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FOSL vs MCFT

FOSL
Fossil Group, Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$5.30
Market Cap
$309.3M
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
AI Confidence
85%
MCFT
MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Price
$21.87
Market Cap
$356.2M
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
AI Confidence
85%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
FOSL
--
MCFT
23.27
Forward P/E
FOSL
55.79
MCFT
12.88
P/B Ratio
FOSL
2.88
MCFT
1.88
P/S Ratio
FOSL
0.31
MCFT
1.2
EV/EBITDA
FOSL
13.7
MCFT
10.52

Profitability

Gross Margin
FOSL
56.07%
MCFT
21.98%
Operating Margin
FOSL
4.46%
MCFT
3.79%
Profit Margin
FOSL
-7.8%
MCFT
5.27%
ROE
FOSL
-69.65%
MCFT
8.38%
ROA
FOSL
1.98%
MCFT
4.06%

Growth

Revenue Growth
FOSL
-18.0%
MCFT
13.2%
Earnings Growth
FOSL
--
MCFT
-8.7%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
FOSL
3.65
MCFT
--
Current Ratio
FOSL
1.55
MCFT
2.07
Quick Ratio
FOSL
0.82
MCFT
1.46

Dividends

Dividend Yield
FOSL
--
MCFT
--
Payout Ratio
FOSL
0.0%
MCFT
0.0%

AI Verdict

FOSL BEARISH

FOSL exhibits a fragile financial profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating only marginal stability amidst severe fundamental decay. While the stock has experienced a speculative 400% 1-year price surge, this is decoupled from a business suffering from -18% revenue growth and a catastrophic ROE of -69.65%. The company's high leverage (Debt/Equity 3.65) and negative profit margins suggest a high-risk environment where the recent price action is likely driven by volatility rather than value creation.

Strengths
Very low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.31) suggesting deep undervaluation of revenue
Strong Gross Margin (56.07%) indicating product pricing power
Current Ratio of 1.55 provides a basic short-term liquidity cushion
Risks
Severe revenue contraction (-18% YoY and Q/Q)
Excessive leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.65
Deeply negative Return on Equity (-69.65%)
MCFT NEUTRAL

MCFT exhibits strong operational health with a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and a healthy current ratio of 2.07, though an Altman Z-Score was not provided. While the company consistently delivers massive earnings surprises and outperforms sector profitability averages, the stock is trading at a significant premium to its Graham Number ($15.67) and Intrinsic Value ($6.58). This valuation gap, combined with bearish insider selling and a 0/100 technical trend, offsets the positive fundamental momentum. The outlook is neutral as the market prices in high growth expectations that exceed current deterministic value baselines.

Strengths
Strong Piotroski F-Score (7/9) indicating robust financial health
Exceptional earnings track record with consistent and large positive surprises
Strong liquidity position with a Current Ratio of 2.07
Risks
Significant valuation premium over Graham Number and Intrinsic Value
Bearish insider activity with over $4M in recent sales by major owners
High sensitivity to economic cycles as a recreational vehicle manufacturer

Compare Another Pair

FOSL vs MCFT: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) and MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. (MCFT) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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