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BFH vs GBDC

BFH
Bread Financial Holdings, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Price
$68.78
Market Cap
$3.14B
Sector
Financial Services
AI Confidence
72%
GBDC
Golub Capital BDC, Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$12.58
Market Cap
$3.31B
Sector
Financial Services
AI Confidence
85%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
BFH
7.19
GBDC
10.06
Forward P/E
BFH
7.22
GBDC
9.71
P/B Ratio
BFH
0.95
GBDC
0.85
P/S Ratio
BFH
1.25
GBDC
3.86
EV/EBITDA
BFH
--
GBDC
--

Profitability

Gross Margin
BFH
0.0%
GBDC
100.0%
Operating Margin
BFH
29.61%
GBDC
78.29%
Profit Margin
BFH
18.77%
GBDC
38.57%
ROE
BFH
14.78%
GBDC
8.34%
ROA
BFH
2.19%
GBDC
4.7%

Growth

Revenue Growth
BFH
9.4%
GBDC
-6.2%
Earnings Growth
BFH
9703.9%
GBDC
-41.2%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
BFH
--
GBDC
1.25
Current Ratio
BFH
--
GBDC
2.4
Quick Ratio
BFH
--
GBDC
1.64

Dividends

Dividend Yield
BFH
1.3%
GBDC
11.92%
Payout Ratio
BFH
8.5%
GBDC
124.8%

AI Verdict

BFH NEUTRAL

BFH exhibits a mixed financial profile with a weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating marginal financial health, and no available Altman Z-Score limits distress risk assessment. The stock appears undervalued with a P/E of 7.19 versus sector average of 21.34 and trades below both the Graham Number ($124.61) and intrinsic value estimate ($282.31), suggesting significant upside potential. Strong earnings growth (YoY EPS +118.5%, Earnings Growth YoY 9703.90%) and consistent analyst target support ($80.07) contrast with deteriorating technical trend (0/100) and lack of insider activity. Key risks include incomplete financial data (missing debt, cash, EV metrics), volatile earnings surprises, and declining short-term price momentum.

Strengths
Significantly lower valuation multiples (P/E 7.19) compared to sector average (21.34), indicating potential undervaluation
Exceptional year-over-year earnings growth (9703.90%) and strong recent EPS progression, signaling robust profitability rebound
Attractive dividend payout ratio of 8.50%, providing sustainability and room for future increases despite low yield
Risks
Low Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak operating performance and financial stability concerns
Missing Altman Z-Score and key leverage metrics (Debt/Equity, Total Debt) create uncertainty around financial distress risk
Technical trend score of 0/100 signals strong bearish momentum, with recent 1-month (-10.3%) and 1-week (-6.7%) declines
GBDC BEARISH

GBDC presents as a classic value trap, characterized by a stable Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 but severely compromised by fundamental decay. While the stock trades at a discount to book value (P/B 0.85) and below its Graham Number ($20.43), these metrics are offset by a catastrophic earnings collapse (-41.20% YoY) and an unsustainable dividend payout ratio of 124.80%. The technical trend is completely bearish (0/100), and the company has failed to beat earnings estimates in the last four consecutive quarters, suggesting a systemic decline in portfolio performance.

Strengths
Trading at a discount to book value (P/B 0.85)
Strong operating margins (78.29%)
High current ratio (2.40) indicating short-term liquidity
Risks
Unsustainable payout ratio (124.80%) indicating dividend is not covered by earnings
Severe earnings contraction (-41.20% YoY)
Negative revenue growth (-6.20% YoY and -38.36% Q/Q)

Compare Another Pair

BFH vs GBDC: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Bread Financial Holdings, Inc. (BFH) and Golub Capital BDC, Inc. (GBDC) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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