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NGVC vs PM

NGVC
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.
BULLISH
Price
$28.96
Market Cap
$667.0M
Sector
Consumer Defensive
AI Confidence
75%
PM
Philip Morris International Inc.
BULLISH
Price
$155.43
Market Cap
$241.95B
Sector
Consumer Defensive
AI Confidence
92%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
NGVC
14.06
PM
22.17
Forward P/E
NGVC
12.99
PM
21.59
P/B Ratio
NGVC
3.03
PM
-22.17
P/S Ratio
NGVC
0.5
PM
6.05
EV/EBITDA
NGVC
9.98
PM
16.14

Profitability

Gross Margin
NGVC
33.65%
PM
66.92%
Operating Margin
NGVC
4.38%
PM
40.75%
Profit Margin
NGVC
3.58%
PM
21.57%
ROE
NGVC
23.81%
PM
--
ROA
NGVC
6.01%
PM
14.94%

Growth

Revenue Growth
NGVC
1.6%
PM
9.4%
Earnings Growth
NGVC
14.0%
PM
13.1%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
NGVC
1.48
PM
--
Current Ratio
NGVC
1.07
PM
0.85
Quick Ratio
NGVC
0.21
PM
0.37

Dividends

Dividend Yield
NGVC
2.07%
PM
3.78%
Payout Ratio
NGVC
24.76%
PM
78.76%

AI Verdict

NGVC BULLISH

NGVC presents a compelling value opportunity, characterized by a stable Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 and a current price ($28.96) that sits comfortably between its defensive Graham Number ($21.04) and its growth-based Intrinsic Value ($57.68). While the technical trend is currently bearish and revenue growth is stagnant at 1.6%, the company demonstrates exceptional operational efficiency with an ROE of 23.81% and a consistent track record of earnings beats. The valuation is significantly discounted relative to the Consumer Defensive sector average P/E of 35.93. Despite liquidity concerns indicated by a low quick ratio, the strong analyst consensus and earnings trajectory support a bullish long-term outlook.

Strengths
Attractive valuation with a P/E of 14.06 vs sector average of 35.93
High Return on Equity (ROE) of 23.81%
Consistent earnings surprise track record (3/4 beats in last 4 quarters)
Risks
Severe liquidity risk indicated by a Quick Ratio of 0.21
Stagnant top-line growth (Revenue Growth YoY of only 1.60%)
Strongly bearish technical trend (0/100) and -41.3% 1-year price return
PM BULLISH

Philip Morris International (PM) presents a compelling investment case supported by strong profitability, consistent earnings growth, and a resilient dividend profile. Despite near-term price weakness over the past six months (-7.3%), the stock has delivered exceptional long-term returns (+153.1% over 5Y), underpinned by robust YoY EPS growth of 17.3% and a track record of beating earnings estimates in 22 of the last 25 quarters. The company’s high operating margin (40.75%) and gross margin (66.92%) reflect pricing power and cost discipline in a defensive sector, while its forward P/E of 21.59 appears justified given growth and stability. Analysts concur with a unanimous buy rating and a $185.75 target price, implying ~19.5% upside, reinforcing confidence in continued outperformance.

Strengths
Exceptional profitability with operating margin of 40.75% and gross margin of 66.92%, among the highest in consumer defensive sector
Consistent earnings growth: 13.1% YoY and 17.3% most recent Q/Q EPS growth, demonstrating strong underlying momentum
Outstanding earnings surprise record: 22 out of 25 quarters beat estimates, with an average surprise of +4.82% over the last four
Risks
Negative Price/Book ratio (-22.17) suggests deep negative equity, likely due to aggressive share buybacks exceeding retained earnings
Weak liquidity profile: current ratio of 0.85 and quick ratio of 0.37 indicate potential near-term cash flow pressure
Missing key financials (debt/equity, EV, cash/debt) limits full health assessment and raises transparency concerns

Compare Another Pair

NGVC vs PM: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC) and Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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