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ALGT

BEARISH
$75.04 Live
Allegiant Travel Company · NASDAQ
Target $111.64 (+48.8%)
$39.8 52W Range $118.0

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Mar 14, 2026
Market cap
$1.38B
P/E
N/A
ROE
-4.2%
Profit margin
-1.7%
Debt/Equity
1.77
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
ALGT's Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates severe financial distress, with weak profitability, declining ROE, and negative earnings despite modest revenue growth. The absence of an Altman Z-Score raises concern about default risk, especially given a high debt/equity ratio of 1.77 and current ratio below 1.0. While forward P/E of 7.19 and price/sales of 0.53 suggest undervaluation, the company's negative profit margin (-1.71%) and inconsistent earnings performance undermine fundamental strength. Insider selling totaling $34.37M in six months further signals lack of confidence. Despite a strong analyst 'buy' consensus, the underlying financial health and valuation contradictions point to significant risk.

Key Strengths

Forward P/E of 7.19 is significantly below sector average of 73.87, suggesting potential undervaluation
Price/Sales ratio of 0.53 is low, indicating the stock trades at a discount to revenue
Recent quarterly earnings have shown strong surprise beats (e.g., +134.4%, +335.9%) and high Q/Q EPS growth (+236.4%)
Positive year-over-year EPS growth of 35.7% reflects improving profitability momentum
Strong analyst buy recommendation from 11 analysts with a target price of $113.82 (38.3% upside)

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals extreme financial weakness, with negative ROE (-4.17%) and declining profitability
Debt/Equity ratio of 1.77 is high for an airline, especially with a current ratio of 0.95 and quick ratio of 0.85 indicating liquidity strain
Negative profit margin (-1.71%) and inconsistent earnings (e.g., multiple quarters with losses) undermine sustainable profitability
Insider selling of $34.37M in six months, including large transactions by officers and directors, indicates bearish sentiment from insiders
No Graham Number or intrinsic value estimate available, and no dividend history, limiting traditional value assessment

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
45
Moderate
Value
65
Future
78
Past
52
Health
28
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Weak
Key drivers: Low Piotroski F-Score (2/9) and lack of Altman Z-Score signal high financial distress, Negative profit margin and ROE despite revenue growth, High debt levels and weak liquidity ratios, Strong earnings surprises and growth momentum in recent quarters, Significant insider selling and bearish technical trend
Confidence
88%
Value
65/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Forward P/E of 7.19 is well below sector average of 73.87
  • Price/Sales of 0.53 is low, suggesting undervaluation relative to revenue
Watchpoints
  • No Graham Number or intrinsic value estimate available
  • Negative earnings and profit margin undermine traditional valuation models
Future
78/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Strong Q/Q EPS growth of +236.4% and YoY EPS growth of +35.7%
  • Recent quarters have shown large positive earnings surprises (e.g., +134.4%, +335.9%)
Watchpoints
  • Forward P/E is based on uncertain earnings projections
  • No PEG ratio available to assess growth-adjusted valuation
Past
52/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Consistent revenue growth of 4.50% YoY over the past year
  • Multiple quarters with significant earnings beats and positive surprises
Watchpoints
  • Negative ROE and ROA in recent periods
  • Persistent losses in multiple quarters (e.g., 2025-11-04, 2024-10-30)
Health
28/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Operating margin of 7.17% is positive and stable
  • Gross margin of 22.46% indicates decent cost control
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates severe financial distress
  • Debt/Equity of 1.77 is high for the sector
  • Current ratio (0.95) and quick ratio (0.85) below 1.0 indicate liquidity risk
  • No Altman Z-Score available, but low ratios suggest distress risk
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend yield or payout ratio
  • Dividend strength score of 0/100 indicates no dividend history

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$75.04
Analyst Target
$111.64
Upside/Downside
+48.8%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ALGT and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-03-13
ALG
Allegiant Travel Company
Primary
5Y
-71.1%
3Y
-15.9%
1Y
+40.3%
6M
+15.9%
1M
-31.4%
1W
-5.6%
DLX
Deluxe Corporation
Peer
5Y
-9.8%
3Y
+147.2%
1Y
+108.4%
6M
+61.0%
1M
+8.5%
1W
-0.9%
ARL
Arlo Technologies, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+60.2%
3Y
+244.6%
1Y
+8.2%
6M
-20.0%
1M
-7.4%
1W
-7.8%
BW
Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+38.8%
3Y
+93.9%
1Y
+991.4%
6M
+278.1%
1M
+9.4%
1W
-19.8%
ENR
Energizer Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-51.5%
3Y
-31.0%
1Y
-22.3%
6M
-15.5%
1M
+19.4%
1W
-2.4%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
7.13
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.3
P/S Ratio
0.53
EV/Revenue
0.93
EV/EBITDA
8.03
Market Cap
$1.38B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -1.71%
Operating Margin 7.17%
Gross Margin 22.46%
ROE -4.17%
ROA 1.98%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +4.5%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.77
High debt
Current Ratio
0.95
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.85
Poor
Cash/Share
$44.07

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-05
$N/A
2026-02-04
$2.85
+43.2% surprise
2025-11-04
$-2.09
-16.4% surprise
2025-08-04
$1.23
+45.1% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing ALGT against 469 companies in the Industrials sector (39 bullish, 174 neutral, 256 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-4.17%
This Stock
vs
-19.38%
Sector Avg
-78.5% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-1.71%
This Stock
vs
6.65%
Sector Avg
-125.8% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.77
This Stock
vs
2.63
Sector Avg
-32.7% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
4.5%
This Stock
vs
71.29%
Sector Avg
-93.7% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.95
This Stock
vs
3.09
Sector Avg
-69.3% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

ARETOS REBECCA
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-18
1,822 shares
GALLAGHER MAURICE J JR
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
Sell
2026-02-10
300,000 shares · $34,351,256
ANDERSON GREGORY CLARK
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-06
1,948 shares
ANDERSON GREGORY CLARK
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-06
1,947 shares
NEAL ROBERT JAMES
President
Stock Award
2026-02-06
10,437 shares
NEAL ROBERT JAMES
President
Stock Award
2026-02-06
10,428 shares
WELLS DREW ALLEN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-06
9,760 shares
WELLS DREW ALLEN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-06
9,748 shares
HOLLINGSWORTH TYLER JAY
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-06
6,812 shares
HOLLINGSWORTH TYLER JAY
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-06
6,681 shares
MORGAN SANDRA DOUGLASS
Director
Sell
2025-10-28
350 shares · $22,750
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
11 analysts
Evercore ISI Group
2026-03-12
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Citigroup
2026-02-05
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
UBS
2026-02-05
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Evercore ISI Group
2026-02-05
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Morgan Stanley
2026-02-05
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Wolfe Research
2026-01-20
up
Peer Perform Outperform
Barclays
2026-01-12
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Susquehanna
2026-01-09
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Citigroup
2026-01-07
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
UBS
2026-01-06
Maintains
Neutral Neutral

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ALGT from our newsroom.

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