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AMPX vs GEO

AMPX
Amprius Technologies, Inc.
BULLISH
Price
$18.90
Market Cap
$2.47B
Sector
Industrials
AI Confidence
85%
GEO
The GEO Group, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Price
$18.83
Market Cap
$2.5B
Sector
Industrials
AI Confidence
85%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
AMPX
--
GEO
10.35
Forward P/E
AMPX
182.91
GEO
10.58
P/B Ratio
AMPX
24.48
GEO
1.67
P/S Ratio
AMPX
33.78
GEO
0.95
EV/EBITDA
AMPX
-128.52
GEO
9.64

Profitability

Gross Margin
AMPX
11.32%
GEO
25.2%
Operating Margin
AMPX
-11.68%
GEO
12.13%
Profit Margin
AMPX
-60.3%
GEO
9.67%
ROE
AMPX
-50.81%
GEO
17.92%
ROA
AMPX
-10.85%
GEO
4.97%

Growth

Revenue Growth
AMPX
137.4%
GEO
16.5%
Earnings Growth
AMPX
--
GEO
117.7%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
AMPX
0.38
GEO
1.15
Current Ratio
AMPX
7.08
GEO
2.01
Quick Ratio
AMPX
6.39
GEO
1.88

Dividends

Dividend Yield
AMPX
--
GEO
--
Payout Ratio
AMPX
0.0%
GEO
0.0%

AI Verdict

AMPX BULLISH

AMPX exhibits weak deterministic health with a Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, indicating severe financial distress and poor operational efficiency, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score raises unquantified bankruptcy risk. Despite this, the stock is trading at a premium valuation (Forward P/E: 182.91, Price/Sales: 33.78) driven by extraordinary revenue growth (137.4% YoY) and strong earnings surprises (average +52.81% over last 4 quarters). Analyst consensus is strongly bullish with a 'strong_buy' rating and a $20.00 target, reflecting high growth expectations. Insider selling activity (8 transactions, $37.78M) introduces bearish sentiment, but the company's technical trend and recent price momentum suggest strong market confidence. The Graham Number and intrinsic value are unavailable, indicating no defensive margin of safety.

Strengths
Exceptional revenue growth of 137.4% YoY, significantly outpacing sector average of 21.59%
Consistently beating earnings estimates in the last 4 quarters with an average surprise of +52.81%
Strong analyst consensus with a 'strong_buy' rating and $20.00 target price, implying upside potential
Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 indicates extreme financial distress and poor operational health
Negative profit margins (-60.30% net, -11.68% operating) and negative ROE (-50.81%) reflect deep unprofitability
No Altman Z-Score available, but low profitability and high valuation raise unquantified bankruptcy risk
GEO NEUTRAL

GEO presents a stark contrast between deep value and deteriorating financial health, highlighted by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 3/9. While the stock is significantly undervalued relative to its Graham Number ($21.47) and Intrinsic Value ($53.69), and boasts explosive YoY earnings growth of 117.7%, these fundamentals are offset by bearish insider sentiment and a 0/100 technical trend. The strong analyst consensus (Strong Buy) and low PEG ratio (0.74) suggest high upside potential, but the low F-Score indicates underlying operational or balance sheet weaknesses that necessitate caution.

Strengths
Significant undervaluation with a P/E of 10.35 and PEG of 0.74
Explosive YoY earnings growth of 117.70%
Strong liquidity position with a Current Ratio of 2.01 and Quick Ratio of 1.88
Risks
Weak financial health indicated by a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9
Bearish insider sentiment with recent selling activity
Strongly bearish technical trend (0/100)

Compare Another Pair

AMPX vs GEO: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Amprius Technologies, Inc. (AMPX) and The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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