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AGNCN AGNC Investment Corp. - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH
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AGNCN Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Real Estate REIT - Mortgage
Current Price Live
$25.72
52W High
$26.59
52W Low
$23.63

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Feb 21, 2026
Market cap
$8.83B
P/E
N/A
ROE
15.1%
Profit margin
92.9%
Debt/Equity
6.89
Dividend yield
9.43%

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
85%
Analysis Accuracy
AGNCN exhibits severe financial health concerns, evidenced by a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 (indicating weak fundamentals) and a missing Altman Z-Score, which raises distress risk. Despite extraordinary revenue and earnings growth (546% and 776% YoY), the company's profitability metrics are distorted by near-100% gross and operating margins, suggesting non-recurring or accounting anomalies. The Price/Book ratio of 2.73 is elevated, and the Debt/Equity ratio of 6.89 is dangerously high, especially with a current ratio of just 0.18. The stock trades at a premium to its intrinsic value due to speculative growth expectations, but the lack of analyst coverage and weak dividend sustainability further undermine confidence.

Key Strengths

Exceptional year-over-year revenue and earnings growth (546% and 776%)
High dividend yield of 9.43% attractive to income investors
Strong 5-year price appreciation (+58.3%) indicating market momentum
Significant price recovery from 52-week low ($23.63) to current $25.72
Peer benchmarking shows similar high growth profiles in comparable REITs

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates severe financial distress and weak operational health
Missing Altman Z-Score with Debt/Equity of 6.89 and current ratio of 0.18 signals high bankruptcy risk
Profit margins (92.93% profit, 100% gross) are implausibly high and likely unsustainable or non-recurring
No analyst coverage or target price data, indicating low institutional interest
Dividend payout ratio is not calculable, raising concerns about long-term sustainability

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
41
Moderate
Value
40
Future
65
Past
50
Health
20
Dividend
30
AI Verdict
High Risk
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, Extremely high leverage (Debt/Equity 6.89), Distorted profitability metrics, Missing Altman Z-Score, Lack of analyst coverage
Confidence
85%
Value
40/100

P/E and PEG are unavailable; Graham Number not applicable; stock trades at premium due to speculative growth expectations

Positives
  • High dividend yield (9.43%)
  • Price near 52-week low ($23.63) offers potential entry point
Watchpoints
  • Price/Book of 2.73 is high for a REIT with weak fundamentals
  • No Graham Number or intrinsic value available
  • Growth may not be sustainable
Future
65/100

Growth is explosive but likely non-recurring or accounting-driven; peer growth is similarly extreme but not sustainable

Positives
  • 546% YoY revenue growth and 776% earnings growth
  • 682% Q/Q earnings growth suggests momentum
Watchpoints
  • Growth rates are likely unsustainable given extreme levels
  • No forward guidance or analyst estimates
  • High leverage may constrain future expansion
Past
50/100

Past performance is strong but may reflect one-time gains or accounting adjustments

Positives
  • 5-year price return of +58.3%
  • 1-year return of +9.9% despite recent pullback
Watchpoints
  • Historical performance may be driven by temporary factors
  • No consistent earnings history to validate performance
Health
20/100

Piotroski F-Score <4 indicates financial distress; missing Altman Z-Score raises bankruptcy concerns

Positives
  • High ROE of 15.08% (though likely inflated)
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 (severely weak)
  • Current ratio of 0.18 and quick ratio of 0.17 indicate liquidity crisis
  • Debt/Equity of 6.89 is extremely high
  • No Altman Z-Score available, but low ratios suggest distress risk
Dividend
30/100

Dividend is high but likely unsustainable given financial health and lack of cash flow data

Positives
  • High dividend yield of 9.43% is attractive
  • Dividend rate of $2.42 is substantial
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio not calculable due to missing earnings data
  • High leverage and weak cash flow metrics undermine sustainability
  • Dividend strength score of 40/100 indicates risk

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$25.72

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AGNCN and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-02-20
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
AGNCN
AGNC Investment Corp.
Primary
+58.3% +38.4% +9.9% +4.4% +0.7% -0.4%
AGNCM
AGNC Investment Corp.
Peer
+50.4% +45.5% +8.3% +3.6% +0.6% -0.2%
AHR
American Healthcare REIT, Inc.
Peer
+278.7% +278.7% +65.4% +25.2% -4.0% -3.7%
ADC
Agree Realty Corporation
Peer
+38.9% +12.4% +5.9% +0.8% +0.6% -0.9%
BRX
Brixmor Property Group Inc.
Peer
+90.8% +33.3% +5.2% +5.4% +1.4% -1.0%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
N/A
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.73
P/S Ratio
4.92
EV/Revenue
54.85
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
$8.83B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 92.93%
Operating Margin 95.88%
Gross Margin 100.0%
ROE 15.08%
ROA 1.65%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +546.1%
Earnings Growth +775.9%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +682.0%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
6.89
High debt
Current Ratio
0.18
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.17
Poor
Cash/Share
$15.56

Real Estate Sector Comparison

Comparing AGNCN against 56 companies in the Real Estate sector (1 bullish, 9 neutral, 46 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
15.08%
This Stock
vs
-75.18%
Sector Avg
-120.1% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
92.93%
This Stock
vs
26.43%
Sector Avg
+251.6% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
6.89
This Stock
vs
3.27
Sector Avg
+110.3% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
546.1%
This Stock
vs
1431.44%
Sector Avg
-61.8% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.18
This Stock
vs
3449.18
Sector Avg
-100.0% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
AGNCN
AGNC Investment Corp.
BEARISH $8.83B - 15.1% 92.9% $25.72
AGNCM
AGNC Investment Corp.
BEARISH $8.88B - 15.1% 92.9% $24.98
AHR
American Healthcare REIT, Inc.
BEARISH $8.61B 385.33 1.1% 1.2% $46.24
ADC
Agree Realty Corporation
NEUTRAL $8.36B 42.18 3.5% 28.1% $72.55
BRX
Brixmor Property Group Inc.
BEARISH $8.08B 24.23 11.4% 24.7% $26.41

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning AGNCN from our newsroom.

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