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CON

NEUTRAL
$22.82 Live
Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. · NYSE
Target $29.0 (+27.1%)
$18.55 52W Range $24.68

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 25, 2026
Market cap
$2.93B
P/E
17.55
ROE
48.1%
Profit margin
7.7%
Debt/Equity
5.01
Dividend yield
1.1%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
80%
Concentra Group Holdings presents a dichotomy between strong growth and precarious leverage. While the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable financial health, the extreme Debt/Equity ratio of 5.01 is a significant risk factor that likely inflates the impressive 48.07% ROE. The stock trades at a significant premium to its Graham Number ($9.46) but remains well below its growth-based intrinsic value ($38.35), suggesting a valuation gap that analysts believe will close, despite a currently bearish technical trend.

Key Strengths

Strong YoY earnings growth of 60.10%
Robust Return on Equity (ROE) of 48.07%
Reasonable Forward P/E of 13.73 compared to growth rates
Strong analyst consensus with a 'strong_buy' recommendation
Consistent double-digit revenue growth (15.90% YoY)

Key Risks

Excessive leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 5.01
Bearish technical trend (0/100 score)
Significant gap between current price and defensive Graham Number ($9.46)
Recent Q/Q EPS growth decline of -26.3%
Low insider buying activity
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$26.5
+16.1% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
58
Moderate
Value
55
Future
82
Past
70
Health
35
Dividend
50
AI Verdict
Speculative Growth
Key drivers: High leverage, Strong earnings growth, Valuation gap between Graham and Intrinsic values
Confidence
85%
Value
55/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • P/E is moderate at 17.55
  • Trades below intrinsic value of $38.35
Watchpoints
  • Price/Book is high at 7.46
  • Current price is 141% above Graham Number
Future
82/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • 60.10% YoY Earnings Growth
  • 15.90% Revenue Growth
Watchpoints
  • Recent Q/Q EPS contraction
Past
70/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Consistent revenue expansion
  • Positive 1Y and 6M price performance
Watchpoints
  • Low 5Y change (+3.3%) suggests long-term stagnation
Health
35/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is stable
Watchpoints
  • Debt/Equity of 5.01 is critically high
  • Current ratio of 1.14 provides a thin liquidity cushion
Dividend
50/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Low payout ratio (19.23%) ensures sustainability
Watchpoints
  • Low dividend yield of 1.10%

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$22.82
Analyst Target
$29.0
Upside/Downside
+27.1%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for CON and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-24
CON
Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+3.3%
3Y
+3.3%
1Y
+8.6%
6M
+9.8%
1M
+3.7%
1W
-0.2%
TXG
10x Genomics, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-88.0%
3Y
-57.2%
1Y
+199.1%
6M
+76.3%
1M
+20.0%
1W
-7.4%
SUP
Supernus Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+66.0%
3Y
+41.6%
1Y
+67.1%
6M
+2.4%
1M
+4.3%
1W
+1.4%
PRV
Privia Health Group, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+4.4%
3Y
-7.2%
1Y
+1.4%
6M
-5.9%
1M
+11.3%
1W
+7.4%
ARQ
Arcutis Biotherapeutics, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-30.1%
3Y
+98.3%
1Y
+53.6%
6M
+31.6%
1M
-14.4%
1W
-5.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
17.55
Forward P/E
13.73
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
7.46
P/S Ratio
1.36
EV/Revenue
2.31
EV/EBITDA
11.84
Market Cap
$2.93B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 7.69%
Operating Margin 13.24%
Gross Margin 28.34%
ROE 48.07%
ROA 8.03%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +15.9%
Earnings Growth +60.1%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +15.92%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +61.2%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
5.01
High debt
Current Ratio
1.14
Good
Quick Ratio
1.0
Good
Cash/Share
$0.62

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.5B
Gross Margin
26.1%
Op. Margin
12.9%
Net Margin
6.4%
Total Assets
$2.9B
Liabilities
$2.4B
Equity
$0.4B
Debt/Equity
6.20x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
FCF Yield
83%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-07
$N/A
2026-02-26
$0.28
2025-11-06
$0.38
+0.6% surprise
2025-08-07
$0.35
-5.1% surprise

Healthcare Sector Comparison

Comparing CON against 537 companies in the Healthcare sector (28 bullish, 159 neutral, 350 bearish)
P/E Ratio
17.55
This Stock
vs
80.17
Sector Avg
-78.1% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
48.07%
This Stock
vs
-91.87%
Sector Avg
-152.3% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
7.69%
This Stock
vs
-16.49%
Sector Avg
-146.7% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
5.01
This Stock
vs
2.73
Sector Avg
+83.5% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
15.9%
This Stock
vs
129.42%
Sector Avg
-87.7% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.14
This Stock
vs
4.57
Sector Avg
-75.1% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

NEWTON WILLIAM KEITH
Chief Executive Officer
Gift
2025-12-17
89,081 shares
ORTENZIO ROBERT A
Director
Gift
2025-11-25
100,000 shares
ORTENZIO ROBERT A
Director
Stock Award
2025-11-04
7,748 shares
THOMAS DANIEL J
Director
Stock Award
2025-11-04
7,748 shares
BONNER BRIGID A
Director
Stock Award
2025-11-04
15,496 shares
PEGUS CHERYL
Director
Stock Award
2025-11-04
7,748 shares
NELSON SU ZAN CPA
Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-04
60,000 shares
GALLARA GIOVANNI
Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-04
60,000 shares
ANDERSON JOHN R.
Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-04
60,000 shares
KENDALL DANIELLE
Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-04
40,000 shares
DEVASIA THOMAS A
Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-04
60,000 shares
CONSER JONATHAN P.
Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-04
60,000 shares
MCANDREW DOUGLAS R.
Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-04
60,000 shares
KOSUTH MICHAEL A.
Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-04
60,000 shares
NEWTON WILLIAM KEITH
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-04
225,000 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-04-14

Consolidated Edison, Inc. filed a Form 8-K, likely to announce its first-quarter 2026 financial results.

DEF 14A
FORM- DEF14A
2026-03-17

CON filed a Definitive Proxy Statement on March 17, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information to vote on matters at the company's annual meeting.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-26

CON filed an 8-K on February 26, 2026, likely to announce its annual financial results for the preceding fiscal year.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-26

CON submitted its annual 10-K filing on February 26, 2026, which includes sections on business operations, risk factors, and management's discussion and analysis of financial condition. Specific financial highlights and risk details were not provided in the available excerpts.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-28

CON filed an 8-K on January 28, 2026, likely to report its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-12
8-K
8-K
2025-11-10

CON filed a current report on November 10, 2025, likely announcing its third-quarter financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-06

CON reports that inflationary impacts on its business have been minimal to date. However, as a labor-intensive healthcare provider, the company faces significant risk from rising wage costs and labor shortages, which constitute its largest operating expenses.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-06

CON filed an 8-K on November 6, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-08-07

CON filed an 8-K on August 7, 2025, likely to announce its second-quarter financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-08-07
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-06-26
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-06-02
8-K
8-K
2025-05-07
10-Q
10-Q
2025-05-07
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
STRONG_BUY
7 analysts
Wells Fargo
2026-03-05
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
RBC Capital
2026-02-02
Maintains
Outperform Outperform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning CON from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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