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EC vs EXE

EC
Ecopetrol S.A.
BEARISH
Price
$13.80
Market Cap
$28.37B
Sector
Energy
AI Confidence
85%
EXE
Expand Energy Corporation
NEUTRAL
Price
$100.19
Market Cap
$24.09B
Sector
Energy
AI Confidence
50%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
EC
11.4
EXE
13.24
Forward P/E
EC
9.87
EXE
10.53
P/B Ratio
EC
0.01
EXE
1.29
P/S Ratio
EC
--
EXE
2.07
EV/EBITDA
EC
--
EXE
5.09

Profitability

Gross Margin
EC
32.76%
EXE
45.32%
Operating Margin
EC
0.0%
EXE
27.51%
Profit Margin
EC
7.54%
EXE
15.63%
ROE
EC
11.8%
EXE
10.07%
ROA
EC
5.66%
EXE
5.86%

Growth

Revenue Growth
EC
-17.2%
EXE
38.3%
Earnings Growth
EC
-60.8%
EXE
--

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
EC
1.0
EXE
0.27
Current Ratio
EC
1.55
EXE
1.0
Quick Ratio
EC
1.22
EXE
0.79

Dividends

Dividend Yield
EC
4.79%
EXE
3.18%
Payout Ratio
EC
95.59%
EXE
42.14%

AI Verdict

EC BEARISH

Ecopetrol (EC) exhibits severe fundamental deterioration, highlighted by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 and a technical trend score of 10/100. While the Graham Number suggests a theoretical defensive value, it is an outlier contradicted by an intrinsic value of $8.47 and a current price of $13.80. The company is facing a crisis of growth with earnings plummeting 60.8% YoY and a dividend payout ratio of 95.59% that is unsustainable given the current earnings trajectory. With zero earnings beats in the last four quarters and a target price ($11.69) below the current market price, the outlook is negative.

Strengths
Low P/E ratio (11.40) relative to sector average
Acceptable current ratio (1.55) indicating short-term liquidity
Positive ROE (11.80%) despite earnings decline
Risks
Severe earnings collapse (-60.8% YoY)
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (95.59%)
Weak financial health as indicated by Piotroski F-Score (2/9)
EXE NEUTRAL

EXE shows bullish fundamentals based on deterministic rules. Financial strength is stable (F-Score 4/9). Key strengths include strong valuation and growth metrics. Price trades at a 89.1% premium to fair value estimate ($52.99), limiting near-term upside from a valuation perspective.

Strengths
Attractive valuation with P/E of 13.2
Strong revenue growth of 38.3%
Low debt with D/E ratio of 0.27
Risks
Limited historical data available for full assessment
Price trades at a 89.1% premium to fair value estimate ($52.99), limiting near-term upside from a valuation perspective.

Compare Another Pair

EC vs EXE: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) and Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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