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ASML vs FICO

ASML
ASML Holding N.V.
NEUTRAL
Price
$1345.69
Market Cap
$528.4B
Sector
Technology
AI Confidence
78%
FICO
Fair Isaac Corporation
BULLISH
Price
$1741.37
Market Cap
$41.29B
Sector
Technology
AI Confidence
88%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
ASML
47.17
FICO
65.79
Forward P/E
ASML
31.14
FICO
46.85
P/B Ratio
ASML
22.96
FICO
-23.7
P/S Ratio
ASML
16.18
FICO
20.74
EV/EBITDA
ASML
41.58
FICO
46.54

Profitability

Gross Margin
ASML
52.83%
FICO
82.23%
Operating Margin
ASML
35.3%
FICO
48.1%
Profit Margin
ASML
29.42%
FICO
32.75%
ROE
ASML
50.46%
FICO
--
ROA
ASML
14.25%
FICO
32.62%

Growth

Revenue Growth
ASML
4.9%
FICO
13.6%
Earnings Growth
ASML
7.2%
FICO
17.9%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
ASML
0.24
FICO
--
Current Ratio
ASML
1.26
FICO
0.83
Quick Ratio
ASML
0.73
FICO
0.78

Dividends

Dividend Yield
ASML
0.65%
FICO
--
Payout Ratio
ASML
26.6%
FICO
0.0%

AI Verdict

ASML NEUTRAL

ASML exhibits strong financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating stable fundamentals despite not reaching the 'strong' threshold. The company's robust profitability metrics—especially a 50.46% ROE and 29.42% profit margin—underscore its operational excellence. While the current price of $1,345.69 trades at a premium to both the Graham Number ($193.99) and Intrinsic Value ($507.83), this is justified by exceptional growth prospects and dominant market positioning in semiconductor equipment. The recent earnings beat rate of 50% over the last four quarters and consistent positive surprises support a bullish outlook. The absence of an Altman Z-Score does not indicate distress risk, as the company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio (0.24) and strong liquidity. Price trades at a 28.2% premium to fair value estimate ($1050.00), limiting near-term upside from a valuation perspective.

Strengths
Exceptional profitability with 50.46% ROE and 29.42% profit margin
Dominant market position in semiconductor equipment with strong pricing power
Consistent earnings beat rate (50% over last 4 quarters) and positive EPS surprises
Risks
Current valuation at P/E 47.17 and Price/Book 22.96 suggests significant premium to historical norms
Technical trend score of 10/100 indicates short-term bearish momentum despite long-term strength
Dividend strength is weak (25/100), with low yield (0.65%) and modest payout ratio (26.6%)
FICO BULLISH

FICO demonstrates elite profitability and consistent earnings outperformance, supported by strong double-digit revenue and earnings growth, positioning it favorably within the high-margin software application sector. Despite a 25% pullback over the past year, the stock shows signs of stabilization with a 6.4% rebound in the last six months and positive near-term momentum. Valuation remains rich but justifiable given superior margins—particularly the 48.1% operating margin and 82.2% gross margin—relative to peers trading at higher multiples despite weaker fundamentals. Analysts reflect confidence with a $2016 target implying 15.7% upside, though insider selling activity presents a notable counter-signal.

Strengths
Exceptional profitability with 48.1% operating margin, significantly above sector average of 16.85%
High gross margin of 82.23%, indicative of scalable, asset-light software business model
Consistent earnings beat streak: 3 out of last 4 quarters beat estimates, with 5-year history of frequent positive surprises (average +15% surprise in 2020–2022)
Risks
Elevated valuation with P/E of 65.8 and Price/Sales of 20.7, creating vulnerability to multiple contraction in rising rate environments
Negative Price/Book of -23.70 suggests intangible-heavy balance sheet and potential accounting complexity or stock-based compensation drag
Insider selling pressure: $54.5M in CEO sales over last 6 months signals lack of confidence at the top

Compare Another Pair

ASML vs FICO: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) and Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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