ASML ASML Holding N.V. - Fundamental Analysis
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ASML Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ
Technology
Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
Current Price
Live
$1450.56
Analyst Target
$1487.97
+2.6%
Upside
52W High
$1547.22
52W Low
$578.51
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Feb 28, 2026
Market cap
$569.58B
P/E
49.74
ROE
50.5%
Profit margin
29.4%
Debt/Equity
0.24
Dividend yield
0.61%
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
78%
Analysis Accuracy
ASML exhibits strong financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating stable fundamentals despite not reaching the 'strong' threshold. The company's exceptional profitability metrics—ROE of 50.46% and gross margin of 52.83%—underscore its dominant market position in semiconductor equipment. While the current price of $1,450.56 trades at a premium to both the Graham Number ($198.50) and intrinsic value ($519.05), this reflects high growth expectations and technological moat. Analyst consensus remains buy, supported by consistent earnings beats and robust long-term growth trajectory. The absence of an Altman Z-Score does not indicate distress risk, as the company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio (0.24) and solid liquidity. Price trades at a 179.5% premium to fair value estimate ($519.05), limiting near-term upside from a valuation perspective.
Key Strengths
Exceptional profitability with ROE of 50.46% and gross margin of 52.83%
Strong market leadership in semiconductor equipment with high barriers to entry
Consistent earnings beats over the past 25 quarters, including multiple +10% surprises
Low financial leverage (Debt/Equity: 0.24) and healthy current ratio (1.26)
High analyst consensus with a 'buy' recommendation and target price near current levels
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests room for improvement in operational efficiency and cash flow management
Current P/E of 49.74 is significantly above the sector average (78.25) and historical norms, indicating high valuation risk
Technical trend score of 10/100 signals short-term bearish momentum despite long-term strength
Dividend strength is weak (25/100), reflecting low yield (0.61%) and modest payout ratio (26.6%)
Lack of available cash flow and debt metrics limits full assessment of financial flexibility
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$519.05
-64.2% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
67
Strong
48
92
90
76
30
AI Verdict
strong_buy
Key drivers: Dominant market position in EUV lithography technology, Consistent earnings growth and beat history, High return on capital and strong margins, Low financial risk profile, Strong long-term growth outlook in semiconductor demand
Confidence
77%
Value
48/100
Stock trades at a significant premium to both Graham and intrinsic value, justified by high growth expectations and technological leadership.
Positives
- Intrinsic value estimate of $519.05 based on growth model
- Graham Number of $198.50 provides a conservative floor
Watchpoints
- Current price of $1,450.56 is 178% above intrinsic value
- P/E of 49.74 is elevated relative to historical and sector norms
- Forward P/E of 32.93 still implies premium valuation
- Price trades at a 179.5% premium to fair value estimate ($519.05), limiting near-term upside from a valuation perspective.
Future
92/100
Growth is solid but not explosive; however, the company's innovation pipeline and market dominance support long-term confidence.
Positives
- 7.2% YoY earnings growth and 4.9% revenue growth indicate sustained expansion
- Q/Q EPS growth of +33.7% signals acceleration in profitability
- Strong forward-looking guidance implied by analyst target price
Watchpoints
- PEG ratio unavailable, limiting growth-adjusted valuation analysis
- Revenue growth is modest compared to sector peers (avg 61.22%)
Past
90/100
Outstanding historical earnings consistency and surprise performance reinforce reliability and execution strength.
Positives
- 24 out of 25 quarters beat earnings estimates
- Average earnings surprise of +3.93% over last 4 quarters
- Historical EPS growth of +7.3% YoY and +33.7% Q/Q
Watchpoints
- One quarter (2020-07) missed by -13.2%, indicating occasional volatility
- Mixed Q/Q revenue growth data (N/A) limits trend analysis
Health
76/100
Financial health is solid but not exceptional; the low Piotroski score flags operational caution despite low leverage.
Positives
- Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.24) and current ratio (1.26) indicate strong balance sheet
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 reflects stable financials despite not being strong
- No Altman Z-Score available, but no distress indicators present
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score below 7 suggests potential inefficiencies in operations or cash flow
- No available data on total cash or debt, limiting full health assessment
Dividend
30/100
Dividend is not a primary value driver; the company prioritizes reinvestment over payouts.
Positives
- Payout ratio of 26.6% is sustainable and conservative
- Dividend yield of 0.61% is stable and consistent
Watchpoints
- Dividend strength score of 25/100 indicates weak income appeal
- Low yield and modest payout ratio reflect minimal focus on shareholder returns
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$1450.56
Analyst Target
$1487.97
Upside/Downside
+2.6%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ASML and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-02-27
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ASML
ASML Holding N.V.
Primary
|
+160.4% | +141.1% | +109.7% | +95.9% | +2.1% | -1.3% |
|
ORCL
Oracle Corporation
Peer
|
+233.9% | +123.6% | +21.0% | -21.8% | +7.4% | -3.7% |
|
PLTR
Palantir Technologies Inc.
Peer
|
+992.3% | +1986.5% | +194.0% | +34.4% | -3.1% | -2.2% |
|
MU
Micron Technology, Inc.
Peer
|
+334.8% | +547.4% | +254.7% | +217.4% | +60.9% | +5.1% |
|
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
Peer
|
+134.4% | +121.1% | +97.1% | +22.0% | -9.4% | +0.5% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
49.74
Forward P/E
32.93
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
24.15
P/S Ratio
17.44
EV/Revenue
16.85
EV/EBITDA
44.87
Market Cap
$569.58B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
29.42%
Operating Margin
35.3%
Gross Margin
52.83%
ROE
50.46%
ROA
14.25%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+4.9%
Earnings Growth
+7.2%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+5.4%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.24
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.26
Good
Quick Ratio
0.73
Poor
Cash/Share
$34.56
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-04-15
$N/A
2026-01-27
$7.34
-2.7% surprise
2025-10-15
$5.49
+2.1% surprise
2025-07-16
$5.9
+12.4% surprise
Technology Sector Comparison
Comparing ASML against 149 companies in the Technology sector
(10 bullish, 66 neutral, 73 bearish)
P/E Ratio
49.74
This Stock
vs
90.97
Sector Avg
-45.3%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
50.46%
This Stock
vs
-8.13%
Sector Avg
-720.6%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
29.42%
This Stock
vs
-7.75%
Sector Avg
-479.3%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.24
This Stock
vs
0.76
Sector Avg
-68.7%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
4.9%
This Stock
vs
56.87%
Sector Avg
-91.4%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.26
This Stock
vs
3.33
Sector Avg
-62.1%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ASML
ASML Holding N.V.
|
NEUTRAL | $569.58B | 49.74 | 50.5% | 29.4% | $1450.56 | |
|
ORCL
Oracle Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $549.03B | 35.92 | 69.0% | 25.3% | $191.09 | |
|
PLTR
Palantir Technologies Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $410.28B | 1740.1 | 19.5% | 28.1% | $174.01 | |
|
MU
Micron Technology, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $408.28B | 34.42 | 22.6% | 28.1% | $362.75 | |
|
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $315.31B | 74.1 | 7.1% | 12.5% | $193.39 |
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
15 analysts
RBC Capital
2026-01-29
Outperform
Outperform
Wells Fargo
2026-01-29
Overweight
Overweight
Barclays
2026-01-29
Equal-Weight
Overweight
Bernstein
2026-01-22
Outperform
Outperform
KGI Securities
2026-01-15
Hold
Outperform
Wells Fargo
2026-01-15
Overweight
Overweight
RBC Capital
2026-01-15
Outperform
JP Morgan
2026-01-14
Overweight
Overweight
Bernstein
2026-01-05
Market Perform
Outperform
B of A Securities
2025-12-03
Buy
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning ASML from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.