ASML
NEUTRAL
$1345.69
Live
ASML Holding N.V. · NASDAQ
Target $1448.01
(+7.6%)
$578.51
52W Range
$1547.22
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Mar 14, 2026
Market cap
$528.4B
P/E
47.17
ROE
50.5%
Profit margin
29.4%
Debt/Equity
0.24
Dividend yield
0.65%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
78%
ASML exhibits strong financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating stable fundamentals despite not reaching the 'strong' threshold. The company's robust profitability metrics—especially a 50.46% ROE and 29.42% profit margin—underscore its operational excellence. While the current price of $1,345.69 trades at a premium to both the Graham Number ($193.99) and Intrinsic Value ($507.83), this is justified by exceptional growth prospects and dominant market positioning in semiconductor equipment. The recent earnings beat rate of 50% over the last four quarters and consistent positive surprises support a bullish outlook. The absence of an Altman Z-Score does not indicate distress risk, as the company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio (0.24) and strong liquidity. Price trades at a 28.2% premium to fair value estimate ($1050.00), limiting near-term upside from a valuation perspective.
Key Strengths
Exceptional profitability with 50.46% ROE and 29.42% profit margin
Dominant market position in semiconductor equipment with strong pricing power
Consistent earnings beat rate (50% over last 4 quarters) and positive EPS surprises
Low financial leverage (Debt/Equity: 0.24) and healthy liquidity (Current Ratio: 1.26)
High growth expectations reflected in forward P/E of 31.14 and strong analyst buy consensus
Key Risks
Current valuation at P/E 47.17 and Price/Book 22.96 suggests significant premium to historical norms
Technical trend score of 10/100 indicates short-term bearish momentum despite long-term strength
Dividend strength is weak (25/100), with low yield (0.65%) and modest payout ratio (26.6%)
Lack of Altman Z-Score prevents formal distress risk assessment, though financial health appears sound
Recent 1-month price decline (-6.3%) reflects potential near-term volatility
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$1050.0
-22.0% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
66
Strong
52
89
87
74
30
AI Verdict
bullish
Key drivers: High ROE and profit margins, Strong earnings growth and consistency, Low financial risk and solid balance sheet, Dominant industry position and innovation leadership, Positive analyst sentiment and target price upside
Confidence
78%
Value
52/100
Stock trades at a significant premium to fundamental valuation metrics, justified by exceptional growth expectations and market leadership.
Positives
- Intrinsic value estimate of $507.83 reflects strong growth potential
- Graham Number of $193.99 provides a conservative floor
- Forward P/E of 31.14 is below sector average (90.97)
Watchpoints
- Current price ($1,345.69) is over 2.6x intrinsic value and 6.9x Graham Number
- P/E ratio (47.17) is elevated relative to historical norms
- Price/Book (22.96) indicates high market premium
- Price trades at a 28.2% premium to fair value estimate ($1050.00), limiting near-term upside from a valuation perspective.
Future
89/100
Future outlook is highly favorable, supported by strong growth metrics and positive market sentiment.
Positives
- 7.2% YoY earnings growth and 4.9% revenue growth indicate sustained expansion
- Forward P/E of 31.14 suggests market expects continued growth
- Recent Q/Q EPS growth of +33.7% signals acceleration
- Strong analyst target price ($1,448.01) implies confidence in future performance
Watchpoints
- PEG ratio unavailable, limiting growth-adjusted valuation analysis
- No Q/Q revenue growth data available for trend confirmation
Past
87/100
Historical track record is strong, with only occasional misses, reinforcing reliability.
Positives
- 25 consecutive quarters of earnings data show consistent performance
- Average earnings surprise of +3.93% over last 4 quarters
- Multiple quarters with double-digit EPS beats (e.g., +12.4%, +19.1%, +23.9%)
- Long-term price appreciation of +157.6% over 5 years
Watchpoints
- One quarter (2020-07) showed a negative surprise (-13.2%)
- Recent quarter (2026-01) missed estimates by -2.7%
Health
74/100
Financial health is solid but not exceptional; the absence of Altman Z-Score is a minor gap.
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable financial health
- Low debt-to-equity (0.24) and strong current ratio (1.26)
- High operating margin (35.30%) and gross margin (52.83%)
- No indication of financial distress
Watchpoints
- Piotroski score below 7 suggests room for improvement in financial quality
- Altman Z-Score not available, limiting formal distress risk assessment
Dividend
30/100
Dividend is safe but not a key strength; not a primary driver for investment.
Positives
- Payout ratio of 26.6% is sustainable and conservative
- Dividend yield of 0.65% is stable and consistent
Watchpoints
- Dividend strength score of 25/100 indicates weak yield relative to peers
- Low yield limits income appeal for defensive investors
- No dividend growth data available
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$1345.69
Analyst Target
$1448.01
Upside/Downside
+7.6%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ASML and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-03-13
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ASML
ASML Holding N.V.
Primary
|
+157.6% | +122.8% | +95.4% | +65.9% | -6.3% | +4.1% |
|
MU
Micron Technology, Inc.
Peer
|
+318.8% | +542.6% | +326.4% | +107.5% | -8.5% | -1.2% |
|
ORCL
Oracle Corporation
Peer
|
+119.4% | +64.1% | +6.3% | -47.5% | -1.4% | +0.0% |
|
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
Peer
|
+167.7% | +132.0% | +164.9% | +4.7% | +9.3% | +8.9% |
|
PLTR
Palantir Technologies Inc.
Peer
|
+532.2% | +1664.0% | +90.1% | -18.8% | -5.4% | +1.2% |
ASM
ASML Holding N.V.
Primary
5Y
+157.6%
3Y
+122.8%
1Y
+95.4%
6M
+65.9%
1M
-6.3%
1W
+4.1%
MU
Micron Technology, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+318.8%
3Y
+542.6%
1Y
+326.4%
6M
+107.5%
1M
-8.5%
1W
-1.2%
ORC
Oracle Corporation
Peer
5Y
+119.4%
3Y
+64.1%
1Y
+6.3%
6M
-47.5%
1M
-1.4%
1W
+0.0%
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+167.7%
3Y
+132.0%
1Y
+164.9%
6M
+4.7%
1M
+9.3%
1W
+8.9%
PLT
Palantir Technologies Inc.
Peer
5Y
+532.2%
3Y
+1664.0%
1Y
+90.1%
6M
-18.8%
1M
-5.4%
1W
+1.2%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
47.17
Forward P/E
31.14
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
22.96
P/S Ratio
16.18
EV/Revenue
15.61
EV/EBITDA
41.58
Market Cap
$528.4B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
29.42%
Operating Margin
35.3%
Gross Margin
52.83%
ROE
50.46%
ROA
14.25%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+4.9%
Earnings Growth
+7.2%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+5.4%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.24
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.26
Good
Quick Ratio
0.73
Poor
Cash/Share
$34.56
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$9.7B
Gross Margin
52.2%
Op. Margin
35.3%
Net Margin
29.2%
Total Assets
$50.6B
Liabilities
$31.0B
Equity
$19.6B
Debt/Equity
1.58x
Operating CF
$11.4B
CapEx
$-0.5B
Free Cash Flow
$10.9B
FCF Yield
96%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-04-15
$N/A
2026-01-27
$7.34
-2.7% surprise
2025-10-15
$5.49
+2.1% surprise
2025-07-16
$5.9
+12.4% surprise
Technology Sector Comparison
Comparing ASML against 565 companies in the Technology sector
(45 bullish, 197 neutral, 323 bearish)
P/E Ratio
47.17
This Stock
vs
82.88
Sector Avg
-43.1%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
50.46%
This Stock
vs
-33.47%
Sector Avg
-250.7%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
29.42%
This Stock
vs
-11.75%
Sector Avg
-350.4%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.24
This Stock
vs
0.74
Sector Avg
-67.8%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
4.9%
This Stock
vs
4383.21%
Sector Avg
-99.9%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.26
This Stock
vs
3.59
Sector Avg
-64.8%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ASML
ASML Holding N.V.
|
NEUTRAL | $528.4B | 47.17 | 50.5% | 29.4% | $1345.69 | |
|
MU
Micron Technology, Inc.
|
BULLISH | $425.59B | 17.82 | 39.8% | 41.5% | $377.32 | Compare |
|
ORCL
Oracle Corporation
|
BULLISH | $423.1B | 26.36 | 57.6% | 25.3% | $147.11 | Compare |
|
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $377.96B | 88.48 | 7.1% | 12.5% | $231.82 | Compare |
|
PLTR
Palantir Technologies Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $353.92B | 231.22 | 26.0% | 36.3% | $147.98 | Compare |
ASML
ASML Holding N.V.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$528.4B
P/E
47.2
ROE
50.5%
Price
$1345.69
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
15 analysts
RBC Capital
2026-01-29
Outperform
Outperform
Wells Fargo
2026-01-29
Overweight
Overweight
Barclays
2026-01-29
Equal-Weight
Overweight
Bernstein
2026-01-22
Outperform
Outperform
KGI Securities
2026-01-15
Hold
Outperform
Wells Fargo
2026-01-15
Overweight
Overweight
RBC Capital
2026-01-15
Outperform
JP Morgan
2026-01-14
Overweight
Overweight
Bernstein
2026-01-05
Market Perform
Outperform
B of A Securities
2025-12-03
Buy
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning ASML from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
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