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ANTA

BEARISH
$7.39 Live
Antalpha Platform Holding Compa · NASDAQ
Target $11.33 (+53.4%)
$6.55 52W Range $27.72

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Mar 14, 2026
Market cap
$174.98M
P/E
9.85
ROE
19.6%
Profit margin
24.3%
Debt/Equity
5.09
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
ANTA's Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicates a stable but not strong financial health, with significant red flags in liquidity and leverage. The absence of an Altman Z-Score raises concern about default risk, particularly given a dangerously high Debt/Equity ratio of 5.09 and a near-zero quick ratio of 0.03. While the company exhibits exceptional revenue and earnings growth (109.6% and 304.5% YoY), these gains are not supported by sustainable profitability or cash flow metrics. The stock trades below its Graham Number ($9.24) but at a steep discount to its intrinsic value estimate ($22.12), suggesting either extreme risk or overvaluation based on growth expectations. Analysts rate it 'strong_buy' despite poor earnings surprises and a deteriorating recent EPS trend.

Key Strengths

Exceptional revenue growth of 109.6% YoY
High gross margin of 91.70% indicates strong pricing power or low cost structure
Strong ROE of 19.65% reflects efficient use of equity capital
P/E ratio of 9.85 is below sector average (30.41), suggesting potential undervaluation
Intrinsic value estimate of $22.12 exceeds current price of $7.39, indicating upside potential

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicates marginal financial health with multiple weaknesses
Debt/Equity ratio of 5.09 is extremely high, signaling significant financial leverage risk
Quick ratio of 0.03 implies severe liquidity constraints and inability to meet short-term obligations
Recent Q/Q EPS growth of -89.3% and negative earnings surprises (e.g., -81.5%) indicate deteriorating profitability
No available cash flow or debt figures, making financial health assessment incomplete and speculative
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$18.5
+150.3% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
40
Weak
Value
68
Future
45
Past
50
Health
35
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
cautious
Key drivers: High growth and low P/E provide value potential, Severe liquidity and leverage issues undermine stability, Inconsistent earnings execution and recent negative surprises
Confidence
88%
Value
68/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Current price ($7.39) is below Graham Number ($9.24)
  • P/E (9.85) is significantly below sector average (30.41)
  • Intrinsic value estimate ($22.12) suggests substantial upside
Watchpoints
  • Growth may be unsustainable given poor cash flow and liquidity
  • No PEG ratio available, limiting growth-adjusted valuation clarity
  • Stock trades at a discount to intrinsic value, but only if growth persists
Future
45/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Revenue and earnings growth are exceptionally high (109.6% and 304.5% YoY)
  • Q/Q earnings growth was 460.90% in prior quarter, indicating momentum
Watchpoints
  • Most recent Q/Q EPS growth is -89.3%, signaling reversal
  • Earnings surprises have been negative in 3 of last 4 quarters
  • No forward guidance or cash flow data to validate sustainability
Past
50/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • ROE of 19.65% is strong and consistent with industry peers
  • Gross margin of 91.70% is outstanding and indicates operational efficiency
Watchpoints
  • Profit margin (24.28%) is not fully translating into ROA (0.51%)
  • Operating margin (7.91%) is low relative to gross margin
  • Historical price decline of -42.3% over 1Y, 3Y, and 5Y suggests structural issues
Health
35/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicates stable, not weak, financial health
  • ROE and ROIC (if available) suggest capital efficiency
Watchpoints
  • Debt/Equity ratio of 5.09 is dangerously high
  • Quick ratio of 0.03 indicates acute liquidity risk
  • No Altman Z-Score available, but low liquidity and high leverage suggest distress risk
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Dividend yield and payout ratio are both 0%
  • No history of dividend payments
  • Company is not a dividend payer, which limits income appeal

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$7.39
Analyst Target
$11.33
Upside/Downside
+53.4%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ANTA and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-03-13
ANT
Antalpha Platform Holding Compa
Primary
5Y
-42.3%
3Y
-42.3%
1Y
-42.3%
6M
-38.0%
1M
-17.0%
1W
-5.7%
EAR
Ellington Credit Company
Peer
5Y
-23.4%
3Y
+2.3%
1Y
+1.4%
6M
-4.0%
1M
+5.9%
1W
-1.3%
BSL
Blackstone Senior Floating Rate 2027 Term Fund
Peer
5Y
+39.0%
3Y
+38.7%
1Y
+2.4%
6M
-0.7%
1M
+0.8%
1W
-0.5%
GGT
The Gabelli Multimedia Trust Inc.
Peer
5Y
-10.3%
3Y
+27.4%
1Y
+14.9%
6M
+13.8%
1M
+5.2%
1W
+0.7%
DHF
BNY Mellon High Yield Strategies Fund
Peer
5Y
+19.8%
3Y
+42.6%
1Y
+9.0%
6M
-1.2%
1M
+2.0%
1W
-1.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
9.85
Forward P/E
11.37
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.46
P/S Ratio
2.3
EV/Revenue
16.8
EV/EBITDA
85.05
Market Cap
$174.98M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 24.28%
Operating Margin 7.91%
Gross Margin 91.7%
ROE 19.65%
ROA 0.51%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +109.6%
Earnings Growth +304.5%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +460.9%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
5.09
High debt
Current Ratio
1.16
Good
Quick Ratio
0.03
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.33

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-14
$N/A
2026-03-03
$0.03
-81.5% surprise
2025-11-10
$0.28
+110.4% surprise
2025-08-12
$0.03
-33.3% surprise

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing ANTA against 820 companies in the Financial Services sector (141 bullish, 351 neutral, 328 bearish)
P/E Ratio
9.85
This Stock
vs
36.01
Sector Avg
-72.6% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
19.65%
This Stock
vs
-0.73%
Sector Avg
-2781.5% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
24.28%
This Stock
vs
91.62%
Sector Avg
-73.5% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
5.09
This Stock
vs
1.36
Sector Avg
+274.6% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
109.6%
This Stock
vs
35.27%
Sector Avg
+210.8% (Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
1.16
This Stock
vs
3.18
Sector Avg
-63.5% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
STRONG_BUY
3 analysts
B. Riley Securities
2026-03-04
Maintains
Buy Buy
B. Riley Securities
2025-11-04
init
Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ANTA from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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