ALGT Allegiant Travel Company - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
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ALGT Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ
Industrials
Airlines
Current Price
Live
$75.04
Analyst Target
$113.82
+51.7%
Upside
52W High
$118.0
52W Low
$39.8
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Mar 14, 2026
Market cap
$1.38B
P/E
N/A
ROE
-4.2%
Profit margin
-1.7%
Debt/Equity
1.77
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
85%
Analysis Accuracy
ALGT's Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates severe financial distress, with weak profitability, declining ROE, and negative earnings despite modest revenue growth. The absence of an Altman Z-Score raises concern about default risk, especially given a high debt/equity ratio of 1.77 and current ratio below 1.0. While forward P/E of 7.19 and price/sales of 0.53 suggest undervaluation, the company's negative profit margin (-1.71%) and inconsistent earnings performance undermine fundamental strength. Insider selling totaling $34.37M in six months further signals lack of confidence. Despite a strong analyst 'buy' consensus, the underlying financial health and valuation contradictions point to significant risk.
Key Strengths
Forward P/E of 7.19 is significantly below sector average of 73.87, suggesting potential undervaluation
Price/Sales ratio of 0.53 is low, indicating the stock trades at a discount to revenue
Recent quarterly earnings have shown strong surprise beats (e.g., +134.4%, +335.9%) and high Q/Q EPS growth (+236.4%)
Positive year-over-year EPS growth of 35.7% reflects improving profitability momentum
Strong analyst buy recommendation from 11 analysts with a target price of $113.82 (38.3% upside)
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals extreme financial weakness, with negative ROE (-4.17%) and declining profitability
Debt/Equity ratio of 1.77 is high for an airline, especially with a current ratio of 0.95 and quick ratio of 0.85 indicating liquidity strain
Negative profit margin (-1.71%) and inconsistent earnings (e.g., multiple quarters with losses) undermine sustainable profitability
Insider selling of $34.37M in six months, including large transactions by officers and directors, indicates bearish sentiment from insiders
No Graham Number or intrinsic value estimate available, and no dividend history, limiting traditional value assessment
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
45
Moderate
65
78
52
28
0
AI Verdict
Weak
Key drivers: Low Piotroski F-Score (2/9) and lack of Altman Z-Score signal high financial distress, Negative profit margin and ROE despite revenue growth, High debt levels and weak liquidity ratios, Strong earnings surprises and growth momentum in recent quarters, Significant insider selling and bearish technical trend
Confidence
88%
Value
65/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Forward P/E of 7.19 is well below sector average of 73.87
- Price/Sales of 0.53 is low, suggesting undervaluation relative to revenue
Watchpoints
- No Graham Number or intrinsic value estimate available
- Negative earnings and profit margin undermine traditional valuation models
Future
78/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Strong Q/Q EPS growth of +236.4% and YoY EPS growth of +35.7%
- Recent quarters have shown large positive earnings surprises (e.g., +134.4%, +335.9%)
Watchpoints
- Forward P/E is based on uncertain earnings projections
- No PEG ratio available to assess growth-adjusted valuation
Past
52/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Consistent revenue growth of 4.50% YoY over the past year
- Multiple quarters with significant earnings beats and positive surprises
Watchpoints
- Negative ROE and ROA in recent periods
- Persistent losses in multiple quarters (e.g., 2025-11-04, 2024-10-30)
Health
28/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Operating margin of 7.17% is positive and stable
- Gross margin of 22.46% indicates decent cost control
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates severe financial distress
- Debt/Equity of 1.77 is high for the sector
- Current ratio (0.95) and quick ratio (0.85) below 1.0 indicate liquidity risk
- No Altman Z-Score available, but low ratios suggest distress risk
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend yield or payout ratio
- Dividend strength score of 0/100 indicates no dividend history
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$75.04
Analyst Target
$113.82
Upside/Downside
+51.7%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ALGT and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-03-13
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ALGT
Allegiant Travel Company
Primary
|
-71.1% | -15.9% | +40.3% | +15.9% | -31.4% | -5.6% |
|
ARLO
Arlo Technologies, Inc.
Peer
|
+60.2% | +244.6% | +8.2% | -20.0% | -7.4% | -7.8% |
|
ASTE
Astec Industries, Inc.
Peer
|
-8.6% | +43.5% | +75.4% | +34.5% | +30.3% | +5.7% |
|
AMPX
Amprius Technologies, Inc.
Peer
|
+11.7% | +73.2% | +231.4% | +36.2% | +30.9% | +1.6% |
|
AMSC
American Superconductor Corporation
Peer
|
+20.7% | +535.7% | +66.4% | -44.9% | -9.5% | +12.0% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
7.19
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.3
P/S Ratio
0.53
EV/Revenue
0.93
EV/EBITDA
8.03
Market Cap
$1.38B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
-1.71%
Operating Margin
7.17%
Gross Margin
22.46%
ROE
-4.17%
ROA
1.98%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+4.5%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
1.77
High debt
Current Ratio
0.95
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.85
Poor
Cash/Share
$44.07
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-05
$N/A
2026-02-04
$2.85
+43.2% surprise
2025-11-04
$-2.09
-16.4% surprise
2025-08-04
$1.23
+45.1% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing ALGT against 122 companies in the Industrials sector
(6 bullish, 59 neutral, 57 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-4.17%
This Stock
vs
7.83%
Sector Avg
-153.3%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-1.71%
This Stock
vs
57.85%
Sector Avg
-103.0%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.77
This Stock
vs
5.46
Sector Avg
-67.6%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
4.5%
This Stock
vs
22.8%
Sector Avg
-80.3%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
0.95
This Stock
vs
2.64
Sector Avg
-64.0%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ALGT
Allegiant Travel Company
|
BEARISH | $1.38B | - | -4.2% | -1.7% | $75.04 | |
|
ARLO
Arlo Technologies, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $1.38B | 433.0 | 3.8% | 0.8% | $12.99 | |
|
ASTE
Astec Industries, Inc.
|
BULLISH | $1.42B | 29.71 | 5.9% | 2.8% | $62.09 | |
|
AMPX
Amprius Technologies, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $1.46B | - | -39.0% | -53.2% | $11.17 | |
|
AMSC
American Superconductor Corporation
|
BULLISH | $1.48B | 10.2 | 35.8% | 46.7% | $31.02 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-18 | ARETOS REBECCA | Officer | Stock Award | 1,822 | - |
| 2026-02-10 | GALLAGHER MAURICE J JR | Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner | Sale | 300,000 | $34,351,256 |
| 2026-02-06 | ANDERSON GREGORY CLARK | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 1,948 | - |
| 2026-02-06 | ANDERSON GREGORY CLARK | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 1,947 | - |
| 2026-02-06 | NEAL ROBERT JAMES | President | Stock Award | 10,437 | - |
| 2026-02-06 | NEAL ROBERT JAMES | President | Stock Award | 10,428 | - |
| 2026-02-06 | WELLS DREW ALLEN | Officer | Stock Award | 9,760 | - |
| 2026-02-06 | WELLS DREW ALLEN | Officer | Stock Award | 9,748 | - |
| 2026-02-06 | HOLLINGSWORTH TYLER JAY | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 6,812 | - |
| 2026-02-06 | HOLLINGSWORTH TYLER JAY | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 6,681 | - |
| 2025-10-28 | MORGAN SANDRA DOUGLASS | Director | Sale | 350 | $22,750 |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
11 analysts
Evercore ISI Group
2026-03-12
Outperform
Outperform
Citigroup
2026-02-05
Neutral
Neutral
UBS
2026-02-05
Neutral
Neutral
Evercore ISI Group
2026-02-05
Outperform
Outperform
Morgan Stanley
2026-02-05
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Wolfe Research
2026-01-20
Peer Perform
Outperform
Barclays
2026-01-12
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Susquehanna
2026-01-09
Neutral
Neutral
Citigroup
2026-01-07
Neutral
Neutral
UBS
2026-01-06
Neutral
Neutral
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning ALGT from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.