NGG
BEARISH
$89.54
Live
National Grid plc · NYSE
Target $92.05
(+2.8%)
$67.08
52W Range
$94.64
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated May 01, 2026
Market cap
$89.06B
P/E
22.16
ROE
7.9%
Profit margin
16.4%
Debt/Equity
1.23
Dividend yield
3.48%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
National Grid (NGG) presents a stark divergence between its stable operational health and its current market valuation. While the Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicates a stable financial condition, the stock is trading at a massive premium, with a current price of $89.54 far exceeding the Graham Number ($30.15) and Intrinsic Value ($28.28). This valuation gap is compounded by negative YoY revenue (-11.30%) and earnings growth (-12.40%), suggesting the market is pricing in growth that is not supported by current data. Despite strong operating margins, the bearish technical trend and high payout ratio signal significant downside risk.
Key Strengths
Strong operating margin of 24.15%, significantly outperforming the sector average
Debt/Equity ratio (1.23) is lower than the utility sector average (1.58)
Stable financial health as indicated by a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9
Strong historical long-term price performance (+93.8% over 5 years)
Regulated industry position providing a baseline of revenue stability
Key Risks
Severe overvaluation relative to Graham Number ($30.15) and Intrinsic Value ($28.28)
Negative YoY revenue growth (-11.30%) and earnings growth (-12.40%)
Extremely high Price-to-Book ratio of 8.96, indicating a high premium over assets
High dividend payout ratio (77.96%) which may limit capital reinvestment or future growth
Strongly bearish technical trend (10/100) suggesting a potential price reversal
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$34.2
-61.8% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
47
Moderate
15
30
75
65
50
AI Verdict
Overvalued Stable Utility
Key drivers: Extreme valuation premium, Negative growth trajectory, Stable operational margins, Sector-relative debt efficiency
Confidence
90%
Value
15/100
Ref P/E 22.16, PEG 1.09, Graham Number $30.15
Positives
- Forward P/E (14.70) is lower than current P/E
Watchpoints
- Price is ~3x the Graham Number
- P/B ratio of 8.96 is excessively high
- Price far exceeds growth-based intrinsic value
Future
30/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Regulated electric industry provides long-term predictability
Watchpoints
- Revenue growth -11.30% YoY
- Earnings growth -12.40% YoY
- Q/Q earnings continuing to decline (-4.60%)
Past
75/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Strong 5Y (+93.8%) and 1Y (+28%) returns
- Consistent price appreciation over the medium term
Watchpoints
- Recent technical trend has turned sharply bearish
Health
65/100
Ref Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score 5/9 (Stable)
- Debt/Equity better than sector average
- Healthy operating margins
Watchpoints
- Current ratio (0.97) is slightly below 1.0
- Quick ratio (0.75) indicates tight liquidity
Dividend
50/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Consistent yield of 3.48%
Watchpoints
- High payout ratio (77.96%)
- Low overall dividend strength score (35/100)
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$89.54
Analyst Target
$92.05
Upside/Downside
+2.8%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for NGG and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-30
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
NGG
National Grid plc
Primary
|
+93.8% | +55.0% | +28.0% | +19.4% | +5.8% | +3.0% |
|
DUK
Duke Energy Corporation
Peer
|
+65.2% | +54.9% | +12.0% | +8.9% | -0.5% | +2.2% |
|
SO
The Southern Company
Peer
|
+70.3% | +40.4% | +5.6% | +1.6% | -3.5% | +1.8% |
|
AEP
American Electric Power Company, Inc.
Peer
|
+84.9% | +62.4% | +25.8% | +18.8% | -1.1% | +2.8% |
|
SRE
Sempra
Peer
|
+73.7% | +43.8% | +40.8% | +11.1% | +2.9% | +2.6% |
NGG
National Grid plc
Primary
5Y
+93.8%
3Y
+55.0%
1Y
+28.0%
6M
+19.4%
1M
+5.8%
1W
+3.0%
DUK
Duke Energy Corporation
Peer
5Y
+65.2%
3Y
+54.9%
1Y
+12.0%
6M
+8.9%
1M
-0.5%
1W
+2.2%
SO
The Southern Company
Peer
5Y
+70.3%
3Y
+40.4%
1Y
+5.6%
6M
+1.6%
1M
-3.5%
1W
+1.8%
AEP
American Electric Power Company, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+84.9%
3Y
+62.4%
1Y
+25.8%
6M
+18.8%
1M
-1.1%
1W
+2.8%
SRE
Sempra
Peer
5Y
+73.7%
3Y
+43.8%
1Y
+40.8%
6M
+11.1%
1M
+2.9%
1W
+2.6%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
22.16
Forward P/E
14.7
PEG Ratio
1.09
P/B Ratio
8.96
P/S Ratio
5.09
EV/Revenue
27.63
EV/EBITDA
67.62
Market Cap
$89.06B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
16.43%
Operating Margin
24.15%
Gross Margin
100.0%
ROE
7.87%
ROA
3.22%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-11.3%
Earnings Growth
-12.4%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-4.6%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
1.23
Moderate
Current Ratio
0.97
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.75
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.82
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q1 2025
Total Assets
$106.7B
Liabilities
$68.9B
Equity
$37.8B
Debt/Equity
1.82x
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-14
$N/A
Utilities Sector Comparison
Comparing NGG against 74 companies in the Utilities sector
(4 bullish, 43 neutral, 27 bearish)
P/E Ratio
22.16
This Stock
vs
26.37
Sector Avg
-16.0%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
7.87%
This Stock
vs
-0.24%
Sector Avg
-3352.0%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
16.43%
This Stock
vs
6.58%
Sector Avg
+149.6%
(Superior)
Debt to Equity
1.23
This Stock
vs
1.68
Sector Avg
-26.8%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-11.3%
This Stock
vs
22.89%
Sector Avg
-149.4%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
0.97
This Stock
vs
1.17
Sector Avg
-16.6%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
NGG
National Grid plc
|
BEARISH | $89.06B | 22.16 | 7.9% | 16.4% | $89.54 | |
|
DUK
Duke Energy Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $101.94B | 20.76 | 9.7% | 15.6% | $130.99 | Compare |
|
SO
The Southern Company
|
BEARISH | $105.41B | 23.85 | 11.0% | 14.7% | $93.51 | Compare |
|
AEP
American Electric Power...
|
NEUTRAL | $71.67B | 19.8 | 12.5% | 16.4% | $131.85 | Compare |
|
SRE
Sempra
|
BEARISH | $63.88B | 35.55 | 5.2% | 13.4% | $97.78 | Compare |
NGG
National Grid plc
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$89.1B
P/E
22.2
ROE
7.9%
Price
$89.54
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-14 | Geduldig (Courtney) | Purchase | 22 | $1,715 | |
| 2026-01-14 | Love (Talvis) | Purchase | 123 | $9,591 | |
| 2026-01-13 | Reynolds (Paula Rosput) | Purchase | 43 | $3,191 | |
| 2025-12-01 | Love (Talvis) | Stock Award | 14,147 | - | |
| 2025-12-01 | Love (Talvis) | Sale | 6,865 | $523,868 | |
| 2025-11-24 | BlackRock Inc. | Stock Award | 7,319 | - | |
| 2025-11-14 | BlackRock Inc. | Stock Award | 364,191 | - |
Geduldig (Courtney)
2026-01-14
22 shares
·
$1,715
Love (Talvis)
2026-01-14
123 shares
·
$9,591
Reynolds (Paula Rosput)
2026-01-13
43 shares
·
$3,191
Love (Talvis)
2025-12-01
14,147 shares
Love (Talvis)
2025-12-01
6,865 shares
·
$523,868
BlackRock Inc.
2025-11-24
7,319 shares
BlackRock Inc.
2025-11-14
364,191 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
NONE
4 analysts
Jefferies
2026-03-18
Buy
Hold
UBS
2026-03-16
Neutral
Sell
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning NGG from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.