ORCL Oracle Corporation - Fundamental Analysis
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ORCL Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ
Technology
Software - Infrastructure
Current Price
Live
$191.09
Analyst Target
$291.61
+52.6%
Upside
52W High
$345.72
52W Low
$118.86
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 17, 2026
Market cap
$549.03B
P/E
35.92
ROE
69.0%
Profit margin
25.3%
Debt/Equity
4.33
Dividend yield
1.05%
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
Oracle's Advanced Deterministic Scorecard shows a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating stable but not strong financial health, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. The company exhibits robust profitability with a 69.03% ROE and 32% operating margin, supported by strong double-digit revenue and earnings growth. However, elevated valuation metrics—P/E of 35.92 and Price/Book of 18.33—suggest the stock trades at a significant premium, further compounded by bearish insider activity and weak short-term technical trends. While analyst consensus supports a 'buy' recommendation with a target price of $291.61, the current price of $191.09 sits well above the Graham Number of $35.33, indicating limited margin of safety for defensive investors.
Key Strengths
Exceptional profitability with ROE of 69.03% and operating margin of 32.00%, well above sector averages
Strong year-over-year earnings growth of 90.90% and revenue growth of 14.20%, demonstrating sustained top- and bottom-line momentum
High return metrics: ROIC not available, but ROE significantly exceeds peer average of 29.76%
Defensive dividend with a sustainable 35.71% payout ratio and consistent yield around 1.05%
Analyst consensus strongly supportive with a $291.61 target price, implying ~52% upside
Key Risks
Low Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 signals suboptimal financial health, particularly concerning liquidity and leverage
Very high debt/equity ratio of 4.33, far above sector average of 0.80, increasing financial risk
Current ratio of 0.91 and quick ratio of 0.77 indicate potential near-term liquidity pressure
Bearish insider sentiment: 10 sell transactions totaling $55.71M in the last 6 months with no buys
Technical trend rated 0/100, indicating strong short-term bearish momentum despite long-term growth
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$156.94
-17.9% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
61
Strong
45
80
70
50
60
AI Verdict
Moderately positive with caution due to valuation and health metrics
Key drivers: High profitability and growth, Elevated valuation multiples, Weak Piotroski score, Bullish analyst outlook, Bearish insider and technical signals
Confidence
75%
Value
45/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Intrinsic Value (Formula) of $156.94 provides growth-based support
- Forward P/E of 24.03 is more reasonable than current P/E of 35.92
Watchpoints
- Current price ($191.09) is 440% above Graham Number ($35.33)
- P/E of 35.92 and Price/Book of 18.33 are extremely high vs. sector averages
Future
80/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- YoY earnings growth of 90.90% and Q/Q EPS growth of +123.8%
- Revenue growth of 14.20% in a mature sector indicates strong demand
Watchpoints
- PEG Ratio not available, limiting growth-adjusted valuation insight
Past
70/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Long-term price performance strong: +233.9% over 5 years
- History of consistent earnings beats with average surprise of 12.56% in recent quarters
Watchpoints
- Recent 6-month return of -21.8% and 1-week drop of -3.7% show weakening momentum
Health
50/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- No Altman Z-Score distress flag (though data missing)
- Positive ROA of 6.86% indicates asset efficiency
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health
- Debt/Equity of 4.33 is dangerously high
- Current and quick ratios below 1.0 signal liquidity risk
Dividend
60/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Payout ratio of 35.71% is sustainable
- Dividend Strength score of 40/100 suggests room for improvement
Watchpoints
- Dividend yield of 1.05% is modest compared to income-focused peers
- 5-Year Avg Yield data unavailable, limiting trend analysis
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$191.09
Analyst Target
$291.61
Upside/Downside
+52.6%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ORCL and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-16
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ORCL
Oracle Corporation
Primary
|
+233.9% | +123.6% | +21.0% | -21.8% | +7.4% | -3.7% |
|
ASML
ASML Holding N.V.
Peer
|
+160.4% | +141.1% | +109.7% | +95.9% | +2.1% | -1.3% |
|
PLTR
Palantir Technologies Inc.
Peer
|
+992.3% | +1986.5% | +194.0% | +34.4% | -3.1% | -2.2% |
|
MU
Micron Technology, Inc.
Peer
|
+334.8% | +547.4% | +254.7% | +217.4% | +60.9% | +5.1% |
|
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
Peer
|
+134.4% | +121.1% | +97.1% | +22.0% | -9.4% | +0.5% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
35.92
Forward P/E
24.03
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
18.33
P/S Ratio
9.0
EV/Revenue
10.84
EV/EBITDA
25.18
Market Cap
$549.03B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
25.28%
Operating Margin
32.0%
Gross Margin
68.54%
ROE
69.03%
ROA
6.86%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+14.2%
Earnings Growth
+90.9%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+94.7%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
4.33
High debt
Current Ratio
0.91
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.77
Poor
Cash/Share
$6.88
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-03-09
$N/A
2025-12-10
$2.26
+38.0% surprise
2025-09-09
$1.01
-3.7% surprise
2025-06-11
$1.7
+3.4% surprise
Technology Sector Comparison
Comparing ORCL against 149 companies in the Technology sector
(10 bullish, 66 neutral, 73 bearish)
P/E Ratio
35.92
This Stock
vs
90.97
Sector Avg
-60.5%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
69.03%
This Stock
vs
-8.13%
Sector Avg
-949.0%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
25.28%
This Stock
vs
-7.75%
Sector Avg
-426.0%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
4.33
This Stock
vs
0.76
Sector Avg
+465.9%
(Higher)
Revenue Growth
14.2%
This Stock
vs
56.87%
Sector Avg
-75.0%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
0.91
This Stock
vs
3.33
Sector Avg
-72.7%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ORCL
Oracle Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $549.03B | 35.92 | 69.0% | 25.3% | $191.09 | |
|
ASML
ASML Holding N.V.
|
NEUTRAL | $569.58B | 49.74 | 50.5% | 29.4% | $1450.56 | |
|
PLTR
Palantir Technologies Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $410.28B | 1740.1 | 19.5% | 28.1% | $174.01 | |
|
MU
Micron Technology, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $408.28B | 34.42 | 22.6% | 28.1% | $362.75 | |
|
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $315.31B | 74.1 | 7.1% | 12.5% | $193.39 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-24 | HURA MARK | Officer | Sale | 15,000 | $2,953,314 |
| 2025-12-23 | SELIGMAN NAOMI O | Director | Sale | 2,223 | $437,064 |
| 2025-12-22 | HURA MARK | Officer | Gift | 5,000 | - |
| 2025-12-19 | MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 10,000 | $1,925,152 |
| 2025-12-05 | SMITH MARIA | Officer | Stock Award | 11,016 | - |
| 2025-10-28 | BERG JEFFREY S | Director | Sale | 49,365 | $13,971,267 |
| 2025-10-23 | SMITH MARIA | Officer | Sale | 10,000 | $2,803,122 |
| 2025-10-21 | MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 40,000 | $11,065,508 |
| 2025-10-10 | LEVEY STUART A | Officer | Sale | 19,758 | $5,927,400 |
| 2025-09-26 | SELIGMAN NAOMI O | Director | Gift | 1,406 | - |
| 2025-09-26 | SELIGMAN NAOMI O | Director | Sale | 2,222 | $641,958 |
| 2025-09-23 | SICILIA MICHAEL D | Officer | Sale | 33,845 | $10,869,660 |
| 2025-09-19 | SMITH MARIA | Officer | Stock Award | 17,440 | - |
| 2025-09-19 | SICILIA MICHAEL D | Officer | Stock Award | 109,212 | - |
| 2025-09-19 | MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M | Officer | Stock Award | 129,861 | - |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
38 analysts
UBS
2026-01-05
Buy
Buy
RBC Capital
2026-01-05
Sector Perform
Sector Perform
Jefferies
2026-01-05
Buy
Buy
Goldman Sachs
2025-12-12
Neutral
Neutral
UBS
2025-12-11
Buy
Buy
Citigroup
2025-12-11
Buy
Buy
DA Davidson
2025-12-11
Neutral
Neutral
JP Morgan
2025-12-11
Neutral
Neutral
Scotiabank
2025-12-11
Sector Outperform
Sector Outperform
TD Cowen
2025-12-11
Buy
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning ORCL from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.