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AMPL

BEARISH
$7.35 Live
Amplitude, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $12.7 (+72.8%)
$6.0 52W Range $14.49
Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Peers Insiders

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Mar 14, 2026
Market cap
$982.89M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-32.7%
Profit margin
-25.8%
Debt/Equity
0.04
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
87%
AMPL's Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates severe financial distress, with weak operational and accounting health. The absence of an Altman Z-Score and negative profitability metrics (ROE: -32.68%, ROA: -13.85%) underscore significant underlying weaknesses. Despite a 17% YoY revenue growth and strong gross margins (73.98%), the company remains unprofitable with a negative profit margin of -25.80%. Insider selling totaling $5.73M over six months and a bearish technical trend further erode confidence. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 42.85, well above the sector average, suggesting overvaluation relative to current earnings performance.

Key Strengths

Strong gross margin of 73.98% indicates efficient core product delivery
17% year-over-year revenue growth demonstrates market traction
Low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04 reflects conservative capital structure
High current and quick ratios (1.56 and 1.31) indicate solid short-term liquidity
Positive earnings surprises in 12 of the last 19 quarters, including a 382.9% beat in Q4 2024

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals extreme financial weakness and poor operational efficiency
Persistent negative profitability across all key margins and return metrics
Significant insider selling (8 transactions, $5.73M) with no buys in last 6 months
Stock has declined 86.6% over 5 years and 35.5% over the past year
No dividend, no free cash flow, and no Graham or intrinsic value estimates suggest no margin of safety

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
26
Weak
Value
25
Future
58
Past
30
Health
18
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Weak
Key drivers: Low Piotroski F-Score (2/9), Negative profitability and returns, Bearish insider activity, High valuation relative to earnings, Poor long-term price performance
Confidence
88%
Value
25/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Price/Sales of 2.86 is below sector average (avg: ~3.5 implied from peers)
  • Forward P/E of 42.85 is below the sector average of 77.56
Watchpoints
  • No Graham Number or intrinsic value estimate due to negative earnings
  • Stock trades at a premium to historical performance and profitability
  • High valuation not supported by current earnings or cash flow
Future
58/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • 17% YoY revenue growth indicates continued market expansion
  • Recent earnings surprises have been positive, with an average of +18.18% over last 4 quarters
  • Q/Q EPS growth of +100.0% suggests improving profitability momentum
Watchpoints
  • Forward P/E of 42.85 implies high growth expectations that may be unsustainable
  • No free cash flow data available to validate growth quality
  • Earnings growth (YoY) is not available, suggesting inconsistency in reporting
Past
30/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Consistent revenue growth over multiple quarters
  • Historical earnings beats in 12 of last 19 quarters
  • Improving EPS trend with recent +100% Q/Q growth
Watchpoints
  • 5-year price decline of 86.6% reflects long-term underperformance
  • Persistent negative ROE and ROA across multiple years
  • No dividend history or payout consistency
Health
18/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Extremely low debt-to-equity (0.04) and strong liquidity ratios (1.56 current, 1.31 quick)
  • No indication of immediate solvency risk
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 is critically low, indicating severe financial distress
  • No Altman Z-Score available, but negative ROE and ROA suggest distress risk
  • Negative ROIC and lack of profitability undermine long-term viability
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend yield or payout ratio
  • 0/100 dividend strength score
  • Unlikely to pay dividends given current losses and reinvestment needs

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$7.35
Analyst Target
$12.7
Upside/Downside
+72.8%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AMPL and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-03-13
AMP
Amplitude, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-86.6%
3Y
-40.1%
1Y
-35.5%
6M
-33.6%
1M
+9.5%
1W
-6.4%
DAK
Daktronics, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+199.5%
3Y
+241.1%
1Y
+70.4%
6M
-0.1%
1M
-7.3%
1W
-0.6%
AXT
AXT, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+47.3%
3Y
+211.3%
1Y
+656.5%
6M
+640.4%
1M
+15.9%
1W
-21.2%
AEV
Aeva Technologies, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-81.2%
3Y
+82.7%
1Y
+485.3%
6M
-5.4%
1M
+19.0%
1W
+7.0%
ALN
Allient Inc.
Peer
5Y
+77.8%
3Y
+62.3%
1Y
+174.1%
6M
+35.7%
1M
-5.0%
1W
-4.5%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
42.85
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
4.02
P/S Ratio
2.86
EV/Revenue
2.33
EV/EBITDA
-8.65
Market Cap
$982.89M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -25.8%
Operating Margin -20.85%
Gross Margin 73.98%
ROE -32.68%
ROA -13.85%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +17.0%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.04
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.56
Good
Quick Ratio
1.31
Good
Cash/Share
$1.44

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-06
$N/A
2026-02-18
$0.04
-12.3% surprise
2025-11-05
$0.02
+40.8% surprise
2025-08-06
$0.01
+26.1% surprise

Technology Sector Comparison

Comparing AMPL against 565 companies in the Technology sector (45 bullish, 197 neutral, 323 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-32.68%
This Stock
vs
-33.47%
Sector Avg
-2.4% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-25.8%
This Stock
vs
-11.75%
Sector Avg
+119.6% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.04
This Stock
vs
0.74
Sector Avg
-94.8% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
17.0%
This Stock
vs
4383.21%
Sector Avg
-99.6% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.56
This Stock
vs
3.59
Sector Avg
-56.5% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

AMPL Amplitude, Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$983M
P/E
-
ROE
-32.7%
Price
$7.35
DAKT Daktronics, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$948M
P/E
35.3
ROE
9.7%
Price
$19.44
 Compare with AMPL
AXTI AXT, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$943M
P/E
-
ROE
-9.9%
Price
$17.4
 Compare with AMPL
AEVA Aeva Technologies, Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$911M
P/E
-
ROE
-258.4%
Price
$15.16
 Compare with AMPL
ALNT Allient Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$1.1B
P/E
55.7
ROE
7.8%
Price
$62.34
 Compare with AMPL

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

LIU CURTIS
Chief Technology Officer
Sell
2026-03-06
33,201 shares · $265,840
LIU CURTIS
Chief Technology Officer
Sell
2026-03-05
30,061 shares · $240,539
TZUO TIEN
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-05
999 shares
SKATES SPENSER
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-26
100 shares
SKATES SPENSER
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2025-12-26
100 shares · $1,200
SKATES SPENSER
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-24
42,743 shares
SKATES SPENSER
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2025-12-24
42,743 shares · $513,433
SCHULTZ ERICA RULIFFSON
Director
Option Exercise
2025-12-15
10,000 shares · $41,900
SCHULTZ ERICA RULIFFSON
Director
Sell
2025-12-15
10,000 shares · $108,758
SCHULTZ ERICA RULIFFSON
Director
Option Exercise
2025-11-17
10,000 shares · $41,900
SCHULTZ ERICA RULIFFSON
Director
Sell
2025-11-17
10,000 shares · $102,295
SKATES SPENSER
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-11
400,000 shares
SKATES SPENSER
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2025-11-11
400,000 shares · $4,395,320
CASEY ANDREW
Chief Financial Officer
Buy
2025-11-07
30,000 shares · $299,790
SCHULTZ ERICA RULIFFSON
Director
Option Exercise
2025-10-15
10,000 shares · $41,900
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
10 analysts
BTIG
2026-03-13
reit
Buy Buy
UBS
2026-02-19
Maintains
Buy Buy
DA Davidson
2026-02-19
Maintains
Buy Buy
Keybanc
2026-02-19
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
BTIG
2026-02-19
Maintains
Buy Buy
Piper Sandler
2026-02-19
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Piper Sandler
2026-02-03
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Morgan Stanley
2026-01-15
up
Equal-Weight Overweight
Baird
2025-12-19
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
BTIG
2025-12-17
init
Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning AMPL from our newsroom.

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