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FOUR

BEARISH
$45.29 Live
Shift4 Payments, Inc. · NYSE
Target $63.48 (+40.2%)
$39.91 52W Range $108.5

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 27, 2026
Market cap
$3.73B
P/E
41.94
ROE
9.9%
Profit margin
2.8%
Debt/Equity
2.36
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
Shift4 Payments (FOUR) presents a high-risk profile characterized by a mediocre Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and a severe disconnect between current price ($45.29) and deterministic fair values (Graham: $13.26, Intrinsic: $7.56). While revenue growth remains robust at 33.9%, the company is suffering from a collapse in earnings (-72.2% YoY) and a consistent failure to meet analyst expectations (0/4 beats in the last 4 quarters). The combination of high debt/equity (2.36), bearish insider selling by the CEO, and a crashing technical trend suggests significant fundamental instability despite a low PEG ratio.

Key Strengths

Strong top-line revenue growth (33.9% YoY)
Attractive PEG ratio (0.32) suggesting growth is undervalued if earnings recover
Low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.89) relative to tech sector peers
Positive operating margin (10.52%)
Strong analyst target price ($63.48) indicating potential upside if turnaround occurs

Key Risks

Severe earnings contraction (-72.2% YoY) and negative Q/Q earnings growth
Consistent earnings misses (Average surprise of -28.03% over last 4 quarters)
High leverage with Debt/Equity at 2.36 and explicit 10-K risks regarding debt covenant compliance
Strong bearish price momentum (-43.8% 1Y change, -40.6% 6M change)
Lack of insider confidence with CEO and Director selling shares
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$15.41
-66.0% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
28
Weak
Value
30
Future
50
Past
20
Health
40
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
High Risk / Speculative
Key drivers: Earnings collapse, Debt covenant risks, Technical breakdown, Fundamental overvaluation vs Graham/Intrinsic
Confidence
90%
Value
30/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Low P/S ratio
  • Low Forward P/E (6.79)
Watchpoints
  • Current price is >3x the Graham Number
  • P/E of 41.94 is high relative to current earnings
Future
50/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Strong revenue growth (33.9%)
  • Strategic international expansion
Watchpoints
  • Negative earnings growth trend
  • Failure to meet quarterly estimates
Past
20/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Historical ability to beat estimates in 2021-2023
Watchpoints
  • Catastrophic 1Y price performance (-43.8%)
  • Recent streak of 4 consecutive earnings misses
Health
40/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Current Ratio (1.66) and Quick Ratio (1.30) are healthy
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9 (Stable/Weak)
  • High Debt/Equity (2.36)
  • Debt covenant compliance risks
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid
  • 0/100 dividend strength

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$45.29
Analyst Target
$63.48
Upside/Downside
+40.2%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for FOUR and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-24
FOU
Shift4 Payments, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-55.2%
3Y
-28.7%
1Y
-43.8%
6M
-40.6%
1M
-7.3%
1W
-8.8%
DLO
DLocal Limited
Peer
5Y
-58.7%
3Y
-5.8%
1Y
+65.8%
6M
-10.0%
1M
+9.8%
1W
-1.8%
STN
StoneCo Ltd.
Peer
5Y
-77.2%
3Y
+29.7%
1Y
+23.2%
6M
-15.4%
1M
+8.7%
1W
+7.4%
BOX
Box, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+50.8%
3Y
-15.7%
1Y
-15.8%
6M
-19.7%
1M
-11.1%
1W
+2.4%
LAS
nLIGHT, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+104.1%
3Y
+604.4%
1Y
+831.2%
6M
+132.9%
1M
-1.7%
1W
+8.7%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
41.94
Forward P/E
6.79
PEG Ratio
0.32
P/B Ratio
6.26
P/S Ratio
0.89
EV/Revenue
2.11
EV/EBITDA
11.25
Market Cap
$3.73B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 2.85%
Operating Margin 10.52%
Gross Margin 34.16%
ROE 9.88%
ROA 3.49%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +33.9%
Earnings Growth -72.2%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +34.0%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -65.5%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
2.36
High debt
Current Ratio
1.66
Good
Quick Ratio
1.3
Good
Cash/Share
$11.87

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$1.2B
Gross Margin
37.8%
Op. Margin
10.2%
Net Margin
3.4%
Total Assets
$8.7B
Liabilities
$6.8B
Equity
$1.4B
Debt/Equity
4.69x
Operating CF
$0.2B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
FCF Yield
66%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-07
$N/A
2026-02-25
$1.6
-0.1% surprise
2025-11-06
$0.17
-76.0% surprise
2025-08-05
$1.1
-8.1% surprise

Technology Sector Comparison

Comparing FOUR against 555 companies in the Technology sector (45 bullish, 190 neutral, 320 bearish)
P/E Ratio
41.94
This Stock
vs
82.84
Sector Avg
-49.4% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
9.88%
This Stock
vs
-34.19%
Sector Avg
-128.9% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
2.85%
This Stock
vs
-12.18%
Sector Avg
-123.4% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
2.36
This Stock
vs
0.73
Sector Avg
+221.1% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
33.9%
This Stock
vs
4463.53%
Sector Avg
-99.2% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.66
This Stock
vs
3.62
Sector Avg
-54.1% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

ISAACMAN JARED
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Gift
2026-03-17
1,600 shares
ISAACMAN JARED
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Buy
2026-03-10
43,827 shares · $2,004,879
ISAACMAN JARED
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Buy
2026-03-02
45,693 shares · $2,002,948
WHALEN JAMES J.
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
17,018 shares · $749,983
DISMAN NANCY J.
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-27
76,015 shares · $3,349,981
ISAACMAN JARED
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Buy
2026-02-27
296,237 shares · $13,658,260
CRUZ CHRISTOPHER NESTOR
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
17,137 shares · $755,228
LAUBER DAVID TAYLOR
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
222,373 shares · $9,799,978
FRANKEL JORDAN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
62,514 shares · $2,754,992
ISAACMAN JARED
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Stock Award
2026-02-06
1,123,309 shares
ISAACMAN JARED
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Stock Award
2026-02-06
19,801,028 shares
DISMAN NANCY J.
Director
Sell
2025-12-11
5,000 shares · $347,500
LAUBER DAVID TAYLOR
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2025-12-11
12,000 shares · $828,031
ISAACMAN JARED
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
Stock Award
2025-12-08
127,620 shares
WHALEN JAMES J.
Officer
Sell
2025-11-12
1,438 shares · $102,817
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
8-K
2026-03-09
10-K
10-K
2026-02-27

The 10-K filing for FOUR, filed on February 27, 2026, indicates a strategic focus on international expansion, expected growth, and the integration of recent acquisitions. While specific financial figures were not provided in the excerpts, management identifies key risks related to debt covenant compliance and financing activities.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-26

Four reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-10

Four announced its annual financial results for the fiscal year 2025.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-05
8-K
8-K
2025-12-18

Shift4 Payments (FOUR) filed an 8-K on December 18, 2025, likely to report quarterly financial results or a material corporate update.

8-K
8-K
2025-12-08
8-K
8-K
2025-12-04
10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-06

Shift4 Payments reported gross revenue of $1.18 billion for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, an increase from $909.2 million in 2024, with operating income rising to $114.6 million. Despite this growth, net income attributable to the company declined to $28.1 million from $53.8 million, impacted by higher interest expenses and a loss on debt extinguishment. Key risks include escalating geopolitical and global trade tensions, including the imposition of tariffs, which may adversely affect consumer spending trends.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-06

The company reported its third-quarter financial results for the period ending September 30, 2025.

8-K
8-K
2025-09-30
8-K
8-K
2025-08-18
8-K/A
8-K/A
2025-08-05
10-Q
10-Q
2025-08-05
8-K
8-K
2025-07-03
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
21 analysts
BMO Capital
2026-04-22
init
Market Perform
Evercore ISI Group
2026-04-21
Maintains
In-Line In-Line
Seaport Global
2026-04-16
down
Buy Neutral
Wolfe Research
2026-04-15
down
Outperform Peer Perform
Raymond James
2026-03-26
down
Strong Buy Outperform
BTIG
2026-03-05
Maintains
Buy Buy
DA Davidson
2026-03-02
Maintains
Buy Buy
Benchmark
2026-03-02
Maintains
Buy Buy
Goldman Sachs
2026-03-02
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Wells Fargo
2026-02-27
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning FOUR from our newsroom.

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