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COP vs GPRK

COP
ConocoPhillips
BEARISH
Price
$128.25
Market Cap
$156.32B
Sector
Energy
AI Confidence
85%
GPRK
GeoPark Limited
BULLISH
Price
$9.24
Market Cap
$597.6M
Sector
Energy
AI Confidence
75%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
COP
20.2
GPRK
9.73
Forward P/E
COP
15.08
GPRK
3.74
P/B Ratio
COP
2.44
GPRK
1.94
P/S Ratio
COP
2.59
GPRK
1.21
EV/EBITDA
COP
7.21
GPRK
4.05

Profitability

Gross Margin
COP
46.18%
GPRK
72.89%
Operating Margin
COP
16.3%
GPRK
-13.75%
Profit Margin
COP
13.25%
GPRK
10.08%
ROE
COP
12.36%
GPRK
22.12%
ROA
COP
6.42%
GPRK
5.9%

Growth

Revenue Growth
COP
-6.8%
GPRK
-23.3%
Earnings Growth
COP
-39.0%
GPRK
102.1%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
COP
0.38
GPRK
2.36
Current Ratio
COP
1.3
GPRK
1.6
Quick Ratio
COP
1.07
GPRK
1.02

Dividends

Dividend Yield
COP
2.62%
GPRK
1.3%
Payout Ratio
COP
50.08%
GPRK
49.58%

AI Verdict

COP BEARISH

ConocoPhillips presents a stark divergence between its strong balance sheet and its current market valuation. With a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 (Stable) and a Graham Number of $86.72, the current price of $128.25 represents a significant premium over defensive fair value and a massive premium over the growth-based intrinsic value of $44.45. This overvaluation is compounded by severe earnings contraction (-39% YoY) and a bearish insider signal, with the CEO selling substantial holdings. While the company remains a sector leader with low debt, the combination of negative growth and technical weakness suggests limited upside at current levels.

Strengths
Exceptionally low Debt/Equity (0.38) compared to sector average (1.34)
Strong profitability margins (13.25% Profit Margin) exceeding sector peers
Diverse, low-cost global supply portfolio across 14 countries
Risks
Severe earnings decline (-39% YoY) and revenue contraction (-6.8% YoY)
High sensitivity to volatile commodity prices due to unhedged strategy
Significant overvaluation relative to Graham and Intrinsic value models
GPRK BULLISH

GPRK exhibits strong fundamental health with a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, indicating robust operational efficiency. The stock is significantly undervalued, trading at $9.24, which is below its Graham Number ($10.08) and far below its growth-based intrinsic value ($28.02). While revenue growth is currently negative (-23.3%), the company has achieved a massive surge in earnings growth (102.1%) and maintains a superior ROE (22.12%) compared to the energy sector average. The primary headwinds are a high debt-to-equity ratio and bearish short-term technicals/insider sentiment.

Strengths
Strong Piotroski F-Score (7/9) indicating high financial health
Deep value valuation with a Forward P/E of only 3.74
Exceptional ROE of 22.12% significantly outperforming sector peers
Risks
Significant revenue decline (-23.3% YoY) suggesting top-line pressure
High leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.36, well above the sector average of 1.36
Bearish insider sentiment with recent selling activity

Compare Another Pair

COP vs GPRK: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares ConocoPhillips (COP) and GeoPark Limited (GPRK) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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