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SRE Sempra - Fundamental Analysis

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SRE Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Utilities Utilities - Diversified
Current Price Live
$92.55
Analyst Target
$100.33
+8.4% Upside
52W High
$95.72
52W Low
$61.9

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 17, 2026
Market cap
$60.41B
P/E
28.48
ROE
6.8%
Profit margin
15.8%
Debt/Equity
0.81
Dividend yield
2.82%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
65%
Sempra (SRE) shows strong deterministic financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, indicating solid operational performance, though the absence of an Altman Z-Score limits distress risk assessment. The stock trades at a premium valuation (P/E 28.48 vs sector avg 20.87) despite weak earnings growth and a sharp YoY decline in EPS (-88.20%), raising sustainability concerns. While revenue growth is robust at 13.50%, insider selling worth $10.75M over the last six months and a weak technical trend (10/100) suggest caution. Analysts maintain a 'buy' recommendation with a $100.33 target, implying upside, but this contrasts with deteriorating earnings momentum and a high payout ratio of 78.62%.

Key Strengths

Strong Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicates high-quality financial fundamentals and operational efficiency
Revenue growth of 13.50% YoY outpaces sector average of 9.16%, reflecting strong top-line momentum
Debt/Equity ratio of 0.81 is well below sector average of 1.55, signaling conservative capital structure
Dividend yield of 2.82% provides income appeal in a low-yield environment
Current Ratio of 1.59 suggests adequate short-term liquidity despite very low Quick Ratio

Key Risks

Earnings collapse: YoY and Q/Q EPS growth down ~88%, indicating severe profitability deterioration
High P/E of 28.48 vs forward P/E of 18.14 and sector average of 20.87 suggests overvaluation relative to earnings trajectory
Insider selling pressure: $10.75M in net sales by executives over last 6 months signals internal caution
Very low Quick Ratio of 0.09 indicates near-term liquidity risk despite healthy Current Ratio
Technical trend score of 10/100 reflects strong bearish momentum in price action
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$79.5
-14.1% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
54
Moderate
Value
45
Future
30
Past
68
Health
75
Dividend
50
AI Verdict
Cautiously optimistic with significant near-term risks
Key drivers: Strong Piotroski score and revenue growth support optimism, Collapsing earnings, insider selling, and technical weakness cap upside
Confidence
70%
Value
45/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Forward P/E of 18.14 is more reasonable than current P/E of 28.48
Watchpoints
  • Current P/E of 28.48 is significantly above sector average (20.87)
  • Price/Sales of 4.41 is high for a utility
  • Stock trades well above Graham Number of $59.09
Future
30/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Analyst target price implies 8.4% upside to $100.33
Watchpoints
  • YoY Earnings Growth: -88.20%
  • Q/Q Earnings Growth: -85.40%
  • Most Recent Q/Q EPS Growth: -86.5%
Past
68/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Historically strong earnings beat rate: 18 of last 25 quarters beat estimates
  • 5Y price return of +78.7% outperforms peers
Watchpoints
  • Recent earnings misses: 3 of last 4 quarters missed, with average surprise of -24.35%
Health
75/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicates strong financial health
  • Debt/Equity of 0.81 is well below sector average
Watchpoints
  • Quick Ratio of 0.09 indicates potential liquidity stress
  • Altman Z-Score not available, limiting distress risk analysis
Dividend
50/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Dividend yield of 2.82% is attractive in current market
  • Payout ratio of 78.62% is manageable for a utility
Watchpoints
  • Dividend Strength score of 35/100 suggests vulnerability
  • Earnings collapse threatens dividend sustainability despite current coverage

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$92.55
Analyst Target
$100.33
Upside/Downside
+8.4%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for SRE and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-16
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
SRE
Sempra
Primary
+78.7% +26.0% +13.8% +20.0% +6.7% +4.2%
D
Dominion Energy, Inc.
Peer
+7.3% +13.6% +16.3% +7.6% +1.7% +5.4%
AEP
American Electric Power Company, Inc.
Peer
+94.8% +65.7% +32.5% +24.0% +9.3% +1.3%
EXC
Exelon Corporation
Peer
+74.8% +15.9% +17.8% +4.9% +1.1% +3.3%
XEL
Xcel Energy Inc.
Peer
+36.9% +17.9% +17.9% +9.1% +4.2% +1.8%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
28.48
Forward P/E
18.14
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.94
P/S Ratio
4.41
EV/Revenue
7.45
EV/EBITDA
18.43
Market Cap
$60.41B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 15.75%
Operating Margin 14.5%
Gross Margin 41.33%
ROE 6.77%
ROA 1.85%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +13.5%
Earnings Growth -88.2%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth -85.4%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.81
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.59
Good
Quick Ratio
0.09
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.01

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-24
$N/A
2025-11-05
$0.12
-87.2% surprise
2025-08-07
$0.89
+4.8% surprise
2025-05-08
$1.44
+9.3% surprise

Utilities Sector Comparison

Comparing SRE against 21 companies in the Utilities sector (0 bullish, 18 neutral, 3 bearish)
P/E Ratio
28.48
This Stock
vs
24.3
Sector Avg
+17.2% (Premium)
Return on Equity (ROE)
6.77%
This Stock
vs
-7.2%
Sector Avg
-194.1% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
15.75%
This Stock
vs
10.62%
Sector Avg
+48.4% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.81
This Stock
vs
1.76
Sector Avg
-53.8% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
13.5%
This Stock
vs
6.94%
Sector Avg
+94.5% (Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
1.59
This Stock
vs
0.88
Sector Avg
+80.9% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
SRE
Sempra
NEUTRAL $60.41B 28.48 6.8% 15.8% $92.55
D
Dominion Energy, Inc.
NEUTRAL $52.2B 19.98 9.2% 16.8% $61.13
AEP
American Electric Power...
NEUTRAL $72.26B 20.09 12.5% 16.4% $133.61
EXC
Exelon Corporation
NEUTRAL $45.18B 16.03 10.3% 11.6% $44.73
XEL
Xcel Energy Inc.
NEUTRAL $44.73B 23.05 9.4% 13.5% $75.61

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date Insider Position Transaction Shares Value
2026-01-05 MARTIN JEFFREY W Chief Executive Officer Sale 53,111 $4,694,429
2026-01-02 DAY DIANA L Officer Stock Award 9,364 -
2026-01-02 LARROQUE ALEXANDER LISA Officer Stock Award 5,824 -
2026-01-02 WOLD DYAN Z. Officer Stock Award 2,890 -
2025-11-24 SEDGWICK KAREN L Chief Financial Officer Sale 7,564 $698,082
2025-11-19 WINN CAROLINE ANN Officer Sale 6,000 $549,540
2025-11-19 WOLD DYAN Z. Officer Sale 1,510 $137,984
2025-11-07 LARROQUE ALEXANDER LISA Officer Sale 4,322 $400,001
2025-09-29 SAGARA KEVIN C Director Sale 14,433 $1,291,754
2025-09-15 SAGARA KEVIN C Director Sale 28,864 $2,430,567
2025-08-14 WINN CAROLINE ANN Officer Sale 5,114 $419,399
2025-07-23 LARROQUE ALEXANDER LISA Officer Sale 1,576 $126,080
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
15 analysts
UBS
2025-12-17
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Citigroup
2025-11-24
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Goldman Sachs
2025-11-14
up
Neutral Buy
UBS
2025-11-06
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Barclays
2025-11-06
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Wells Fargo
2025-10-28
init
Overweight
Jefferies
2025-10-22
Maintains
Hold Hold
BMO Capital
2025-10-22
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Barclays
2025-10-20
up
Equal-Weight Overweight
Evercore ISI Group
2025-10-07
init
Outperform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning SRE from our newsroom.

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