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ESTC vs PONY

ESTC
Elastic N.V.
BEARISH
Price
$46.40
Market Cap
$4.8B
Sector
Technology
AI Confidence
80%
PONY
Pony AI Inc.
NEUTRAL
Price
$10.97
Market Cap
$4.76B
Sector
Technology
AI Confidence
80%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
ESTC
--
PONY
--
Forward P/E
ESTC
16.32
PONY
-18.0
P/B Ratio
ESTC
6.11
PONY
2.75
P/S Ratio
ESTC
2.86
PONY
52.84
EV/EBITDA
ESTC
-251.57
PONY
-13.68

Profitability

Gross Margin
ESTC
76.07%
PONY
15.73%
Operating Margin
ESTC
0.23%
PONY
-253.64%
Profit Margin
ESTC
-5.04%
PONY
-148.85%
ROE
ESTC
-10.24%
PONY
-5.73%
ROA
ESTC
-0.72%
PONY
-11.39%

Growth

Revenue Growth
ESTC
17.7%
PONY
-18.0%
Earnings Growth
ESTC
--
PONY
--

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
ESTC
0.75
PONY
0.01
Current Ratio
ESTC
1.82
PONY
13.67
Quick Ratio
ESTC
1.63
PONY
13.12

Dividends

Dividend Yield
ESTC
--
PONY
--
Payout Ratio
ESTC
0.0%
PONY
0.0%

AI Verdict

ESTC BEARISH

ESTC exhibits a contradictory profile characterized by a stable Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 but severe negative price momentum and bearish insider activity. While the forward P/E of 16.32 and strong gross margins (76.07%) suggest potential value, the stock has plummeted over 43% in the last year and 47% in the last six months. C-suite executives, including the CEO, CFO, and CTO, are actively selling shares, signaling a significant lack of internal confidence. Despite a bullish analyst target of $78.59, the combination of negative net margins and a 0/100 technical trend suggests the market is pricing in fundamental risks not yet reflected in analyst targets.

Strengths
Strong gross margins at 76.07%
Healthy liquidity with a current ratio of 1.82
Consistent revenue growth (17.7% YoY)
Risks
Aggressive insider selling by CEO, CFO, and CTO
Negative net profit margin (-5.04%) and negative ROE
Severe price collapse (-43.5% 1Y change)
PONY NEUTRAL

PONY exhibits a stable but mediocre Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, reflecting a company in a transitional or early-growth phase. While the balance sheet is exceptionally liquid with a Current Ratio of 13.67 and negligible debt, the valuation is extreme with a Price/Sales ratio of 52.84 and deeply negative profit margins (-148.85%). The stark contrast between the 'Strong Buy' analyst consensus (Target $21.65) and the bearish insider sentiment/technical trend suggests a high-risk speculative asset. The company is currently trading on future potential rather than fundamental performance.

Strengths
Exceptional liquidity with a Current Ratio of 13.67
Negligible debt load (Debt/Equity of 0.01)
Strong Q/Q revenue growth of 72.03%
Risks
Extreme valuation (P/S ratio of 52.84 is unsustainable without massive growth)
Severe operational losses with an operating margin of -253.64%
Negative Year-over-Year revenue growth (-18.00%)

Compare Another Pair

ESTC vs PONY: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Elastic N.V. (ESTC) and Pony AI Inc. (PONY) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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