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AREC American Resources Corporation - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH
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AREC Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Basic Materials Coking Coal
Current Price Live
$4.37
Analyst Target
$6.75
+54.5% Upside
52W High
$7.11
52W Low
$0.38

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$450.49M
P/E
N/A
ROE
N/A
Profit margin
N/A
Debt/Equity
N/A
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
85%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals severe financial distress with a Piotroski F-Score of just 1/9, indicating extremely weak fundamental health. Despite a bullish analyst recommendation and strong recent price momentum, the company exhibits catastrophic operating margins (-2.62 million percent), negative price-to-book, and near-total collapse in revenue (YoY growth: -99.90%). Liquidity is critically impaired with a current ratio of 0.10 and quick ratio of 0.03, while insider selling of $10.76M in the last six months signals strong bearish sentiment from those closest to the business. These red flags outweigh any technical or short-term growth anomalies.

Key Strengths

Strong recent price performance with 1Y return of +490.5% indicating speculative momentum
Analyst consensus is strong_buy based on 4 analysts
Recent quarterly earnings surprises have been positive on average (last 4: +33.57%)
Year-over-year EPS growth of +46.2% suggests potential earnings recovery
Sector peer ALTO shows positive momentum, suggesting possible sector tailwinds

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 indicates severe financial weakness and high risk of operational failure
Operating margin of -2620080.50% is economically nonsensical and signals fundamental collapse
Current ratio of 0.10 and quick ratio of 0.03 indicate imminent liquidity crisis
Revenue growth YoY at -99.90% suggests near-total business contraction
Massive insider selling ($10.76M in 6 months) by >10% beneficial owners signals loss of confidence

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
18
Weak
Value
10
Future
45
Past
30
Health
5
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
High-risk speculative position with catastrophic fundamentals outweighing temporary momentum
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, Insider selling wave, Negative operating and gross margins, Near-zero liquidity ratios, Revenue collapse
Confidence
88%
Value
10/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Price/Book: -4.66 (negative book value)
  • Price/Sales: 4740.70 (extreme valuation)
  • No Graham Number or Intrinsic Value available
  • P/E and Forward P/E not meaningful
Future
45/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • YoY EPS growth of +46.2%
  • Q/Q EPS growth of +12.5%
  • Analyst target price of $6.75 implies 54% upside
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth YoY: -99.90%
  • Forward P/E of -39.73 suggests losses expected
Past
30/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Some large positive earnings surprises (e.g., +566.7% in 2023-Q1)
Watchpoints
  • Frequent large negative earnings surprises (e.g., -788.9% in 2020)
  • Consistently negative earnings estimates
  • Revenue trend shows collapse
Health
5/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score: 1/9 (critically weak)
  • Altman Z-Score: None (unavailable, high risk implied)
  • ROA: -7.27%
  • Current Ratio: 0.10
  • Quick Ratio: 0.03
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Dividend Strength: 0/100
  • Dividend Yield: N/A
  • No dividend history or payout

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$4.37
Analyst Target
$6.75
Upside/Downside
+54.5%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AREC and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
AREC
American Resources Corporation
Primary
+61.2% +181.9% +490.5% +261.2% +60.7% +22.4%
ASIX
AdvanSix Inc.
Peer
-19.6% -57.0% -44.5% -20.6% -0.2% +0.4%
ASTL
Algoma Steel Group Inc.
Peer
-48.5% -34.3% -46.5% -27.1% +8.9% +3.2%
ALTO
Alto Ingredients, Inc.
Peer
-18.0% +142.7% +253.0% +294.9% +68.2% +6.2%
ASPI
ASP Isotopes Inc.
Peer
+100.0% +196.7% +15.1% -42.5% -32.8% +2.7%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
-39.73
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
-4.66
P/S Ratio
4740.7
EV/Revenue
6895.97
EV/EBITDA
-33.05
Market Cap
$450.49M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin N/A
Operating Margin -2620080.0%
Gross Margin N/A
ROE N/A
ROA -7.27%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -99.9%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
N/A
Current Ratio
0.1
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.03
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.02

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-03-30
$N/A
2025-11-24
$N/A
2025-11-14
$-0.07
+50.6% surprise
2025-10-24
$-0.08
+16.5% surprise

Basic Materials Sector Comparison

Comparing AREC against 41 companies in the Basic Materials sector (1 bullish, 21 neutral, 19 bearish)
Revenue Growth
-99.9%
This Stock
vs
15.82%
Sector Avg
-731.5% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.1
This Stock
vs
2.28
Sector Avg
-95.7% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
AREC
American Resources Corporation
BEARISH $450.49M - -% -% $4.37
ASIX
AdvanSix Inc.
BEARISH $458.57M 8.89 6.6% 3.5% $17.07
ASTL
Algoma Steel Group Inc.
BEARISH $476.4M - -% -34.8% $4.54
ALTO
Alto Ingredients, Inc.
NEUTRAL $360.42M 29.12 5.7% 1.5% $4.66
ASPI
ASP Isotopes Inc.
BEARISH $668.09M - -152.6% -% $5.34

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date Insider Position Transaction Shares Value
2025-11-10 GOLDEN PROPERTIES, LTD. Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security Sale 300,000 $1,238,400
2025-11-10 GOLDEN PROPERTIES, LTD. Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security Sale 330,000 $1,330,000
2025-11-10 GOLDEN PROPERTIES, LTD. Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security Sale 26,845 $109,659
2025-11-07 GOLDEN PROPERTIES, LTD. Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security Sale 196,108 $792,232
2025-11-05 GOLDEN PROPERTIES, LTD. Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security Sale 118,892 $478,118
2025-11-04 GOLDEN PROPERTIES, LTD. Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security Sale 92,973 $372,342
2025-10-20 GOLDEN PROPERTIES, LTD. Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security Sale 20,000 $82,400
2025-10-17 GOLDEN PROPERTIES, LTD. Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security Sale 980,000 $3,978,800
2025-08-19 GOLDEN PROPERTIES, LTD. Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security Sale 1,000,000 $1,260,000
2025-07-31 GOLDEN PROPERTIES, LTD. Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security Sale 1,000,000 $1,120,000
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
STRONG_BUY
4 analysts
D. Boral Capital
2025-12-01
Maintains
Buy Buy
Maxim Group
2025-11-26
init
Buy
William Blair
2025-10-20
init
Outperform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning AREC from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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