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COP vs PARR

COP
ConocoPhillips
BEARISH
Price
$128.25
Market Cap
$156.32B
Sector
Energy
AI Confidence
85%
PARR
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Price
$65.67
Market Cap
$3.25B
Sector
Energy
AI Confidence
85%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
COP
20.2
PARR
9.17
Forward P/E
COP
15.08
PARR
9.71
P/B Ratio
COP
2.44
PARR
2.16
P/S Ratio
COP
2.59
PARR
0.44
EV/EBITDA
COP
7.21
PARR
6.54

Profitability

Gross Margin
COP
46.18%
PARR
18.15%
Operating Margin
COP
16.3%
PARR
5.41%
Profit Margin
COP
13.25%
PARR
4.95%
ROE
COP
12.36%
PARR
26.76%
ROA
COP
6.42%
PARR
8.44%

Growth

Revenue Growth
COP
-6.8%
PARR
-1.0%
Earnings Growth
COP
-39.0%
PARR
--

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
COP
0.38
PARR
0.79
Current Ratio
COP
1.3
PARR
1.61
Quick Ratio
COP
1.07
PARR
0.43

Dividends

Dividend Yield
COP
2.62%
PARR
--
Payout Ratio
COP
50.08%
PARR
0.0%

AI Verdict

COP BEARISH

ConocoPhillips presents a stark divergence between its strong balance sheet and its current market valuation. With a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 (Stable) and a Graham Number of $86.72, the current price of $128.25 represents a significant premium over defensive fair value and a massive premium over the growth-based intrinsic value of $44.45. This overvaluation is compounded by severe earnings contraction (-39% YoY) and a bearish insider signal, with the CEO selling substantial holdings. While the company remains a sector leader with low debt, the combination of negative growth and technical weakness suggests limited upside at current levels.

Strengths
Exceptionally low Debt/Equity (0.38) compared to sector average (1.34)
Strong profitability margins (13.25% Profit Margin) exceeding sector peers
Diverse, low-cost global supply portfolio across 14 countries
Risks
Severe earnings decline (-39% YoY) and revenue contraction (-6.8% YoY)
High sensitivity to volatile commodity prices due to unhedged strategy
Significant overvaluation relative to Graham and Intrinsic value models
PARR NEUTRAL

PARR presents a complex profile with a stable Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and a valuation that sits comfortably below its Graham Number ($70.01) but above its growth-based intrinsic value ($50.12). While the company boasts an impressive ROE of 26.76% and a low P/E of 9.17 relative to the energy sector, these fundamentals are countered by negative revenue growth and a sharp -80.3% Q/Q EPS decline. The massive 358% one-year price surge appears disconnected from current growth trends, a sentiment echoed by aggressive insider selling from the CEO and CFO.

Strengths
Very low P/E ratio (9.17) compared to sector average (30.24)
Strong Return on Equity (ROE) of 26.76%, significantly beating peer benchmarks
Debt/Equity ratio (0.79) is lower than the sector average (1.24)
Risks
Negative YoY and Q/Q revenue growth indicating stagnation
Severe Q/Q EPS contraction of -80.3%
Heavy insider selling, including the CEO and CFO, suggesting a local top

Compare Another Pair

COP vs PARR: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares ConocoPhillips (COP) and Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (PARR) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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