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ARQT

BEARISH
$22.75 Live
Arcutis Biotherapeutics, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $34.75 (+52.7%)
$11.86 52W Range $31.77

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Mar 14, 2026
Market cap
$2.82B
P/E
N/A
ROE
-9.3%
Profit margin
-4.3%
Debt/Equity
0.6
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
ARQT's Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 indicates severe financial distress, with weak profitability, negative ROE and ROA, and no dividend, signaling poor operational health. Despite strong revenue growth of 81.5% YoY and a forward P/E of 17.79, the company remains unprofitable with a negative profit margin of -4.29% and no intrinsic value or Graham Number available. Insider selling totaling $5.12M in the last six months, including significant sales by the CEO and directors, reinforces bearish sentiment. The stock trades at a premium to its fundamentals, with a Price/Sales of 7.50 and Price/Book of 14.81, suggesting overvaluation relative to earnings and book value. Analysts' strong_buy consensus appears disconnected from the underlying financial deterioration.

Key Strengths

81.5% YoY revenue growth indicates strong market expansion and product demand
High gross margin of 90.24% reflects efficient production and pricing power
Strong current and quick ratios (3.17 and 2.83) suggest solid short-term liquidity
Forward P/E of 17.79 is relatively attractive compared to sector average of 164.64
Analyst consensus is strong_buy, indicating potential upside expectation

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 signals extreme financial weakness and operational instability
Negative ROE (-9.30%) and ROA (-1.96%) indicate poor capital efficiency and unprofitability
Insider selling of $5.12M in 6 months, including CEO and directors, raises governance concerns
No free cash flow or operating cash flow data available, indicating potential liquidity risk
Price/Sales of 7.50 and Price/Book of 14.81 suggest significant overvaluation relative to fundamentals

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
29
Weak
Value
20
Future
70
Past
40
Health
15
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
weak
Key drivers: Extremely low Piotroski F-Score (1/9), Negative profitability and return metrics, High valuation multiples without earnings support, Significant insider selling, Lack of cash flow and intrinsic value
Confidence
85%
Value
20/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Forward P/E of 17.79 is below sector average
  • High gross margin suggests pricing strength
Watchpoints
  • No Graham Number or intrinsic value available
  • Price/Sales of 7.50 is high for a loss-making company
  • Price/Book of 14.81 indicates extreme premium valuation
Future
70/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • 81.5% YoY revenue growth is exceptional
  • Strong analyst target price of $34.75 implies growth optimism
Watchpoints
  • No earnings growth data available
  • Negative profit margin persists despite growth
  • No free cash flow data to support sustainability
Past
40/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 1Y return of +53.6% and 3Y return of +98.3% show strong historical performance
Watchpoints
  • 5Y return of -30.1% indicates long-term underperformance
  • Recent 1M and 1W declines of -14.4% and -5.2% show weakening momentum
  • Piotroski F-Score of 1 suggests deteriorating fundamentals over time
Health
15/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Current ratio of 3.17 and quick ratio of 2.83 indicate strong liquidity
  • Debt/Equity of 0.60 is moderate
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 is extremely low, indicating financial distress
  • Negative ROE and ROA suggest poor capital utilization
  • No Altman Z-Score available, but low F-Score implies distress risk
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend yield or payout ratio
  • Dividend strength is 0/100

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$22.75
Analyst Target
$34.75
Upside/Downside
+52.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ARQT and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-03-13
ARQ
Arcutis Biotherapeutics, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-30.1%
3Y
+98.3%
1Y
+53.6%
6M
+31.6%
1M
-14.4%
1W
-5.2%
HAE
Haemonetics Corporation
Peer
5Y
-11.4%
3Y
-27.8%
1Y
-3.5%
6M
+18.1%
1M
+11.9%
1W
-1.1%
TAR
Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+124.0%
3Y
+341.3%
1Y
+36.0%
6M
-7.3%
1M
+2.3%
1W
-9.2%
CON
Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+3.3%
3Y
+3.3%
1Y
+8.6%
6M
+9.8%
1M
+3.7%
1W
-0.2%
TXG
10x Genomics, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-88.0%
3Y
-57.2%
1Y
+199.1%
6M
+76.3%
1M
+20.0%
1W
-7.4%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
17.79
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
14.81
P/S Ratio
7.5
EV/Revenue
7.22
EV/EBITDA
-359.13
Market Cap
$2.82B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -4.29%
Operating Margin 14.2%
Gross Margin 90.24%
ROE -9.3%
ROA -1.96%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +81.5%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.6
Moderate
Current Ratio
3.17
Strong
Quick Ratio
2.83
Excellent
Cash/Share
$1.78

Healthcare Sector Comparison

Comparing ARQT against 560 companies in the Healthcare sector (34 bullish, 167 neutral, 359 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-9.3%
This Stock
vs
-88.14%
Sector Avg
-89.4% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-4.29%
This Stock
vs
-16.28%
Sector Avg
-73.6% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.6
This Stock
vs
2.66
Sector Avg
-77.4% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
81.5%
This Stock
vs
124.04%
Sector Avg
-34.3% (Slower)
Current Ratio
3.17
This Stock
vs
4.47
Sector Avg
-29.2% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

LEONARD KEITH R JR
Director
Option Exercise
2026-03-02
39,272 shares · $325,231
LEONARD KEITH R JR
Director
Sell
2026-03-02
39,272 shares · $997,195
BURNETT PATRICK
Officer
Sell
2026-03-02
6,287 shares · $158,320
MATSUDA MASARU
Officer
Sell
2026-03-02
12,058 shares · $313,877
WATANABE TODD FRANKLIN
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2026-03-02
37,349 shares · $940,528
WELGUS HOWARD G
Director
Sell
2026-03-02
10,000 shares · $256,518
EDWARDS LARRY TODD
Officer
Sell
2026-03-02
3,687 shares · $92,846
VAIRAVAN LATHA
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
2026-03-02
2,853 shares · $71,844
BURNETT PATRICK
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
46,750 shares
MATSUDA MASARU
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
37,000 shares
WATANABE TODD FRANKLIN
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
102,000 shares
EDWARDS LARRY TODD
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
30,000 shares
VAIRAVAN LATHA
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
27,000 shares
BURNETT PATRICK
Officer
Sell
2026-02-04
13,469 shares · $346,455
MATSUDA MASARU
General Counsel
Sell
2026-02-02
40,638 shares · $1,027,293
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
STRONG_BUY
8 analysts
Mizuho
2026-03-02
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Guggenheim
2026-02-27
Maintains
Buy Buy
TD Cowen
2026-02-26
Maintains
Buy Buy
HC Wainwright & Co.
2026-02-26
Maintains
Buy Buy
Needham
2026-02-26
Maintains
Buy Buy
Needham
2026-01-26
Maintains
Buy Buy
Mizuho
2025-11-28
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Goldman Sachs
2025-10-30
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Needham
2025-10-28
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ARQT from our newsroom.

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