ESTC
BEARISH
$46.4
Live
Elastic N.V. · NYSE
Target $78.59
(+69.4%)
$42.05
52W Range
$96.07
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 27, 2026
Market cap
$4.8B
P/E
N/A
ROE
-10.2%
Profit margin
-5.0%
Debt/Equity
0.75
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
80%
ESTC exhibits a contradictory profile characterized by a stable Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 but severe negative price momentum and bearish insider activity. While the forward P/E of 16.32 and strong gross margins (76.07%) suggest potential value, the stock has plummeted over 43% in the last year and 47% in the last six months. C-suite executives, including the CEO, CFO, and CTO, are actively selling shares, signaling a significant lack of internal confidence. Despite a bullish analyst target of $78.59, the combination of negative net margins and a 0/100 technical trend suggests the market is pricing in fundamental risks not yet reflected in analyst targets.
Key Strengths
Strong gross margins at 76.07%
Healthy liquidity with a current ratio of 1.82
Consistent revenue growth (17.7% YoY)
Attractive forward P/E ratio of 16.32 relative to tech sector
Strong analyst consensus with a high target price of $78.59
Key Risks
Aggressive insider selling by CEO, CFO, and CTO
Negative net profit margin (-5.04%) and negative ROE
Severe price collapse (-43.5% 1Y change)
Lack of positive earnings growth consistency
Bearish technical trend (0/100)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$62.5
+34.7% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
34
Weak
55
45
20
50
0
AI Verdict
High Risk / Speculative Value
Key drivers: Insider divestment, Price momentum, Gross margin strength, Forward valuation
Confidence
85%
Value
55/100
Ref Forward P/E 16.32 and P/S 2.86
Positives
- Low forward P/E
- Reasonable PEG ratio (1.37)
Watchpoints
- High Price/Book (6.11)
- No Graham Number due to lack of trailing earnings
Future
45/100
Ref Revenue Growth and Technical Trend 0/100
Positives
- Steady 17.7% revenue growth
Watchpoints
- Negative net margins
- Bearish technical trend
Past
20/100
Ref 1Y Change -43.5%
Positives
- Historical ability to beat EPS estimates in earlier years
Watchpoints
- Catastrophic 1Y and 6M price performance
- Negative 5Y change (-64%)
Health
50/100
Ref Piotroski F-Score 4/9
Positives
- Current Ratio 1.82
- Manageable Debt/Equity 0.75
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score 4/9 (Stable but mediocre)
- Negative ROE
Dividend
0/100
Ref Dividend Yield N/A
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend paid
- 0/100 dividend strength
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$46.4
Analyst Target
$78.59
Upside/Downside
+69.4%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ESTC and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-24
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ESTC
Elastic N.V.
Primary
|
-64.0% | -17.4% | -43.5% | -47.4% | -7.1% | -2.4% |
|
ONDS
Ondas Inc.
Peer
|
+23.8% | +883.3% | +1047.6% | +5.5% | -4.8% | +6.1% |
|
EXLS
ExlService Holdings, Inc.
Peer
|
+64.6% | -5.1% | -27.0% | -28.1% | -5.2% | +0.3% |
|
PONY
Pony AI Inc.
Peer
|
-8.6% | -8.6% | +133.9% | -46.3% | -1.6% | +17.1% |
|
SIMO
Silicon Motion Technology Corporation
Peer
|
+137.3% | +133.4% | +265.4% | +49.8% | +11.4% | +10.3% |
EST
Elastic N.V.
Primary
5Y
-64.0%
3Y
-17.4%
1Y
-43.5%
6M
-47.4%
1M
-7.1%
1W
-2.4%
OND
Ondas Inc.
Peer
5Y
+23.8%
3Y
+883.3%
1Y
+1047.6%
6M
+5.5%
1M
-4.8%
1W
+6.1%
EXL
ExlService Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+64.6%
3Y
-5.1%
1Y
-27.0%
6M
-28.1%
1M
-5.2%
1W
+0.3%
PON
Pony AI Inc.
Peer
5Y
-8.6%
3Y
-8.6%
1Y
+133.9%
6M
-46.3%
1M
-1.6%
1W
+17.1%
SIM
Silicon Motion Technology Corporation
Peer
5Y
+137.3%
3Y
+133.4%
1Y
+265.4%
6M
+49.8%
1M
+11.4%
1W
+10.3%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
16.32
PEG Ratio
1.37
P/B Ratio
6.11
P/S Ratio
2.86
EV/Revenue
2.47
EV/EBITDA
-251.57
Market Cap
$4.8B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
-5.04%
Operating Margin
0.23%
Gross Margin
76.07%
ROE
-10.24%
ROA
-0.72%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+17.7%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+17.74%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.75
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.82
Good
Quick Ratio
1.63
Excellent
Cash/Share
$12.06
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q1 2026
Revenue
$0.4B
Gross Margin
76.3%
Op. Margin
0.1%
Net Margin
1.7%
Total Assets
$2.4B
Liabilities
$1.6B
Equity
$0.8B
Debt/Equity
2.08x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
98%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-28
$N/A
2026-02-26
$0.07
+179.6% surprise
2025-11-20
$-0.48
-275.6% surprise
2025-08-28
$0.6
+43.4% surprise
Technology Sector Comparison
Comparing ESTC against 555 companies in the Technology sector
(45 bullish, 190 neutral, 320 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-10.24%
This Stock
vs
-34.19%
Sector Avg
-70.0%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-5.04%
This Stock
vs
-12.18%
Sector Avg
-58.6%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.75
This Stock
vs
0.73
Sector Avg
+1.8%
(Higher)
Revenue Growth
17.7%
This Stock
vs
4463.53%
Sector Avg
-99.6%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.82
This Stock
vs
3.62
Sector Avg
-49.7%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ESTC
Elastic N.V.
|
BEARISH | $4.8B | - | -10.2% | -5.0% | $46.4 | |
|
ONDS
Ondas Inc.
|
BEARISH | $4.83B | - | -52.6% | -260.2% | $10.03 | Compare |
|
EXLS
ExlService Holdings, Inc.
|
BULLISH | $4.85B | 19.84 | 27.2% | 12.0% | $30.55 | Compare |
|
PONY
Pony AI Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $4.76B | - | -5.7% | -148.9% | $10.97 | Compare |
|
SIMO
Silicon Motion Technology...
|
BULLISH | $4.75B | 38.38 | 15.3% | 13.8% | $139.71 | Compare |
ESTC
Elastic N.V.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$4.8B
P/E
-
ROE
-10.2%
Price
$46.4
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-09 | BANON SHAY - SHALOM | Chief Technology Officer | Sale | 4,283 | $223,915 |
| 2026-03-09 | KULKARNI ASHUTOSH K | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 17,756 | $928,284 |
| 2026-03-09 | WELIHINDA NAVAM | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 3,240 | $169,387 |
| 2026-03-09 | HERZOG CAROLYN | Officer | Sale | 3,989 | $208,545 |
| 2026-03-09 | EXNER KEN | Officer | Sale | 4,310 | $225,327 |
| 2026-03-09 | DODDS MARK EUGENE | Officer | Sale | 3,723 | $194,638 |
| 2026-03-09 | BONE JANE E | Officer | Sale | 887 | $46,372 |
| 2026-01-09 | BONE JANE E | Officer | Sale | 1,187 | $95,334 |
| 2025-12-15 | KULKARNI ASHUTOSH K | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 5,000 | $372,986 |
| 2025-12-10 | WELIHINDA NAVAM | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 1,046 | $77,937 |
| 2025-12-09 | BANON SHAY - SHALOM | Chief Technology Officer | Sale | 4,552 | $341,628 |
| 2025-12-09 | KULKARNI ASHUTOSH K | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 20,413 | $1,531,996 |
| 2025-12-09 | WELIHINDA NAVAM | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 4,327 | $324,741 |
| 2025-12-09 | HERZOG CAROLYN | Officer | Sale | 5,353 | $401,743 |
| 2025-12-09 | EXNER KEN | Officer | Sale | 6,544 | $491,127 |
BANON SHAY - SHALOM
Chief Technology Officer
2026-03-09
4,283 shares
·
$223,915
KULKARNI ASHUTOSH K
Chief Executive Officer
2026-03-09
17,756 shares
·
$928,284
WELIHINDA NAVAM
Chief Financial Officer
2026-03-09
3,240 shares
·
$169,387
HERZOG CAROLYN
Officer
2026-03-09
3,989 shares
·
$208,545
EXNER KEN
Officer
2026-03-09
4,310 shares
·
$225,327
DODDS MARK EUGENE
Officer
2026-03-09
3,723 shares
·
$194,638
BONE JANE E
Officer
2026-03-09
887 shares
·
$46,372
BONE JANE E
Officer
2026-01-09
1,187 shares
·
$95,334
KULKARNI ASHUTOSH K
Chief Executive Officer
2025-12-15
5,000 shares
·
$372,986
WELIHINDA NAVAM
Chief Financial Officer
2025-12-10
1,046 shares
·
$77,937
BANON SHAY - SHALOM
Chief Technology Officer
2025-12-09
4,552 shares
·
$341,628
KULKARNI ASHUTOSH K
Chief Executive Officer
2025-12-09
20,413 shares
·
$1,531,996
WELIHINDA NAVAM
Chief Financial Officer
2025-12-09
4,327 shares
·
$324,741
HERZOG CAROLYN
Officer
2025-12-09
5,353 shares
·
$401,743
EXNER KEN
Officer
2025-12-09
6,544 shares
·
$491,127
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
SEC Filings
Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database
10-Q
10-Q
8-K
8-K
8-K
10-Q
DEF 14A
8-K
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
26 analysts
Rothschild & Co
2026-04-23
Neutral
RBC Capital
2026-04-16
Outperform
Outperform
DA Davidson
2026-03-02
Neutral
Neutral
Morgan Stanley
2026-03-02
Overweight
Overweight
Canaccord Genuity
2026-02-27
Buy
Buy
Wells Fargo
2026-02-27
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Truist Securities
2026-02-27
Buy
Buy
Piper Sandler
2026-02-27
Overweight
Overweight
Oppenheimer
2026-02-27
Outperform
Outperform
Barclays
2026-02-27
Overweight
Overweight
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning ESTC from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.