DUK Duke Energy Corporation - Fundamental Analysis

NEUTRAL

DUK Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights

NYSE • Utilities • Utilities - Regulated Electric

Current Price Live

$119.22

Analyst Target

$135.47

+13.6% Upside

52W High

$130.03

52W Low

$108.63

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AI Analysis

Confidence Score

72%

Analysis Accuracy

Duke Energy's Advanced Deterministic Scorecard shows a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating stable but not strong financial health, and the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. The stock trades above its Graham Number of $96.29 at $119.22, reflecting a premium valuation, though below the growth-based intrinsic value of $165.42. Profitability metrics are solid with a 15.97% profit margin and 27.12% operating margin, but weak liquidity (Current Ratio: 0.63) and high leverage (Debt/Equity: 1.70) constrain financial flexibility. Analysts recommend a 'buy' with a $135.47 target, supported by consistent earnings beats and strong dividend yield, though insider selling raises caution.

Key Strengths

Consistent earnings performance with 3 out of last 4 quarters beating estimates and an average surprise of 6.90%

Attractive dividend yield of 3.58% well above sector average, supported by a manageable 66.14% payout ratio

Strong operating profitability: 27.12% operating margin and 15.97% net margin exceed sector averages

Analyst consensus is 'buy' with a $135.47 target price, implying ~13.6% upside

Earnings growth momentum: 12.70% YoY and 10.90% Q/Q earnings growth, with recent Q/Q EPS surge of +44.8%

Key Risks

Weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests suboptimal financial health, particularly in liquidity and leverage metrics

Very low liquidity: Current Ratio of 0.63 and Quick Ratio of 0.24 indicate potential short-term solvency concerns

High Debt/Equity ratio of 1.70 exceeds sector average (1.55) and increases financial risk in rising rate environments

Insider selling trend: 7 sell transactions totaling $2.65M in last 6 months with no buys, signaling bearish sentiment from insiders

Technical trend score of 0/100 indicates a bearish price momentum despite long-term positive returns

AI Fair Value Estimate

Based on comprehensive analysis

$130.85

+9.8% above current price

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Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis

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