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BOX vs FOUR

BOX
Box, Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$26.48
Market Cap
$3.79B
Sector
Technology
AI Confidence
78%
FOUR
Shift4 Payments, Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$45.29
Market Cap
$3.73B
Sector
Technology
AI Confidence
85%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
BOX
21.35
FOUR
41.94
Forward P/E
BOX
18.24
FOUR
6.79
P/B Ratio
BOX
-13.32
FOUR
6.26
P/S Ratio
BOX
3.3
FOUR
0.89
EV/EBITDA
BOX
52.22
FOUR
11.25

Profitability

Gross Margin
BOX
78.92%
FOUR
34.16%
Operating Margin
BOX
8.32%
FOUR
10.52%
Profit Margin
BOX
19.79%
FOUR
2.85%
ROE
BOX
204.27%
FOUR
9.88%
ROA
BOX
2.95%
FOUR
3.49%

Growth

Revenue Growth
BOX
9.1%
FOUR
33.9%
Earnings Growth
BOX
-4.5%
FOUR
-72.2%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
BOX
3.61
FOUR
2.36
Current Ratio
BOX
1.2
FOUR
1.66
Quick Ratio
BOX
1.1
FOUR
1.3

Dividends

Dividend Yield
BOX
--
FOUR
--
Payout Ratio
BOX
0.0%
FOUR
0.0%

AI Verdict

BOX BEARISH

The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating borderline stability, and a lack of Altman Z-Score raises concerns about bankruptcy risk assessment. Despite strong gross margins and solid historical earnings surprises, the company is experiencing sharply declining earnings (YoY EPS growth of -88.9%) and negative technical momentum. High debt levels (Debt/Equity: 3.61) and insider selling activity further undermine confidence, while the stock trades above its intrinsic value estimate of $8.68 at a current price of $26.48. Although revenue growth remains positive and profitability metrics like ROE are elevated, these are offset by deteriorating cash flow trends and aggressive insider selling, particularly from top executives.

Strengths
High gross margin of 78.92% indicates strong pricing power and low cost of sales
Consistent history of beating earnings estimates, with 20 out of 25 quarters showing positive surprises
Positive revenue growth of 9.10% YoY in a competitive software sector
Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health and below-average operational stability
Extremely high Debt/Equity ratio of 3.61, significantly above sector average of 0.69
Earnings under severe contraction: YoY EPS growth of -88.9% and Q/Q EPS drop of -84.8%
FOUR BEARISH

Shift4 Payments (FOUR) presents a high-risk profile characterized by a mediocre Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and a severe disconnect between current price ($45.29) and deterministic fair values (Graham: $13.26, Intrinsic: $7.56). While revenue growth remains robust at 33.9%, the company is suffering from a collapse in earnings (-72.2% YoY) and a consistent failure to meet analyst expectations (0/4 beats in the last 4 quarters). The combination of high debt/equity (2.36), bearish insider selling by the CEO, and a crashing technical trend suggests significant fundamental instability despite a low PEG ratio.

Strengths
Strong top-line revenue growth (33.9% YoY)
Attractive PEG ratio (0.32) suggesting growth is undervalued if earnings recover
Low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.89) relative to tech sector peers
Risks
Severe earnings contraction (-72.2% YoY) and negative Q/Q earnings growth
Consistent earnings misses (Average surprise of -28.03% over last 4 quarters)
High leverage with Debt/Equity at 2.36 and explicit 10-K risks regarding debt covenant compliance

Compare Another Pair

BOX vs FOUR: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Box, Inc. (BOX) and Shift4 Payments, Inc. (FOUR) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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