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AMWD American Woodmark Corporation - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH
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AMWD Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Consumer Cyclical Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
Current Price Live
$39.5
Analyst Target
$59.0
+49.4% Upside
52W High
$72.16
52W Low
$38.31

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Confidence Score
85%
Analysis Accuracy
American Woodmark Corporation exhibits strong deterministic health per its Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, indicating robust operational efficiency and financial stability. However, this is severely undermined by a catastrophic earnings trajectory, with year-over-year EPS growth of -287.6% and a recent quarterly surprise of -5728.6%, signaling deep operational distress. The stock trades near its 52-week low at $39.50, despite a Graham Number of $40.20, suggesting minimal margin of safety. Its valuation metrics—P/E of 34.05 and Price/Sales of 0.38—are misleading given the negative operating margin and declining revenue. Analysts recommend 'buy' with a target of $59.00, but this is inconsistent with the deteriorating fundamentals and technical bearishness.

Key Strengths

Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicates strong financial health and operational efficiency
High current ratio (2.37) and moderate debt/equity (0.54) suggest liquidity and manageable leverage
Graham Number ($40.20) implies a defensive fair value close to current price
Low Price/Sales (0.38) suggests potential undervaluation on a revenue basis
Insider sentiment at 40/100 indicates neutral-to-cautious positioning

Key Risks

Revenue growth declined sharply by -18.40% YoY, signaling weakening demand
Operating margin is negative (-0.17%), indicating core business inefficiency
Recent earnings surprises are extremely negative, with a -5728.6% miss in Q4 2026
Technical trend is 0/100 (bearish), with 52-week low reached and sustained downtrend
No dividend and zero payout ratio reflect lack of shareholder return capability
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$28.5
-27.8% below current price

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