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AXIA vs NGG

AXIA
AXIA Energia SA
BEARISH
Price
$10.31
Market Cap
$23.18B
Sector
Utilities
AI Confidence
78%
NGG
National Grid plc
BEARISH
Price
$89.54
Market Cap
$89.06B
Sector
Utilities
AI Confidence
85%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
AXIA
--
NGG
22.16
Forward P/E
AXIA
10.44
NGG
14.7
P/B Ratio
AXIA
1.16
NGG
8.96
P/S Ratio
AXIA
0.54
NGG
5.09
EV/EBITDA
AXIA
69.71
NGG
67.62

Profitability

Gross Margin
AXIA
52.3%
NGG
100.0%
Operating Margin
AXIA
-34.96%
NGG
24.15%
Profit Margin
AXIA
-14.11%
NGG
16.43%
ROE
AXIA
-5.21%
NGG
7.87%
ROA
AXIA
-0.74%
NGG
3.22%

Growth

Revenue Growth
AXIA
-9.4%
NGG
-11.3%
Earnings Growth
AXIA
--
NGG
-12.4%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
AXIA
0.69
NGG
1.23
Current Ratio
AXIA
1.92
NGG
0.97
Quick Ratio
AXIA
1.17
NGG
0.75

Dividends

Dividend Yield
AXIA
5.09%
NGG
3.48%
Payout Ratio
AXIA
9.24%
NGG
77.96%

AI Verdict

AXIA BEARISH

AXIA exhibits severe financial distress with a Piotroski F-Score of just 2/9, indicating weak fundamental health. Despite a strong 52-week price performance (+90.8% in 1Y), the company is unprofitable (Profit Margin: -14.11%, ROE: -5.21%), shrinking (Revenue Growth YoY: -9.40%), and has consistently missed earnings estimates (1/4 beats in last 4 quarters, average surprise: -40.07%). While the stock appears cheap on forward P/E (10.44) and offers a high dividend yield (5.09%), these are misleading given the lack of earnings sustainability and negative cash flow visibility. The absence of Altman Z-Score and key financials like debt, cash, and EBITDA raises transparency concerns, further undermining confidence.

Strengths
High dividend yield of 5.09% with very low payout ratio (9.24%), suggesting dividend sustainability if earnings stabilize
Attractive forward P/E of 10.44 compared to sector average of 24.81, implying potential undervaluation if turnaround succeeds
Strong gross margin of 52.30%, indicating pricing power or efficient production in its renewable operations
Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals severe financial weakness and high risk of continued underperformance
Negative profitability across all metrics: profit margin (-14.11%), operating margin (-34.96%), and ROE (-5.21%)
Revenue declining YoY (-9.40%) with inconsistent earnings and large negative surprises, including a -103.2% miss in Q1 2025
NGG BEARISH

National Grid (NGG) presents a stark divergence between its stable operational health and its current market valuation. While the Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicates a stable financial condition, the stock is trading at a massive premium, with a current price of $89.54 far exceeding the Graham Number ($30.15) and Intrinsic Value ($28.28). This valuation gap is compounded by negative YoY revenue (-11.30%) and earnings growth (-12.40%), suggesting the market is pricing in growth that is not supported by current data. Despite strong operating margins, the bearish technical trend and high payout ratio signal significant downside risk.

Strengths
Strong operating margin of 24.15%, significantly outperforming the sector average
Debt/Equity ratio (1.23) is lower than the utility sector average (1.58)
Stable financial health as indicated by a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9
Risks
Severe overvaluation relative to Graham Number ($30.15) and Intrinsic Value ($28.28)
Negative YoY revenue growth (-11.30%) and earnings growth (-12.40%)
Extremely high Price-to-Book ratio of 8.96, indicating a high premium over assets

Compare Another Pair

AXIA vs NGG: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares AXIA Energia SA (AXIA) and National Grid plc (NGG) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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