ABTC American Bitcoin Corp - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
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ABTC Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ
Financial Services
Capital Markets
Current Price
Live
$1.0
Analyst Target
$4.0
+300.0%
Upside
52W High
$14.65
52W Low
$0.63
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Feb 21, 2026
Market cap
$927.6M
P/E
5.56
ROE
N/A
Profit margin
135.9%
Debt/Equity
0.32
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
85%
Analysis Accuracy
ABTC's Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health, falling into the 'Weak' category, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score raises unquantified distress risk. Despite a high profit margin of 135.87% and explosive 453.1% YoY revenue growth, the company exhibits severe liquidity issues with a current ratio of 0.07 and quick ratio of 0.05, signaling potential short-term solvency concerns. The stock trades at a significant premium to its Graham Number ($1.59) and intrinsic value ($1.26), suggesting overvaluation relative to conservative valuation models. Insider selling of $4.08M in a single transaction further undermines confidence, and the 52-week price range ($0.63–$14.65) reflects extreme volatility and a 100% 5-year decline.
Key Strengths
Explosive 453.10% YoY revenue growth indicates strong top-line momentum
High gross margin of 54.94% and profit margin of 135.87% suggest strong pricing power or low cost structure
Low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.32 indicates conservative capital structure
Insider sentiment remains moderately positive at 60/100, suggesting some internal confidence
Trading at a P/E of 5.56, which is below the sector average of 30.39, offering potential value on earnings
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 signals weak financial health and operational instability
Extremely low current ratio (0.07) and quick ratio (0.05) indicate severe liquidity risk and potential inability to meet short-term obligations
No available data on ROE, ROA, ROIC, FCF, or operating cash flow limits assessment of profitability sustainability
Insider selling of 2.5M shares worth $4.08M in a single transaction is a strong bearish signal
Stock has declined 100% over 5 years and 84.4% in 6 months, reflecting deep market skepticism and high volatility
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$1.26
+26.0% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
31
Weak
45
65
20
25
0
AI Verdict
Weak
Key drivers: Low Piotroski F-Score (4/9), Severe liquidity constraints (current ratio 0.07), Lack of key financial metrics (ROE, ROIC, FCF), High price-to-sales (7.57) and premium to Graham Number, Negative long-term price trend (5Y -100%)
Confidence
85%
Value
45/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- P/E of 5.56 is below sector average of 30.39
- Graham Number of $1.59 suggests a defensive fair value floor
Watchpoints
- Current price of $1.00 is below Graham Number, but intrinsic value is only $1.26
- Price/Sales of 7.57 is extremely high for a company with no visible cash flow or ROIC
- Forward P/E of 18.18 implies high growth expectations not supported by historical earnings
Future
65/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- 453.10% YoY revenue growth is exceptional and suggests strong market traction
- Forward P/E of 18.18 implies market expects continued growth
Watchpoints
- No earnings growth data available (YoY or Q/Q)
- No free cash flow or operating cash flow data to validate growth sustainability
- No analyst coverage or target price data to support growth assumptions
Past
20/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Revenue growth is historically strong (453.10% YoY)
- Profit margin is exceptionally high (135.87%)
Watchpoints
- 5-year price change of -100% indicates complete capital destruction
- 1-year return of -39.8% and 6-month return of -84.4% show persistent underperformance
- No earnings beat in last 4 quarters (0/1), suggesting poor execution or estimation issues
Health
25/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Debt/Equity of 0.32 is low and conservative
- No Altman Z-Score available, but low leverage is a positive
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is in the 'Weak' range, indicating financial instability
- Current ratio of 0.07 and quick ratio of 0.05 are dangerously low, indicating liquidity crisis
- No data on ROE, ROA, ROIC, or cash flow limits health assessment
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- Dividend yield and payout ratio are both 0%
- No history of dividend payments or intent
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$1.0
Analyst Target
$4.0
Upside/Downside
+300.0%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ABTC and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-02-20
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ABTC
American Bitcoin Corp
Primary
|
-100.0% | -99.0% | -39.8% | -84.4% | -36.3% | -11.5% |
|
AWF
AllianceBernstein Global High Income Fund
Peer
|
+32.4% | +32.7% | +5.2% | -0.2% | -1.0% | +0.7% |
|
AMTB
Amerant Bancorp Inc.
Peer
|
+51.5% | -18.1% | -7.8% | +5.9% | +5.1% | +2.0% |
|
BFST
Business First Bancshares, Inc.
Peer
|
+45.4% | +39.4% | +9.6% | +8.6% | +1.6% | +0.6% |
|
BHRB
Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp.
Peer
|
+73.7% | -2.0% | +7.5% | +3.7% | +0.6% | -1.0% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
5.56
Forward P/E
18.18
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.6
P/S Ratio
7.57
EV/Revenue
9.17
EV/EBITDA
5.02
Market Cap
$927.6M
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
135.87%
Operating Margin
11.21%
Gross Margin
54.94%
ROE
N/A
ROA
N/A
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+453.1%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.32
Low debt
Current Ratio
0.07
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.05
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.01
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-26
$N/A
Financial Services Sector Comparison
Comparing ABTC against 208 companies in the Financial Services sector
(6 bullish, 111 neutral, 91 bearish)
P/E Ratio
5.56
This Stock
vs
30.39
Sector Avg
-81.7%
(Discount)
Profit Margin
135.87%
This Stock
vs
83.86%
Sector Avg
+62.0%
(Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.32
This Stock
vs
1.51
Sector Avg
-78.7%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
453.1%
This Stock
vs
30.29%
Sector Avg
+1396.1%
(Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
0.07
This Stock
vs
3.78
Sector Avg
-98.0%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ABTC
American Bitcoin Corp
|
BEARISH | $927.6M | 5.56 | -% | 135.9% | $1.0 | |
|
AWF
AllianceBernstein Global...
|
NEUTRAL | $914.03M | 12.47 | 7.4% | 98.9% | $10.6 | |
|
AMTB
Amerant Bancorp Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $900.34M | 12.88 | 7.2% | 17.1% | $21.26 | |
|
BFST
Business First Bancshares, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $894.47M | 10.53 | 10.4% | 27.0% | $27.26 | |
|
BHRB
Burke & Herbert Financial...
|
NEUTRAL | $961.83M | 9.25 | 13.7% | 32.2% | $64.0 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-22 | BUSCH RICHARD | Director | Purchase | 101,000 | $199,980 |
| 2025-12-16 | BUSCH RICHARD | Director | Purchase | 175,000 | $290,500 |
| 2025-09-03 | ANCHORAGE LENDING CA LLC | Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | Sale | 2,534,490 | $4,075,460 |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
NONE
2 analysts
HC Wainwright & Co.
2026-02-02
Buy
Roth Capital
2025-12-10
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning ABTC from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.