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ASTH vs LLY

ASTH
Astrana Health, Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$20.33
Market Cap
$1.02B
Sector
Healthcare
AI Confidence
85%
LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
NEUTRAL
Price
$958.65
Market Cap
$858.01B
Sector
Healthcare
AI Confidence
85%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
ASTH
107.0
LLY
41.7
Forward P/E
ASTH
9.64
LLY
22.78
P/B Ratio
ASTH
1.29
LLY
32.33
P/S Ratio
ASTH
0.35
LLY
13.16
EV/EBITDA
ASTH
11.98
LLY
27.08

Profitability

Gross Margin
ASTH
10.25%
LLY
83.04%
Operating Margin
ASTH
3.09%
LLY
44.9%
Profit Margin
ASTH
0.33%
LLY
31.67%
ROE
ASTH
1.83%
LLY
101.16%
ROA
ASTH
2.88%
LLY
19.41%

Growth

Revenue Growth
ASTH
99.7%
LLY
42.6%
Earnings Growth
ASTH
-97.7%
LLY
51.4%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
ASTH
1.96
LLY
1.65
Current Ratio
ASTH
1.4
LLY
1.58
Quick Ratio
ASTH
1.36
LLY
0.78

Dividends

Dividend Yield
ASTH
--
LLY
0.68%
Payout Ratio
ASTH
0.0%
LLY
26.14%

AI Verdict

ASTH BEARISH

ASTH's Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicates a stable but not strong financial foundation, with notable weaknesses in profitability and cash flow generation. The absence of an Altman Z-Score raises concern about default risk, particularly given a high debt/equity ratio of 1.96 and negative earnings growth of -97.7% YoY. While the company exhibits explosive revenue growth (99.7% YoY) and strong earnings surprises in recent quarters, these are not sustainable without improving margins and profitability. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 9.64 but a current P/E of 107.00, suggesting a massive valuation disconnect that reflects overpricing relative to current earnings. The Graham Number of $8.19 and intrinsic value of $1.33 imply severe overvaluation, with the current price of $20.33 trading at a significant premium.

Strengths
Explosive revenue growth of 99.7% YoY
Strong recent earnings surprise history (average +21.43% over last 4 quarters)
Positive recent quarterly EPS growth (Q/Q +15.5%, YoY +103.0%)
Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicates financial stability but not strength, with red flags in profitability and cash flow
Negative earnings growth of -97.7% YoY despite revenue growth, signaling unsustainable business model
Extremely high current P/E of 107.00 vs. forward P/E of 9.64, indicating overvaluation based on current earnings
LLY NEUTRAL

LLY shows neutral fundamentals based on deterministic rules. Financial strength is weak (F-Score 3/9). Mixed signals with both opportunities and risks present.

Strengths
Strong profitability (31.7% margin)
Strong revenue growth of 42.6%
Strong ROE of 101.2%
Risks
High valuation with P/E of 41.7
Premium vs Graham Number ($123.85)
Weak financial trend (Piotroski F-Score: 3/9)

Compare Another Pair

ASTH vs LLY: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Astrana Health, Inc. (ASTH) and Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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