ABTC American Bitcoin Corp - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH

ABTC Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights

NASDAQ • Financial Services • Capital Markets

Current Price Live

$1.13

Analyst Target

$4.0

+254.0% Upside

52W High

$14.65

52W Low

$0.63

Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Peers Insiders

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Feb 14, 2026

Market cap

$1.05B

P/E

6.28

ROE

N/A

Profit margin

135.9%

Debt/Equity

0.32

Dividend yield

N/A

AI Analysis

Confidence Score

85%

Analysis Accuracy

ABTC's Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health, with only a marginal stability score, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score raises serious concerns about bankruptcy risk. Despite a high profit margin of 135.87% and impressive 453.1% YoY revenue growth, the company exhibits severe liquidity issues with a current ratio of 0.07 and quick ratio of 0.05, suggesting potential short-term solvency problems. The stock trades at a significant premium to its Graham Number ($1.59) and intrinsic value ($1.26), yet lacks a sustainable earnings track record, with no earnings growth data and zero quarters beating estimates. Insider selling of $4.08M in a single transaction further undermines confidence, and the 52-week price range reveals extreme volatility with a 5Y return of -100%.

Key Strengths

Exceptional 453.1% YoY revenue growth indicates strong top-line momentum

High gross margin (54.94%) and profit margin (135.87%) suggest strong pricing power or low cost structure

Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.32) indicates conservative capital structure

Strong analyst recommendation of 'strong_buy' with a $4.00 target price

Insider sentiment score of 60/100 suggests moderate confidence from insiders

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 signals weak financial health and operational instability

Current ratio of 0.07 and quick ratio of 0.05 indicate severe liquidity risk and potential inability to meet short-term obligations

No available Altman Z-Score raises unquantified bankruptcy risk; below 1.8 would be distress-level

Insider selling of 2.5M shares worth $4.08M signals bearish sentiment from key stakeholders

Stock trades at a 45% premium to Graham Number ($1.59) and 13% above intrinsic value ($1.26), suggesting overvaluation

AI Fair Value Estimate

Based on comprehensive analysis

$1.26

+11.5% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall

Weak

Value

Future

Past

Health

Dividend

AI Verdict

cautious

Key drivers: High revenue growth and strong margins, Severe liquidity and solvency concerns, Weak Piotroski F-Score and missing Altman Z-Score, Overvaluation relative to Graham and intrinsic value, Bearish insider activity

Confidence

88%

Value

35/100

Despite low P/E, the stock is overvalued relative to intrinsic and Graham values, suggesting premium pricing based on growth expectations rather than fundamentals.

Positives

P/E of 6.28 is below sector average (30.53)
Price/Book of 1.81 is moderate
Graham Number of $1.59 provides a defensive floor

Watchpoints

Current price ($1.13) is below Graham Number, but intrinsic value is only $1.26
Stock trades at 8.56x Price/Sales, far above sector average
No PEG ratio available, but high growth may not be sustainable

Future

68/100

Growth is impressive but lacks earnings validation; sustainability is uncertain without profitability consistency.

Positives

453.1% YoY revenue growth is exceptional
Strong analyst target price of $4.00 implies high growth expectations
High profit margin suggests potential for margin expansion

Watchpoints

No earnings growth data available
No quarterly earnings surprise history (0/1 beat)
No forward guidance or Q/Q growth metrics

Past

25/100

Historical performance is catastrophic, with no sustained recovery, indicating deep structural or market-related issues.

Positives

Piotroski F-Score of 4 indicates some stability in financial operations

Watchpoints

52-week high of $14.65 vs current $1.13 reflects extreme volatility
5-year return of -100% indicates complete capital destruction
6-month return of -82.2% shows persistent downward pressure

Health

20/100

Despite low leverage, liquidity and operational health are severely compromised, raising red flags for financial stability.

Positives

Debt/Equity of 0.32 is low and conservative
No Altman Z-Score available, but low leverage is a positive

Watchpoints

Piotroski F-Score of 4 is below threshold for strong health (7-9)
Current ratio of 0.07 and quick ratio of 0.05 are dangerously low
No available ROE, ROA, or ROIC data limits health assessment

Dividend

0/100

The company is not a dividend payer, which is consistent with a growth-stage or speculative firm, but also reflects lack of cash flow stability.

Positives

No standout positives identified.

Watchpoints

No dividend yield or payout ratio
Dividend strength is 0/100
No history of dividend payments

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price

$1.13

Analyst Target

$4.0

Upside/Downside

+254.0%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ABTC and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-02-13

Company	5Y	3Y	1Y	6M	1M	1W
ABTC American Bitcoin Corp Primary	-100.0%	-98.7%	-27.1%	-82.2%	-35.8%	-13.7%
AOD Abrdn Total Dynamic Dividend Fund Peer	+75.1%	+66.9%	+30.6%	+16.2%	+1.2%	+0.8%
ASST Strive Asset Management, LLC Peer	-95.1%	-95.1%	-17.8%	-78.9%	+1.0%	-8.1%
BBN BlackRock Taxable Municipal Bond Trust Peer	-13.7%	+11.9%	+7.6%	+6.2%	-2.6%	-0.8%
BTZ BlackRock Credit Allocation Income Trust Peer	+10.0%	+27.0%	+9.4%	+0.8%	-1.4%	-0.1%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

6.28

20.55

N/A

1.81

8.56

10.01

5.48

$1.05B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 135.87%

Operating Margin 11.21%

Gross Margin 54.94%

ROE N/A

ROA N/A

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +453.1%

Earnings Growth N/A

Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A

Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity

0.32

Low debt

Current Ratio

0.07

Weak

Quick Ratio

0.05

Poor

Cash/Share

$0.01

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-26

$N/A

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing ABTC against 208 companies in the Financial Services sector (5 bullish, 111 neutral, 92 bearish)

P/E Ratio

6.28

This Stock

30.38

Sector Avg

-79.3% (Discount)

Profit Margin

135.87%

This Stock

83.86%

Sector Avg

+62.0% (Superior)

Debt to Equity

0.32

This Stock

1.51

Sector Avg

-78.7% (Less Debt)

Revenue Growth

453.1%

This Stock

30.29%

Sector Avg

+1396.1% (Fast Growth)

Current Ratio

0.07

This Stock

3.78

Sector Avg

-98.0% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company	AI Rating	Market Cap	P/E	ROE	Profit Margin	Price
ABTC American Bitcoin Corp	BEARISH	$1.05B	6.28	-%	135.9%	$1.13
AOD Abrdn Total Dynamic Dividend Fund	NEUTRAL	$1.05B	6.45	15.9%	227.2%	$10.0
ASST Strive Asset Management, LLC	BEARISH	$1.09B	-	-%	-%	$0.87
BBN BlackRock Taxable...	BEARISH	$1.0B	19.11	-%	-%	$16.24
BTZ BlackRock Credit...	NEUTRAL	$986.44M	9.61	9.8%	99.8%	$10.57

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date	Insider	Position	Transaction	Shares	Value
2025-12-22	BUSCH RICHARD	Director	Purchase	101,000	$199,980
2025-12-16	BUSCH RICHARD	Director	Purchase	175,000	$290,500
2025-09-03	ANCHORAGE LENDING CA LLC	Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security	Sale	2,534,490	$4,075,460

Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus

STRONG_BUY

2 analysts

HC Wainwright & Co.

2026-02-02

init

Buy

Roth Capital

2025-12-10

init

Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ABTC from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest

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