Septerna, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Price
$26.13
Market Cap
$1.17B
Sector
Healthcare
AI Confidence
85%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
ALVO
16.61
SEPN
--
Forward P/E
ALVO
13.2
SEPN
-13.43
P/B Ratio
ALVO
-6.49
SEPN
3.07
P/S Ratio
ALVO
2.08
SEPN
25.54
EV/EBITDA
ALVO
37.72
SEPN
-10.18

Profitability

Gross Margin
ALVO
55.59%
SEPN
100.0%
Operating Margin
ALVO
-2.62%
SEPN
-66.44%
Profit Margin
ALVO
12.12%
SEPN
-106.37%
ROE
ALVO
--
SEPN
-12.19%
ROA
ALVO
1.98%
SEPN
-9.59%

Growth

Revenue Growth
ALVO
10.6%
SEPN
11276.4%
Earnings Growth
ALVO
--
SEPN
--

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
ALVO
--
SEPN
0.06
Current Ratio
ALVO
1.42
SEPN
4.73
Quick Ratio
ALVO
0.54
SEPN
4.66

Dividends

Dividend Yield
ALVO
--
SEPN
--
Payout Ratio
ALVO
0.0%
SEPN
0.0%

AI Verdict

ALVO BEARISH

ALVO's deterministic health scores signal significant distress: the Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates weak financial health, with poor profitability, negative operating margins, and erratic earnings. The absence of an Altman Z-Score raises red flags for potential bankruptcy risk, especially given negative operating margins and a low quick ratio of 0.54. Despite a modest 10.6% YoY revenue growth and a 55.59% gross margin, the company exhibits severe earnings instability, with a -161.1% YoY EPS decline and multiple quarters of massive negative surprises. The stock trades at a premium to its intrinsic value of $1.61, suggesting overvaluation based on current fundamentals. Analysts' target price of $18.83 appears disconnected from current performance and financial health.

Strengths
55.59% gross margin indicates strong product-level pricing power and cost control
10.6% year-over-year revenue growth suggests ongoing market expansion
Positive surprise in Q2 2024 (6000%) shows potential for unexpected upside in earnings
Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals severe financial distress and weak operational efficiency
Negative operating margin (-2.62%) and inconsistent earnings undermine profitability sustainability
Massive negative earnings surprises (e.g., -1748.5% in Q1 2024) indicate unreliable financial reporting or operational instability
SEPN NEUTRAL

Septerna exhibits a stark disconnect between fundamental financial health and market sentiment. The Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates weak financial health, characterized by negative profitability and consistent earnings misses (0/4 beats in the last year). However, the company maintains a strong liquidity position with a Current Ratio of 4.73 and very low debt (D/E 0.06), which is typical for a clinical-stage biotech. While analysts maintain a 'strong_buy' rating with a target of $44.43, the combination of bearish insider selling and a high Price/Sales ratio (25.54) suggests a highly speculative valuation based on future pipeline success rather than current performance.

Strengths
Strong liquidity with a Current Ratio of 4.73
Very low leverage (Debt/Equity of 0.06)
Explosive year-over-year revenue growth (11,276%)
Risks
Weak deterministic health (Piotroski F-Score 2/9)
Severe negative profit margins (-106.37%)
Consistent failure to meet earnings estimates (Average surprise -93.75%)

Compare Another Pair

ALVO vs SEPN: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Alvotech (ALVO) and Septerna, Inc. (SEPN) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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