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NVA

BEARISH
$6.5 Live
Nova Minerals Limited · NASDAQ
Target $10.0 (+53.8%)
$1.68 52W Range $16.28

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 16, 2026
Market cap
$275.36M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-15.6%
Profit margin
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.04
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
Nova Minerals Limited exhibits significant financial instability, highlighted by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 and a catastrophic operating margin of -4,303,970%. While the company maintains a strong liquidity position with a current ratio of 3.63 and very low debt (D/E 0.04), it lacks any meaningful revenue or profitability. The technical trend is completely bearish (0/100), and the stock has retraced over 40% of its value in the last six months. This profile is characteristic of a speculative exploration-stage company with no current operational viability.

Key Strengths

Very low leverage (Debt/Equity 0.04)
Strong short-term liquidity (Current Ratio 3.63)
High Quick Ratio (3.29) indicating minimal reliance on inventory
Significant 1-year price appreciation (+160%) despite recent slide
Positive analyst target price ($10.00) relative to current price

Key Risks

Extreme operational inefficiency (Operating Margin -4.3M%)
Weak financial health baseline (Piotroski F-Score 3/9)
Complete lack of revenue generation (P/S ratio is negative/nonsensical)
Strong bearish technical momentum (0/100 trend score)
Negative Return on Equity (-15.56%) and Return on Assets (-5.06%)

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
28
Weak
Value
20
Future
40
Past
50
Health
30
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Speculative/High Risk
Key drivers: Lack of revenue, Weak F-Score, Bearish technicals, Strong balance sheet liquidity
Confidence
90%
Value
20/100

Graham Number and Intrinsic Value are unavailable due to lack of earnings.

Positives
  • Low debt
Watchpoints
  • No P/E or PEG available
  • P/B of 2.37 is high for a non-earning entity
  • Negative Price/Sales ratio
Future
40/100

Future value is entirely dependent on exploration success rather than operational growth.

Positives
  • Single analyst target of $10.00
Watchpoints
  • No growth metrics provided
  • High volatility in sector
Past
50/100

Historical performance shows a speculative bubble and subsequent correction.

Positives
  • Strong 1Y and 3Y returns
Watchpoints
  • Severe 6-month decline (-40.5%)
Health
30/100

Balance sheet is liquid, but operational health is failing.

Positives
  • Low Debt/Equity
  • High Current Ratio
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score 3/9 (Weak)
  • Negative ROE/ROA
Dividend
0/100

Company is in a growth/exploration phase; no payout capacity.

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid
  • 0/100 strength score

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$6.5
Analyst Target
$10.0
Upside/Downside
+53.8%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for NVA and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-15
NVA
Nova Minerals Limited
Primary
5Y
+577.1%
3Y
+577.1%
1Y
+160.0%
6M
-40.5%
1M
+1.4%
1W
+4.2%
HDS
Hudson Technologies, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+195.6%
3Y
-27.7%
1Y
+8.5%
6M
-31.8%
1M
+1.2%
1W
+2.7%
ION
ioneer Ltd
Peer
5Y
-79.0%
3Y
-55.1%
1Y
+11.8%
6M
-40.0%
1M
-3.1%
1W
-5.8%
ARE
American Resources Corporation
Peer
5Y
-41.2%
3Y
+71.4%
1Y
+330.2%
6M
-18.0%
1M
-30.1%
1W
-12.0%
ALT
Alto Ingredients, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-18.0%
3Y
+142.7%
1Y
+253.0%
6M
+294.9%
1M
+68.2%
1W
+6.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
N/A
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.37
P/S Ratio
-166.28
EV/Revenue
-1758.94
EV/EBITDA
-193.2
Market Cap
$275.36M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin N/A
Operating Margin -4303970.0%
Gross Margin N/A
ROE -15.56%
ROA -5.06%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth N/A
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.04
Low debt
Current Ratio
3.63
Strong
Quick Ratio
3.29
Excellent
Cash/Share
$0.13

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q2 2025

Total Assets
$0.1B
Liabilities
$0.0B
Equity
$0.1B
Debt/Equity
0.03x

Basic Materials Sector Comparison

Comparing NVA against 83 companies in the Basic Materials sector (1 bullish, 30 neutral, 52 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-15.56%
This Stock
vs
-13.29%
Sector Avg
+17.1% (Excellent)
Debt to Equity
0.04
This Stock
vs
0.86
Sector Avg
-95.4% (Less Debt)
Current Ratio
3.63
This Stock
vs
7.0
Sector Avg
-48.2% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning NVA from our newsroom.

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