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AXL vs BABA

AXL
American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Price
$8.28
Market Cap
$982.8M
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
AI Confidence
65%
BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
NEUTRAL
Price
$173.23
Market Cap
$413.56B
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
AI Confidence
65%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
AXL
23.66
BABA
23.6
Forward P/E
AXL
11.85
BABA
19.5
P/B Ratio
AXL
1.37
BABA
2.71
P/S Ratio
AXL
0.17
BABA
0.41
EV/EBITDA
AXL
4.24
BABA
20.1

Profitability

Gross Margin
AXL
12.31%
BABA
41.17%
Operating Margin
AXL
4.54%
BABA
2.17%
Profit Margin
AXL
0.72%
BABA
12.19%
ROE
AXL
6.28%
BABA
11.19%
ROA
AXL
2.95%
BABA
4.03%

Growth

Revenue Growth
AXL
0.0%
BABA
4.8%
Earnings Growth
AXL
-12.5%
BABA
-51.8%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
AXL
3.81
BABA
0.27
Current Ratio
AXL
1.77
BABA
1.46
Quick Ratio
AXL
1.24
BABA
0.84

Dividends

Dividend Yield
AXL
--
BABA
0.59%
Payout Ratio
AXL
0.0%
BABA
14.4%

AI Verdict

AXL NEUTRAL

The company exhibits weak fundamental health with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating borderline stability, and lacks an Altman Z-Score to confirm financial distress risk. Despite a recent strong price run-up (+44.8% 1Y), profitability is thin, growth is negative, and leverage is extremely high (Debt/Equity: 3.81). Valuation metrics are mixed, with a low P/S of 0.17 suggesting potential undervaluation, but elevated P/E of 23.66 and negative earnings growth raise concerns. Analysts concur with a 'hold' rating, aligning with the uncertain outlook.

Strengths
Low Price/Sales ratio (0.17) suggests potential undervaluation relative to revenue
Recent strong price momentum (+68% over 6 months)
Historically high earnings surprise frequency, especially in 2024
Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4 indicates weak financial health and limited operational strength
Extremely high Debt/Equity ratio (3.81) far exceeds sector average (1.59), increasing financial risk
Negative earnings growth (YoY: -12.5%, Q/Q: -8%) and declining profitability
BABA NEUTRAL

The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a mixed financial profile for Alibaba (BABA), with a weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating suboptimal financial health, and no available Altman Z-Score limiting distress risk assessment. While valuation metrics appear favorable relative to peers—especially a Price/Sales of 0.41 and Forward P/E of 19.50—earnings growth is sharply negative (YoY EPS down 71%), and recent quarterly beats have reversed into consistent misses over the last four quarters. Strong insider sentiment and a bullish analyst consensus (strong_buy) contrast with deteriorating profitability and weak technical trends (10/100). The stock trades significantly above the Graham Number ($102.68) and intrinsic value estimate ($51.38), suggesting overvaluation unless growth rebounds materially.

Strengths
Attractive valuation multiples relative to sector: P/E (23.60) and Price/Sales (0.41) well below sector averages (Avg P/E: 49.05, Avg P/S: N/A but implied high)
Low debt burden with Debt/Equity of 0.27, well below sector average of 1.63, providing financial flexibility
Strong gross margin of 41.17%, reflecting pricing power and operational efficiency in core e-commerce
Risks
Weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 signals deteriorating financial health—penalizes health score per instructions
Earnings in freefall: YoY EPS growth down 71.0%, Q/Q down 70.4%, with last four quarters missing estimates by an average of -10.5%
Operating margin collapsed to 2.17%, indicating severe pressure in profitability despite stable gross margins

Compare Another Pair

AXL vs BABA: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. (AXL) and Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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