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CLW

BEARISH
$14.63 Live
Clearwater Paper Corporation · NYSE
Target $18.0 (+23.0%)
$12.44 52W Range $30.96

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 25, 2026
Market cap
$234.64M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-6.3%
Profit margin
-1.2%
Debt/Equity
0.47
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
CLW exhibits severe financial deterioration, highlighted by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, indicating poor operational health. While the stock trades at a deep discount to book value (P/B 0.28) and sales (P/S 0.15), these metrics suggest a 'value trap' rather than a bargain given the negative profit margins and -103.5% YoY EPS growth. Technical trends are overwhelmingly bearish, and insider sentiment is negative, offsetting the optimistic analyst target price of $18.00.

Key Strengths

Very low Price-to-Book ratio (0.28) suggesting deep asset value
Strong liquidity position with a Current Ratio of 2.43
Manageable Debt/Equity ratio of 0.47 compared to sector average
Extremely low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.15)
Positive analyst consensus with a target price above current levels

Key Risks

Critical financial health failure (Piotroski F-Score 2/9)
Severe negative earnings momentum (-103.5% YoY EPS growth)
Negative net profit margins (-1.20%) indicating inability to sustain operations profitably
Strong bearish price action (1Y change of -40.7%)
Lack of insider buying and presence of insider selling
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$15.5
+5.9% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
20
Weak
Value
45
Future
20
Past
15
Health
20
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
High Risk / Value Trap
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score 2/9, Negative YoY EPS Growth, Deep P/B discount, Bearish technicals
Confidence
90%
Value
45/100

Trades significantly below book value, but lack of earnings makes traditional valuation metrics (P/E) inapplicable.

Positives
  • P/B 0.28
  • P/S 0.15
Watchpoints
  • Negative earnings
  • No Graham Number available
Future
20/100

Growth metrics are severely negative, suggesting a struggling business model.

Positives
  • Analyst target price of $18.00
Watchpoints
  • YoY EPS Growth -103.5%
  • Negative profit margins
Past
15/100

Long-term price performance shows a consistent downward trajectory.

Positives
  • Occasional quarterly EPS beats
Watchpoints
  • 5Y Change -56.8%
  • 1Y Change -40.7%
Health
20/100

While liquidity ratios are stable, the Piotroski score confirms a breakdown in fundamental financial health.

Positives
  • Current Ratio 2.43
  • Debt/Equity 0.47
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9
Dividend
0/100

Company provides no income return to shareholders.

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid
  • 0/100 Dividend Strength

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$14.63
Analyst Target
$18.0
Upside/Downside
+23.0%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for CLW and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-24
CLW
Clearwater Paper Corporation
Primary
5Y
-56.8%
3Y
-58.9%
1Y
-40.7%
6M
-26.6%
1M
+2.8%
1W
-2.5%
ARE
American Resources Corporation
Peer
5Y
-41.2%
3Y
+71.4%
1Y
+330.2%
6M
-18.0%
1M
-30.1%
1W
-12.0%
HDS
Hudson Technologies, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+195.6%
3Y
-27.7%
1Y
+8.5%
6M
-31.8%
1M
+1.2%
1W
+2.7%
CMT
Core Molding Technologies, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+148.4%
3Y
+48.2%
1Y
+84.3%
6M
+47.0%
1M
+34.4%
1W
+3.0%
NVA
Nova Minerals Limited
Peer
5Y
+577.1%
3Y
+577.1%
1Y
+160.0%
6M
-40.5%
1M
+1.4%
1W
+4.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
-12.43
PEG Ratio
3.21
P/B Ratio
0.28
P/S Ratio
0.15
EV/Revenue
0.38
EV/EBITDA
5.4
Market Cap
$234.64M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -1.2%
Operating Margin 2.56%
Gross Margin 7.45%
ROE -6.31%
ROA 0.67%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth N/A
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth -0.18%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.47
Low debt
Current Ratio
2.43
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.04
Good
Cash/Share
$1.91

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.4B
Gross Margin
4.5%
Op. Margin
-1.8%
Net Margin
9.9%
Total Assets
$1.6B
Liabilities
$0.8B
Equity
$0.8B
Debt/Equity
0.92x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
-198%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-28
$N/A
2026-02-18
$-0.42
+21.5% surprise
2025-10-28
$-0.57
-7.7% surprise
2025-07-29
$0.45
-35.4% surprise

Basic Materials Sector Comparison

Comparing CLW against 111 companies in the Basic Materials sector (5 bullish, 42 neutral, 64 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-6.31%
This Stock
vs
-9.77%
Sector Avg
-35.4% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-1.2%
This Stock
vs
-7.52%
Sector Avg
-84.1% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.47
This Stock
vs
1.03
Sector Avg
-53.9% (Less Debt)
Current Ratio
2.43
This Stock
vs
5.84
Sector Avg
-58.4% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

BARCKLEY REBECCA ANNE
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-26
4,338 shares
KITCH ARSEN S
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-26
83,623 shares
BOWDEN STEVE M
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-26
13,278 shares
BAKER SHERRI
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-26
15,220 shares
PASSARELLO MATHEW D
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-26
10,422 shares
ROME MARC D.
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-02-26
11,422 shares
BOWDEN STEVE M
Officer
Sell
2025-11-28
8,889 shares · $161,246
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-03-27

CLW filed a definitive proxy statement on March 27, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information to vote on corporate matters at the upcoming annual meeting.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-18

CLW filed its 10-K annual report on February 18, 2026, which includes sections on business operations, risk factors, and management's discussion and analysis. Specific financial highlights and risk details were not provided in the available excerpts.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-18

Clearwater Paper (CLW) filed an 8-K on February 18, 2026, likely to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-10-28

CLW utilizes Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations as a key non-GAAP measure to evaluate its financial performance. The company reports no material changes to its critical accounting policies and estimates since the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024. Specific financial results and risk factors were not detailed in the provided excerpts.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-28

Clearwater Analytics, Inc. likely filed this 8-K to report its third-quarter financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-07-29

CLW reports no material changes to its critical accounting policies since the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024. The company utilizes Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations as a key non-GAAP metric to evaluate its financial performance. Specific financial results and risk factors were not detailed in the provided excerpts.

8-K
8-K
2025-07-29

Clearwater Analytics, Inc. (CLW) filed an 8-K on July 29, 2025, likely to announce its second-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-05-21

Clearwater Analytics, Inc. (CLW) filed an 8-K on May 21, 2025, likely to announce its first-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-05-12

Clearwater Analytics, Inc. (CLW) filed an 8-K on May 12, 2025, likely to announce its first-quarter financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-04-29
8-K
8-K
2025-04-29

Clearwater Analytics, Inc. (CLW) filed an 8-K on April 29, 2025, likely to announce its first-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-04-04
DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2025-03-28
10-K
10-K
2025-02-24
8-K
8-K
2025-02-13
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
3 analysts
Truist Securities
2026-04-15
Maintains
Hold Hold
RBC Capital
2026-02-20
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Truist Securities
2026-02-19
Maintains
Hold Hold
Truist Securities
2026-01-20
init
Hold
RBC Capital
2025-10-29
Maintains
Outperform Outperform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning CLW from our newsroom.

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