ANTA Antalpha Platform Holding Compa - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
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ANTA Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ
Financial Services
Credit Services
Current Price
Live
$7.39
Analyst Target
$11.33
+53.4%
Upside
52W High
$27.72
52W Low
$6.55
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Mar 14, 2026
Market cap
$174.98M
P/E
9.85
ROE
19.6%
Profit margin
24.3%
Debt/Equity
5.09
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
85%
Analysis Accuracy
ANTA's Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicates a stable but not strong financial health, with significant red flags in liquidity and leverage. The absence of an Altman Z-Score raises concern about default risk, particularly given a dangerously high Debt/Equity ratio of 5.09 and a near-zero quick ratio of 0.03. While the company exhibits exceptional revenue and earnings growth (109.6% and 304.5% YoY), these gains are not supported by sustainable profitability or cash flow metrics. The stock trades below its Graham Number ($9.24) but at a steep discount to its intrinsic value estimate ($22.12), suggesting either extreme risk or overvaluation based on growth expectations. Analysts rate it 'strong_buy' despite poor earnings surprises and a deteriorating recent EPS trend.
Key Strengths
Exceptional revenue growth of 109.6% YoY
High gross margin of 91.70% indicates strong pricing power or low cost structure
Strong ROE of 19.65% reflects efficient use of equity capital
P/E ratio of 9.85 is below sector average (30.41), suggesting potential undervaluation
Intrinsic value estimate of $22.12 exceeds current price of $7.39, indicating upside potential
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicates marginal financial health with multiple weaknesses
Debt/Equity ratio of 5.09 is extremely high, signaling significant financial leverage risk
Quick ratio of 0.03 implies severe liquidity constraints and inability to meet short-term obligations
Recent Q/Q EPS growth of -89.3% and negative earnings surprises (e.g., -81.5%) indicate deteriorating profitability
No available cash flow or debt figures, making financial health assessment incomplete and speculative
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$18.5
+150.3% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
40
Weak
68
45
50
35
0
AI Verdict
cautious
Key drivers: High growth and low P/E provide value potential, Severe liquidity and leverage issues undermine stability, Inconsistent earnings execution and recent negative surprises
Confidence
88%
Value
68/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Current price ($7.39) is below Graham Number ($9.24)
- P/E (9.85) is significantly below sector average (30.41)
- Intrinsic value estimate ($22.12) suggests substantial upside
Watchpoints
- Growth may be unsustainable given poor cash flow and liquidity
- No PEG ratio available, limiting growth-adjusted valuation clarity
- Stock trades at a discount to intrinsic value, but only if growth persists
Future
45/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Revenue and earnings growth are exceptionally high (109.6% and 304.5% YoY)
- Q/Q earnings growth was 460.90% in prior quarter, indicating momentum
Watchpoints
- Most recent Q/Q EPS growth is -89.3%, signaling reversal
- Earnings surprises have been negative in 3 of last 4 quarters
- No forward guidance or cash flow data to validate sustainability
Past
50/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- ROE of 19.65% is strong and consistent with industry peers
- Gross margin of 91.70% is outstanding and indicates operational efficiency
Watchpoints
- Profit margin (24.28%) is not fully translating into ROA (0.51%)
- Operating margin (7.91%) is low relative to gross margin
- Historical price decline of -42.3% over 1Y, 3Y, and 5Y suggests structural issues
Health
35/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicates stable, not weak, financial health
- ROE and ROIC (if available) suggest capital efficiency
Watchpoints
- Debt/Equity ratio of 5.09 is dangerously high
- Quick ratio of 0.03 indicates acute liquidity risk
- No Altman Z-Score available, but low liquidity and high leverage suggest distress risk
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- Dividend yield and payout ratio are both 0%
- No history of dividend payments
- Company is not a dividend payer, which limits income appeal
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$7.39
Analyst Target
$11.33
Upside/Downside
+53.4%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ANTA and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-03-13
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ANTA
Antalpha Platform Holding Compa
Primary
|
-42.3% | -42.3% | -42.3% | -38.0% | -17.0% | -5.7% |
|
BSL
Blackstone Senior Floating Rate 2027 Term Fund
Peer
|
+39.0% | +38.7% | +2.4% | -0.7% | +0.8% | -0.5% |
|
BCIC
BCP Investment Corp.
Peer
|
+23.2% | -13.6% | -12.9% | +7.6% | +6.1% | +1.7% |
|
BANX
ArrowMark Financial Corp.
Peer
|
+77.2% | +59.5% | +11.0% | +8.9% | -3.7% | -1.0% |
|
BMN
Blackrock 2037 Municipal Target Term Trust
Peer
|
+18.8% | +19.2% | +6.8% | +6.7% | +2.2% | -0.1% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
9.85
Forward P/E
11.37
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.46
P/S Ratio
2.3
EV/Revenue
16.8
EV/EBITDA
85.05
Market Cap
$174.98M
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
24.28%
Operating Margin
7.91%
Gross Margin
91.7%
ROE
19.65%
ROA
0.51%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+109.6%
Earnings Growth
+304.5%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+460.9%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
5.09
High debt
Current Ratio
1.16
Good
Quick Ratio
0.03
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.33
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-14
$N/A
2026-03-03
$0.03
-81.5% surprise
2025-11-10
$0.28
+110.4% surprise
2025-08-12
$0.03
-33.3% surprise
Financial Services Sector Comparison
Comparing ANTA against 208 companies in the Financial Services sector
(5 bullish, 111 neutral, 92 bearish)
P/E Ratio
9.85
This Stock
vs
30.37
Sector Avg
-67.6%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
19.65%
This Stock
vs
-7.62%
Sector Avg
-357.8%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
24.28%
This Stock
vs
82.75%
Sector Avg
-70.7%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
5.09
This Stock
vs
1.48
Sector Avg
+244.8%
(Higher)
Revenue Growth
109.6%
This Stock
vs
28.35%
Sector Avg
+286.6%
(Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
1.16
This Stock
vs
3.81
Sector Avg
-69.5%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ANTA
Antalpha Platform Holding Compa
|
BEARISH | $174.98M | 9.85 | 19.6% | 24.3% | $7.39 | |
|
BSL
Blackstone Senior Floating...
|
BEARISH | $176.37M | 14.26 | 6.4% | 48.3% | $13.55 | |
|
BCIC
BCP Investment Corp.
|
NEUTRAL | $165.56M | 8.04 | 7.9% | 28.4% | $12.55 | |
|
BANX
ArrowMark Financial Corp.
|
NEUTRAL | $163.16M | 7.74 | 12.5% | 69.8% | $20.89 | |
|
BMN
Blackrock 2037 Municipal...
|
BEARISH | $162.05M | 263.6 | -% | -% | $26.36 |
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
STRONG_BUY
3 analysts
B. Riley Securities
2026-03-04
Buy
Buy
B. Riley Securities
2025-11-04
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning ANTA from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.