AMPL Amplitude, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
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AMPL Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ
Technology
Software - Application
Current Price
Live
$7.35
Analyst Target
$12.7
+72.8%
Upside
52W High
$14.49
52W Low
$6.0
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Mar 14, 2026
Market cap
$982.89M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-32.7%
Profit margin
-25.8%
Debt/Equity
0.04
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
87%
Analysis Accuracy
AMPL's Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates severe financial distress, with weak operational and accounting health. The absence of an Altman Z-Score and negative profitability metrics (ROE: -32.68%, ROA: -13.85%) underscore significant underlying weaknesses. Despite a 17% YoY revenue growth and strong gross margins (73.98%), the company remains unprofitable with a negative profit margin of -25.80%. Insider selling totaling $5.73M over six months and a bearish technical trend further erode confidence. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 42.85, well above the sector average, suggesting overvaluation relative to current earnings performance.
Key Strengths
Strong gross margin of 73.98% indicates efficient core product delivery
17% year-over-year revenue growth demonstrates market traction
Low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04 reflects conservative capital structure
High current and quick ratios (1.56 and 1.31) indicate solid short-term liquidity
Positive earnings surprises in 12 of the last 19 quarters, including a 382.9% beat in Q4 2024
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals extreme financial weakness and poor operational efficiency
Persistent negative profitability across all key margins and return metrics
Significant insider selling (8 transactions, $5.73M) with no buys in last 6 months
Stock has declined 86.6% over 5 years and 35.5% over the past year
No dividend, no free cash flow, and no Graham or intrinsic value estimates suggest no margin of safety
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
26
Weak
25
58
30
18
0
AI Verdict
Weak
Key drivers: Low Piotroski F-Score (2/9), Negative profitability and returns, Bearish insider activity, High valuation relative to earnings, Poor long-term price performance
Confidence
88%
Value
25/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Price/Sales of 2.86 is below sector average (avg: ~3.5 implied from peers)
- Forward P/E of 42.85 is below the sector average of 77.56
Watchpoints
- No Graham Number or intrinsic value estimate due to negative earnings
- Stock trades at a premium to historical performance and profitability
- High valuation not supported by current earnings or cash flow
Future
58/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- 17% YoY revenue growth indicates continued market expansion
- Recent earnings surprises have been positive, with an average of +18.18% over last 4 quarters
- Q/Q EPS growth of +100.0% suggests improving profitability momentum
Watchpoints
- Forward P/E of 42.85 implies high growth expectations that may be unsustainable
- No free cash flow data available to validate growth quality
- Earnings growth (YoY) is not available, suggesting inconsistency in reporting
Past
30/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Consistent revenue growth over multiple quarters
- Historical earnings beats in 12 of last 19 quarters
- Improving EPS trend with recent +100% Q/Q growth
Watchpoints
- 5-year price decline of 86.6% reflects long-term underperformance
- Persistent negative ROE and ROA across multiple years
- No dividend history or payout consistency
Health
18/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Extremely low debt-to-equity (0.04) and strong liquidity ratios (1.56 current, 1.31 quick)
- No indication of immediate solvency risk
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 is critically low, indicating severe financial distress
- No Altman Z-Score available, but negative ROE and ROA suggest distress risk
- Negative ROIC and lack of profitability undermine long-term viability
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend yield or payout ratio
- 0/100 dividend strength score
- Unlikely to pay dividends given current losses and reinvestment needs
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$7.35
Analyst Target
$12.7
Upside/Downside
+72.8%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AMPL and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-03-13
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AMPL
Amplitude, Inc.
Primary
|
-86.6% | -40.1% | -35.5% | -33.6% | +9.5% | -6.4% |
|
AXTI
AXT, Inc.
Peer
|
+47.3% | +211.3% | +656.5% | +640.4% | +15.9% | -21.2% |
|
AEVA
Aeva Technologies, Inc.
Peer
|
-81.2% | +82.7% | +485.3% | -5.4% | +19.0% | +7.0% |
|
ALNT
Allient Inc.
Peer
|
+77.8% | +62.3% | +174.1% | +35.7% | -5.0% | -4.5% |
|
ARRY
Array Technologies, Inc.
Peer
|
-80.4% | -64.8% | +14.4% | -9.7% | -37.6% | +1.8% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
42.85
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
4.02
P/S Ratio
2.86
EV/Revenue
2.33
EV/EBITDA
-8.65
Market Cap
$982.89M
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
-25.8%
Operating Margin
-20.85%
Gross Margin
73.98%
ROE
-32.68%
ROA
-13.85%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+17.0%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.04
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.56
Good
Quick Ratio
1.31
Good
Cash/Share
$1.44
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-06
$N/A
2026-02-18
$0.04
-12.3% surprise
2025-11-05
$0.02
+40.8% surprise
2025-08-06
$0.01
+26.1% surprise
Technology Sector Comparison
Comparing AMPL against 149 companies in the Technology sector
(10 bullish, 66 neutral, 73 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-32.68%
This Stock
vs
-8.13%
Sector Avg
+301.9%
(Excellent)
Profit Margin
-25.8%
This Stock
vs
-7.75%
Sector Avg
+232.7%
(Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.04
This Stock
vs
0.76
Sector Avg
-94.9%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
17.0%
This Stock
vs
56.87%
Sector Avg
-70.1%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.56
This Stock
vs
3.33
Sector Avg
-53.3%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AMPL
Amplitude, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $982.89M | - | -32.7% | -25.8% | $7.35 | |
|
AXTI
AXT, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $943.24M | - | -9.9% | -25.2% | $17.4 | |
|
AEVA
Aeva Technologies, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $910.81M | - | -258.4% | -% | $15.16 | |
|
ALNT
Allient Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $1.06B | 55.66 | 7.8% | 4.0% | $62.34 | |
|
ARRY
Array Technologies, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $1.06B | - | -19.0% | -4.1% | $6.93 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | LIU CURTIS | Chief Technology Officer | Sale | 33,201 | $265,840 |
| 2026-03-05 | LIU CURTIS | Chief Technology Officer | Sale | 30,061 | $240,539 |
| 2026-01-05 | TZUO TIEN | Director | Stock Award | 999 | - |
| 2025-12-26 | SKATES SPENSER | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 100 | - |
| 2025-12-26 | SKATES SPENSER | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 100 | $1,200 |
| 2025-12-24 | SKATES SPENSER | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 42,743 | - |
| 2025-12-24 | SKATES SPENSER | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 42,743 | $513,433 |
| 2025-12-15 | SCHULTZ ERICA RULIFFSON | Director | Option Exercise | 10,000 | $41,900 |
| 2025-12-15 | SCHULTZ ERICA RULIFFSON | Director | Sale | 10,000 | $108,758 |
| 2025-11-17 | SCHULTZ ERICA RULIFFSON | Director | Option Exercise | 10,000 | $41,900 |
| 2025-11-17 | SCHULTZ ERICA RULIFFSON | Director | Sale | 10,000 | $102,295 |
| 2025-11-11 | SKATES SPENSER | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 400,000 | - |
| 2025-11-11 | SKATES SPENSER | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 400,000 | $4,395,320 |
| 2025-11-07 | CASEY ANDREW | Chief Financial Officer | Purchase | 30,000 | $299,790 |
| 2025-10-15 | SCHULTZ ERICA RULIFFSON | Director | Option Exercise | 10,000 | $41,900 |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
NONE
10 analysts
BTIG
2026-03-13
Buy
Buy
UBS
2026-02-19
Buy
Buy
DA Davidson
2026-02-19
Buy
Buy
Keybanc
2026-02-19
Overweight
Overweight
BTIG
2026-02-19
Buy
Buy
Piper Sandler
2026-02-19
Overweight
Overweight
Piper Sandler
2026-02-03
Overweight
Overweight
Morgan Stanley
2026-01-15
Equal-Weight
Overweight
Baird
2025-12-19
Outperform
Outperform
BTIG
2025-12-17
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning AMPL from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.